Neil Signorelli

[bodila @51bodila]

Daniel Kahneman won a Nobel by proving that every financial decision you’ve ever made was a guess your brain never checked

he explaining exactly how your mind tricks you into losing money

Charlie Munger built his entire list of 25 cognitive biases from this man's research

Kahneman's Nobel Prize discovery in 5 steps:

step 1 → your brain guesses first and checks never - "System 2 is lazy"

step 2 → 50% of Harvard fails a problem a child can solve - same brain picks your stocks

step 3 → losing $100 hurts 2x more than gaining $100 - that's why you hold losers

step 4 → you believe conclusions first - then find arguments to match

step 5 → confidence is a feeling - not a signal - your certainty means nothing

he died March 2024. one of his final lectures. 50 years in one hour

bookmark & watch today ↓

[Money Mark @MoneyMarkStocks]

🚨𝐃𝐢𝐝 $𝐏𝐋𝐓𝐑 𝐓𝐚𝐧𝐤 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐈 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞?🚨
Buy the dip? Stock Talk Live is LIVE!
https://t.co/lnjDQ817e9

We highlighted $AEHR @ 3, $NVDA @ 40, $MU @ 100, $ARM @ 100, $MRVL @ 70, $KRKNF @ $0.60, $OPTX @ 4.50 (and over 50 other triples) 🚀
More importantly, we GOT OUT opportunistically. We're still BULLISH on AI, but gotta be nimble !!!!

The 30 year Wall Street Tech veteran gives his A.I. update and answers YOUR Q&A with our global audience of 1O,OOO investors... NOW on Stock Talk Live! https://t.co/gKI6RpTIfx

🔥𝟏𝟓 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝟒𝟎% 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬!!🔥
NO picks closed at a loss since MAY... of 2024 !

What do you expect from the guy who literally...
* Sold picks to Wall St in the '99 bubble
* Was paid by JIM CRAMER'S funds!
* Called the rise/fall of MoviePass (& was in the movie!)
* Lived one town from Roaring Kitty 😹

$AEHR, $AVEX, $CLFD, $CRM, $CURI, $CXDO, $DELL, $DRSHF, $EVLV, $GEODF, $GKPRF, $IDN, $INFU, $IREN, $ITMSF, $IWM, $IZEA, $KRKNF, $KRMD, $MU, $NOW, $NVDA, $OKTA, $OPTX, $RDCM, $SMCI, $SPCX, $TPCS, $TRAK, $TSSI, $TWLO, $VTSI, $WATT

[Open Audacious @OpenAudacious]

@subsolnihilnova ye, I pretty much agree! Just confused why someone still made a big bid-side $4 call $SOC expiring 7/17, there is something we do not know??

[Roy Mattox @RoyLMattox]

We added the following positions today: $amd $intc $mrvl $qqq $sei $bros $vsxy and $ibkr

[DragonAlgo® 🔥Trade @DragonAlgoTrade]

$SLS $19.38 7 year high is going to break and then we are going to launch to $38.50 to negate the monthly manipulation candle from June of 2019.

There is no resistance and that’s why the shorts are scared to death right now.

LETS GO!!!!!

[William @William_only1]

$BTQ just moved through the full progression:

CONFIRMED → TRENDING → PERSISTENT

HH19
+20%
181k V1M

I like watching how momentum develops, not just where it ends up.

This happened in real time on the live feed.

[The Morning Note @STMorningNote]

Welcome to the StoryTrading Morning Note.

Delivered to your inbox at 9:00 AM ET each trading day, the Morning Note helps investors identify the catalysts driving markets and stocks before the opening bell.

Each edition includes:
• Macro Overview & Risk Signals
• Trump World & Geopolitical Intelligence
• Proximal Catalysts
• Actionable Trade Ideas

Start your 7-day free trial below. 👇 https://t.co/vLLPMyE4EI

[Julian Komar 🚨 Market Update Premium @BlogJulianKomar]

The longer I trade, the more I realize 👇

Trading is mostly a game of elimination.

Most traders spend their time looking for stocks.

I spend most of my time rejecting them.

There are over 10,000 stocks in the US market.

95% fail my criteria immediately.

I review 200-300 stocks every week.

Only 10-15% make my watchlist.

