DemalQuant

Quantitative & Fundamental Analysis of Financial Markets

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

BREAKING: We just witnessed a $9 TRILLION market cap swing and a massive reversal in just 6.5 hours.

Gold erased nearly $3 trillion as US markets opened, then added back almost $2 trillion by close.

Silver wiped out $750 billion, then staged a strong reversal, adding back $500 billion.

The S&P 500 erased $780 billion intraday, then recovered $530 billion by the close.

Nasdaq wiped out $760 billion, then added back $580 billion by close.

Combined US equities erased $1.15 trillion intraday and recovered $1.07 trillion by the close.

[Darkfost @Darkfost_Coc]

🚨 FED keeps rates unchanged at 3.5-3.75% as expected.

Why ?

➡️ Economic activity remains solid
➡️ Labor market is stable, job gains modest
➡️ Inflation still elevated
➡️ Uncertainty remains high

Their focus stays on 2% inflation target and maximum employment

The Fed stays cautious and flexible, watching inflation, jobs, and financial conditions closely.

Stephen I. Miran and Christopher J. Waller, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at this meeting.

[MarktQuant @MarktQuant]

🔺Dominant Asset Rotation System

Dominant Asset:
1. 🔷 $ETH
2. 🟣 $SOL

Exposure suggestions:
🐅100% $ETH
🦍70% $ETH / 30% $SOL
🐢50% $ETH / 50% $SOL

[Minty @DeFiMinty]

My Daily Crypto Workflow

[BaseTrustCapital @BaseXCapital]

⚔️Relative Strength Outlook, 26th July

- ETH Maintains is strength and dominance
- SUI slowly gaining back its strength against SOL, which was mostly a catch up case since it lagged the whole leg and marked the momentum TOP

[BaseTrustCapital @BaseXCapital]

📍Relative Strength, 17th July

- XRP back to dominant
- SUI, ETH to follow which is gaining strength and momentum as shown by MajorSync

- more insights into the relative strength, specially between SUI and XRP only available to premium members at https://t.co/Cbze5sNMOa

[BaseTrustCapital @BaseXCapital]

📍Relative Strength, 16th July

- all 6 assets remain long
- overall they are at moderate overbought levels
- Rank: SUI , XRP , DOGE

and GM to a new ATH equity 📈

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

QT RISK MODEL HAS BROKEN BELOW THRESHOLD!
YAYYYYY🧨🧨🧨🧨

For the first time since we launched the model, QT probability has dropped below its 50% threshold, officially triggering an end to Quantitative Tightening conditions on our Macro Regime tracker.

This shift marks a potential relief in liquidity pressures, with markets likely to respond positively especially risk assets like crypto.

The model tracks QT risk based on active Fed balance sheet contraction, fed data and liquidity withdrawal.
A sub 50% reading signals reduced tightening force and historically precedes broader easing regimes.

Track it live on our dashboard:
https://t.co/qUsZ6aW15O

RJ Alpha - decode the macro. Trade with clarity.

[SeerQuant @SeerQuant]

📌 Daily Trend Outlook – 10th July 2025

Signal:📊
Trends remain bearish. We will see if that lasts. This algorithm is specifically designed to reduce false signals, at the expense of potentially later entries.

Associated Data:
$TOTAL: Bearish (24.00) 🔴
$BTC: Bearish (35.00) 🔴
$ETH: Bearish (25.00) 🔴
$SOL: Bearish (-14.00) 🔴

#Crypto #Bitcoin

[SeerQuant @SeerQuant]

📌 Ratio Trend Update – 10th July 2025

Signal: 📊
$BTC is the strongest asset. 🟠

Associated Data:
$ETHBTC : Bearish 🔴 (11.00)
$SOLETH : Bearish 🔴 (-50.00)
$SOLBTC : Bearish 🔴 (-32.00)

#Crypto #Bitcoin

[SeerQuant @SeerQuant]

📌 Daily Trend Outlook – 6th July 2025

Signal:📊
All assets are bearish.

