๐จ michael burry is betting the house on a 30-40% semiconductor crash by march 2027.
i was early trying to short the hardware cycle last year and got squeezed, but you have to admit he nailed the exact math this time.
the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is now trading 65 percent above its 200-day moving average.
the last time we saw that specific premium was march 2000.
retail is holding chip stocks at a 30x forward P/E because they think tech giant spending is permanent.
it really isnt.
the hyperscalers are capitalizing their chip purchases to delay the expense.
burry caught that they are understating future depreciation costs by $176 BILLION between 2026 and 2028.
when that depreciation schedule finally forces its way onto the income statement, capital expenditure budgets get gutted to protect profit margins.
the moment the tech giants stop buying, semiconductor order books evaporate overnight.
that is the exact mechanism that crushes anyone long hardware up here.
@NICKYN00DL3S@SoundDobad German food sucks
British food sucks
Most Eastern European food sucks
Italy, France, Spain and Greece have all nailed it.
In fact, all of the food surrounding the Mediterranean is pretty awesome.
But the rest sucks.
Very glad thereโs Southeast Asia and Ethiopia
@Tablesalt13 Work with many Indians in other areas and its great
But every time Iโve hired a security company & theyโve sent a predominantly Indian crew things have sucked hard, problems donโt get addressed, guys sit around, no accountability, start to question what โsecurityโ actually means
@JesseGranger_@Kevin_Salmon12 I think itโs a smart move
Significant playoffs experience
And some insurance either way - Helle canโt keep playing 60+ games a year, or if Jets trade him, theyโve got half a tandem locked in