@Investor_NICK_ $uwmc is likely higher beta on rates especially after it’s stock got crushed by massive derivative losses and distressed preferred shares equity from oak tree.
@MarkosAAIG@jukan05 Feels like we are in the find reasons/narratives to fit the price action.
Probably bullish for memory that people aren’t hyper bullish anymore.
@NuggetCapital@RazorOil@rockcreekfreak Most of the time your warnings are prescient but sometimes not.
No one bats 1000.
$prl.to is breaking out, up 60% from lows.
$csu.to is up 40% from lows.
@NuggetCapital@RazorOil@rockcreekfreak NCP, there are lots of ways to make $ in stocks. No point in getting triggered.
You have your way (margin of safety, insider signals, specific industry competence).
RCF has his.
RCF isn’t married to $btg. It’s a trading stock.
Both are valid.
@TraderPamplona@latinmines@tparsi 100% agree.
Basically, Iran has been playing Trump until the SPR is almost empty and interceptors are low.
Iran has all the leveraege now.
US can’t bomb and Iran/China can easily outlast US blockade.
@WisemanCap I know you are very likely right and i made $$$ on $googl, $amzn and now $msft.
But I really struggle buying $meta with its wildcard founder when $now is still just $111.
@janklp I’m have almost no knowledge of the insurance industry.
So take this with a grain of salt but in addition to $FFH.to having a very cyclical book.
Doesn’t insurance pricing also have cycles? So are we in for some lean pricing years?
@borrowed_ideas Enterprise demamd with agents is going to be huge and that will be dwarfed by enterprise demand for managing robotics.
$amzn is well positioned for physical AI automation/robotics.
If it ends up with extra compute it has lots of opportunities to put extra compute to work..
$GIB Much better earnings this quarter.
Looks business is starting to inflect for IT consulting/implementation and managed services.
Still only at 12% fcf yield
$gib.a (CGI inc) destroyed today, and I added to my position.
At one point -15%.
Currently at:
<10 P/E
>13% fcf
Mkt clearly is worried that CGI’s biz is in terminal decline.
My whole career has been in corporate IT and this makes no sense to me.
@tsxman@BobEUnlimited $spy outperformed $tlt with bond payments and dividends by +100% over the last 5 years.
So it’s not really a stretch making this prediction.
Biggest risk to bonds is inflation. Long term TIPs are probably a good investment here.