Associated Data:
$TOTAL: Bearish (-1.00) 🔴
$BTC: Bearish (20.00) 🔴
$ETH: Bearish (-25.00) 🔴
$SOL: Bearish (-39.00) 🔴

#Crypto #Bitcoin

[MarktQuant @MarktQuant]

💫Medium Term Trend Directions

$TOTAL Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.65
$BTC Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.37
$ETH Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.78
$SOL Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.94

$ETHBTC Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.81
$SOLBTC Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.99
$SOLETH Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -0.89
ALTCOINS Signal : SHORT🔴| Score : -1

[Econovis @econovisuals]

📈 U.S. M2 Money Supply Hits Record $21.9 Trillion in May 2025

The U.S. M2 money supply—comprising cash, checking deposits, and other liquid assets—rose to a record $21.94 trillion (seasonally adjusted) in May 2025, up 4.5% year-over-year. Although below the long-term average annual growth rate of 6.3% (2000–2025), this new peak surpasses the previous high of $21.86 trillion set in March 2022. The upward trend signals a shift away from monetary tightening and continued liquidity expansion, raising concerns over potential inflationary pressures.

#USA #FED #USDollar #economy #liquidity #money #BroadMoney #MoneySupply #stocks #SPX #gold #bitcoin #investing

[Yet another commodity guy @tleilax___]

Bloomberg got it right. QE is back.

More US Dollar debasement to come.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

⚠️For the first time in history, 4 major central banks are reducing their balance sheets:

The Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England are all simultaneously lowering their asset holdings.

Currently by ~$120 billion a month.

[Menthor Q @MenthorQpro]

$SPX and M2.

Liquidity.

[Minty @DeFiMinty]

How to Understand Volume Profile

[BaseTrustCapital @BaseXCapital]

Daily Market Analysis (June 30, 2025)

1. Trend Overview

BTC (12 h): Trend has flipped back positive; consolidating in upper band range.

ETH, SOL, SUI (12 h): Still in negative trends.
All 4 (1 d): Remain negative on the daily.
Short-term momentum favors Bitcoin; all other majors lag on both intraday and daily charts.

2. Relative Strength

Universal RS Protocol: 100% Cash (no confirmed long).

MajorSync: Aggregated allocation to BTC, but intraday signals hint at weakening—possible shift back to cash.

Bitcoin retains the strongest relative performance, yet both RS models remain cautious overall.
3. Regime

State: Mean-Reverting

Volatility: Peaked to the upside; likely to moderate from here.

The market continues to chop around value rather than trending strongly in either direction.

4. ValueSuite (Value Scanner + Sentival)

BTC (12 h):
Holding the top of its bands; requires a clear Sentival lift above midline to signal a long.

ETH (1 d / 12 h):
Daily price has reclaimed fair value, but 12 h Sentival remains bearish—resistance persists at value.

5. Conclusion & Focus
🔹Bitcoin: Leading the relief bounce—watch for a firm 12 h Sentival rise above midline to confirm a bullish re-entry around fair-value support (~105–106 k).
🔹Ethereum: Must overcome bearish 12 h Sentival despite daily price sitting at fair value (~2 447 US$).
🔹SOL & SUI: Continue to underperform; no actionable signals.
I🔹n this mean-reverting regime, BTC is the only candidate for a renewed allocation—pending Sentival confirmation—while all other majors remain sidelined.

[MarktQuant @MarktQuant]

📈Long Term Trend Directions

$BTC
Score : 0.9🔼
Status : Bull Trend🟢

$ETH
Score : 0.18
Status : Bull Trend🟢

🌐https://t.co/3otsme04GW
🔗https://t.co/ZdvXrfRhkF

[SeerQuant @SeerQuant]

📌 Ratio Trend Update – 21th May 2025

Signal: 📊
$ETH is the strongest asset. 🔵

Associated Data:
$ETHBTC : Bullish 🟢 (36.43)
$SOLETH : Bearish 🔴 (-43.57)
$SOLBTC : Bullish 🟢 (5.00)