Our original sin is that we evolved to be competent enough to ensure our own genetic fitness, at the cost of other peoples' genes and suffering. That is not precise enough however, because we don't even view the death of another's genes with grievance. Quite the opposite.
@Dr_Singularity All of your assertions may be true and yet it does not imply that the ai related stocks you’re referring to (specifically neoclouds) will gain value proportionate to the value ai gives. Much of the value will go to the consumer and not captured by business
@xsphi Entirely explained by inertia. Companies have become acclimated to their slow pace of movement. Companies that utilize ai will outcompete the companies not sufficiently using it. Just takes more time for the market to adapt than I would have expected
If I could give you one success life hack.
And trust me. I literally have a hyperbaric healing chamber in my house. I take life hacks seriously.
If I could give you one tho. It'd be this.
Grab a bunch of epic fantasy books as thick as your head. Replace all your TV and social media time reading them.
Your brain will slowly start to work again. The focus from reading the thick ass wordy books will slowly put it back together.
Sanderson. Abercrombie. Gaimman. Pierce Brown. Great places to start.
Replacing this as your main time wasting hobby will give you absolutely crazy returns when it comes to actually making money. The focus you gain will make you lethal.
The whole retardmaxxing thing is actually so real. Meet an oddball and initially you're just like ok this guy definitely has a few screws loose. Not a total weirdo but catches you off guard
But as time goes on you eventually realize he's not trying to be that way and that he's actually just comfort in one's own skin mogging you into normalizing his way of conducting affairs. Then you start to question if you're being too rigid in how you move
Total left curve victory. This is unironically how you get whatever you want in life. Present the most natural and unforced version of yourself and just rep it. Be so carefree that the world has no choice but to acquiesce to your version of reality
The coming years are going to be insane. I say this figuratively and literally. The primary reason is because society is about to enter a phase transition. This is what a phase transition looks like.
Water at 99°C is hot, stable, behaves like a liquid and follows the laws of hydrodynamics. At 101°C, water becomes a gas, making it chaotic, expansive, and following a different set of physical laws.
The difference between 2026 and 203X is the difference between 99°C and 101°C.
To make this tangible. Imagine you’ve become a proficient swimmer. Mastering your stroke, breathing and pacing. The water is a predictable substrate that you use to model your decisions. This is life at 99°C.
At 101°C the pool turns to steam. You stroke your arms but don’t move. You kick and don’t find resistance. Your swimming proficiency is no longer an asset, it’s a liability. Your muscle memory is a mismatch for the new environment. You have to unlearn to relearn.
This is what life planning is going to feel like going forward.
For most of history, you could make a pretty decent guess about what the future would look like. If you were a farmer in 1400, you knew your grandchild would probably be a farmer in 1450. That was even true in 2003 when I entered college. One could confidently attend college, select a career, plan a profession, and map out retirement by age 65.
We felt confident in these plans because we depended on broad trends (coarse graining) that reliably predicted the future. Things may change here and there, but not enough to give you any pause in your life-planning decision making.
That stability is now gone. For example, my son is 20 and neither he nor I have any idea how to think about his life. Should he go to college? Is college still relevant? What should he learn? Life planning shortcuts are now dead. No one knows. Before, having a five year plan was responsible. Now it’s reckless because the world is moving faster than we can model. The speed of reality exceeds the speed of the observer.
This is the source of the low level anxiety that many people feel. Humans are prediction machines. When an error emerges from what you predicted (water) to what you get (steam), the body registers it as trauma. It leaves us in a state of chronic hyper-vigilance, scanning a horizon that refuses to sit still.
In this new reality, the move is not to have better maps, but to build better systems. This is what I’ve been building with Blueprint. An algorithmic system of health and decision making that moves as fast as technology, allowing me to evolve alongside. The more I detach from ideas, norms and expectations, the smoother the glide. The hardest part is letting go of what we know and trust.
This is part of a series of essays that I’ve been writing for my upcoming book Warriors & Caretakers of Existence. A plan on what the human race does when giving birth to super intelligence. If we want the extraordinary existence that is on offer, we’ll need to fight for it.
An extreme commitment to the truth makes relationships acutely dysfunctional but systems chronically functional (think Elon Musk).
An extreme commitment to kindness makes relationships acutely functional but systems chronically dysfunctional (think Sweden, UK)
Some sources of alpha that require no real skill:
- having longer time horizons than others
- being much more focused or much more bundled
- believing the consensus thing harder than others
- placing no value on status
What I still don't understand is the following:
Scientists and CEOs of the most important companies in the world say that:
-will cure all diseases in 5-10 years (Dario Amodei, Demis Hassabis, Masayoshi Son, Sam Altman)
- in 1-3 years we will see 10%-20% unemployment (Dario Amodei)
-robotics will take over blue-collar jobs in a few years (Tesla, Figure, Unitree)
And people will either
- don't believe it
- they don't care
- they deliberately ignore it
Folks, these statements are made by people who certainly have a lot more knowledge about how their unpublished AI models they are developing; have projections that they don't publish; an armada of highly paid scientists who only do research on these topics, in short: the smartest people in the world.
And the majority simply ignore this. I don't understand it. Even Barack Obama, the Pope and really every important person says that everything will change very soon, rapidly, radically. And most people don't care at all. I don't understand it.
Your life is slipping away. Very quickly.
You need to make giant sacrifices or get used to having giant regrets.
Each day is written in stone. You will wake up one day sooner than you think and see a huge chunk of your book is permanently written and the story is ass.
Let me say the quiet part out loud:
AI model building is a money trap.
What you are seeing here is a feature of modern AI models: there is no bounding law like Moore’s law where advances can be predictably expected. Nor has any model builder adequately publicly explained what to expect sans jargon and BS.
What this means is that it’s very difficult to plan spending programs to create advances and will likely render entire months and possibly years of energy, hardware, R&D, OpEx and CapEx wasted and useless as new innovations are discovered.
Open Source is the clear winner.
Closed source will be forced to keep their best models secret and sell to enterprises OR try and create some incredible consumer app with it.
Having done this before, my lived experience is that this is easier said than done.
Net/net consumers will win, many venture funded efforts will not.
You guys are such massive gay pussies. Monumentally gay.
All you do is cry cry cry over what someone said or how someone said it. All day long.
Its hyper feminine highschool gay bullshit.
Grow a pair.