Cryptoclear

In search of the best mid-term and long-term investments in Cryptocurrency, commodity and equity markets leveraging research and technical analysis.

[Cam Hui, CFA @HumbleStudent]

5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator is oversold. Pink lines show past instances when it was oversold. Dotted blue lines are ZBT buy signals.

I am not holding my breath for a buy signal, but a bounce is highly likely.

[Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc]

A Zweig Breadth Thrust is obviously not happening now, but Thursday's negative breadth provided the setup for one to potentially happen over the next 2 weeks. The first criterion is A/(A+D) going below 0.40, which marks an oversold condition to bounce from.

[The Chart Report @TheChartReport]

The cost of downside protection is near the most expensive levels on record.

@MacroCharts

[Seth Golden @SethCL]

$SPX the choppy price action has been exactly forecast by the 4-Year Presidential cycle Midterm year.

From March - April, however, SPX typically heads to an annual high, before the fund flows revert to outflows ahead fo the midterm election.

$ES_F $SPY $DIA $QQQ $NYA

[Dario Perkins @darioperkins]

There was already a 1% fiscal stimulus coming in 2026. You can add another 1% from the tariff reset, plus who-knows-how-much on top of that for refunds... 🔥

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

Completley agree with this move by Druckenmiller, the $EWZ chart looks great and as I anticipated it broke out of a multi year consolidation. Relative Strength is now at levels not seen since 2004! Last time it was just the start of a multi year strong move, hoping it will repeat again. Support is the 7 month EMA, currently at $33.5 and moving higher.

[Geiger Capital @Geiger_Capital]

Stanley Druckenmiller just filed his Q4 13F

One of his largest new positions… $EWZ
Shares + Calls 🚀🇧🇷

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Are you betting that breadth won't lead price higher?

We very well could chop more in February, but bigger picture, to see A/D lines breaking out historically has = price will follow.

Nice one from @FrankCappelleri this AM.

[The Long Investor @TheLongInvest]

$XLV

Healthcare ETF looking extremely bullish for the next 12 - 24 months

Just going to leave this here...

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

Great post and indeed a very important way to leverage both probable time and price to accumulate. I also bought at $60k and expect an ultimate low near $45 which we might see once in March and once in October. All based on historical probabilities of time and price.

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

I'm coming to a similar conclusion, expecting a bounce shortly and then down to $44,000 in March.

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

If Bitcoin $BTC digs into the Banana peel as deeply as in past bear market cycles, then the bulls should not need to suffer too far south of $42,000
We are a hop, skip and jump from there

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

$Copper looks primed to do well this year based on the recent breakout and strengh in other metals.

[Dr. Copper🔋🌎⛏️ @CopperBullish]

#Copper - The last decade has seen almost no large scale discoveries!

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

I agree XLE is looking strong and breaking out similar to 2007 but I expect a lot of volitility similar to 2007 on the way up.

[Connor Bates @ConnorJBates_]

Are you ready for the possibility that Energy could start outperforming Tech?

$XLE vs $QQQ

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Since 1950, the S&P 500 has been higher in January 46 times.

11 months later it was higher 41 times (87.0%)
The full year was higher 42 times (89.1%)

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Silver is worth owning, not arguing about
As a Bayesian I operate with binary paths considered
I trust charts as my Priors.
I trust PRICE, not narratives
The long-term chart of Silver suggests $600
NOT as a straight shot $XAG $SIVR $SI_F #Silver
Maybe $60 first

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

The Brazil ETF $EWZ as anticipated has broken out of a 10 year price consolidation and heading towards the first target of $40, with commodities showing strength the upward trend could continue well beyond that.

[Cryptoclear @CryptoclearM]

I've been waiting for the Brazil ETF (EWZ) to break above 32 for over 10 years, I have a feeling this might finally be the year. It should have a strong move once it does.

[Seth Golden @SethCL]

This proved an easy short.

As outlined to Finom Group Premium members, I was shorting with a 30day time horizon. When you combine 100% of stocks above 50-EMA and extending beyond Upper Bollinger Band, only one place to go from there.
Got my 1% profit, and covered in 4 days.

There are hundreds of these easy overbought/oversold trade ideas like this I take annually at the sector/industry ETF level.

$SPX $XLB $SPY $QQQ $MMM $DOW $NYA $DIA

[Seth Golden @SethCL]

With a Bullish TOY signal now triggered:

96% positivity rate 12-months forward

35 up, 2 down

$SPX Average return = +16.5%

Bullish Midterm Years triggered:
1954 = +36%
1958 = +35%
1986 = +29%
2010 = +11%
2018 = (-5% Fed rate hikes/QT)

$ES_F $SPY $QQQ $IWM $NYA $NVDA $AAPL $NDX $VOO $DIA $GLD $BTC $ETH $SLV $MAGS $SOXX

[Subu Trade @SubuTrade]

Bullish seasonality:

S&P 500 gained more than +3% during this TOY (Turn Of Year) Barometer period (November 20 - January 19).

Historically, $SPX was higher 36 out of 38 times a year later, with an average gain of +15.8%

h/t @WayneWhaley1136

[Seth Golden @SethCL]

Nasdaq Composite has never returned less than +7% in Decennial Year 6
________________
1976 = +26.10%
1986 = +7.40%
1996 = +22.70%
2006 = +9.5%
2016 = +7.5%
2026 = +__%

$COMPQ $NDX $QQQ $TQQQ $SOXX $MAGS