From those, maybe 5 stocks earn a place on my focus watchlist.

And often only one becomes a trade.

Why?

Because most stocks don't offer a great risk-reward ratio.

Many are choppy.

Many require wide stops.

Many simply aren't leaders.

One of the most expensive lessons I learned was buying stocks that looked okay but required an 8-10% stop and moved wildly every day.

Today I can eliminate 80% of stocks within seconds.

Most of my edge comes from saying no.

No to mediocre stocks.

No to mediocre setups.

No to mediocre risk-reward ratios.

I've seen the same thing happen with many long-term members.

The biggest improvements often start when traders stop searching for more opportunities and start eliminating weak ones.

Great trading is often about what you don't buy.

[George Noble @gnoble79]

I was 26 years old when Peter Lynch handed me this.

April 28, 1983. I was the auto and retail analyst at Fidelity.

Peter was in his prime, on his way to building the greatest mutual fund track record in history:

29.2% annual returns for 13 YEARS STRAIGHT, growing Magellan from $18 million to $14 billion. The Babe Ruth of investing.

I'm looking at the principles he had typed up on a single sheet of paper that I've kept in my files for 42 years and I believe now is the perfect time to revisit them again.

Let me walk you through a few:

Rule 1B: "You need an edge to make money. Do not rely on a combination of hope and good luck."

Today's retail investor has no edge. He has Reddit, Robinhood, zero-DTE options and a TikTok algorithm pushing him into whatever stock just ripped 200% the day before.

That's hope and good luck wearing a fancy costume.

Rule 1E: "Purchase stocks like one would purchase a business."

Tesla trades at over 360 times earnings on a business deteriorating in real time, Oracle has $206 billion in liabilities against $39 billion in equity, MicroStrategy is a leveraged Bitcoin holding company priced like a software firm, and don't even get me started on SpaceX, that piece of garbage you'll be able to trade tomorrow...

Nobody in their right mind would buy these as actual businesses. They buy them as stories, narratives, and lottery tickets.

Peter would have called it the same way I do - these are not investments. They are speculations. GAMBLING.

Rule 1G: "Study the balance sheet and cash flow statement."

The hyperscalers spent over $380 billion on AI capex in 2025. Goldman says the measurable productivity payoff does not arrive until 2027 at the earliest.

Oracle just reported NEGATIVE $23.7 billion in free cash flow for fiscal 2026 while borrowing at a pace that would make a leveraged buyout firm nervous. The cash flow statements are screaming but nobody is reading them.

Rule 1I: "Avoid the long shot."

This one cuts the deepest.

The entire market has become a long shot.

OpenAI is projected to post roughly $74 billion in operating losses in 2028 ALONE while priced for transformation tomorrow. Bitcoin treasury companies are multiplying off thin air.

The retail investor of 2026 is making one long-shot bet after another and calling it a portfolio.

Rule 3A: "When the fundamentals change, sell your mistakes."

Tesla's fundamentals have changed.

California registrations are down 24% year over year and inventory days went from 10 to 27. Musk himself admitted on the last earnings call that Hardware 3 cannot achieve unsupervised FSD, breaking a promise made to 4 million customers.

The fundamentals have screamed change. But the stock is still at $385.

The mistakes are not being sold. They are literally being doubled down on with leverage.

Rule 3I: "A 30-50% profit in 12 months is great. Mediocre in three years."

Today's retail crowd expects 30-50% in a WEEK. Then they wonder why they get wiped out the second the hype stops.

And my favorite - Rule 3J: "Develop your own style and stick to it."

That is the entire game right there.

I developed mine sitting across the hall from Peter Lynch in 1983, watching him work, reading his notes, getting my own research handed back to me covered in his pencil marks. Then in 1984, my first full year managing money, I ran the #1 mutual fund in America. The Fidelity Overseas Fund was top 2 for the next six years running.

I did not get there by chasing narratives. I got there by following the sheet of paper you are looking at right now.

42 years later, this single page contains more wisdom than every Fintwit thread, CNBC segment, and Wall Street price target combined.

Peter retired in 1990 with the greatest mutual fund record in history. Then he sat down and wrote books explaining exactly how he did it.

Only a few "investors" these days read them.

And almost nobody is reading the balance sheets, the cash flow statements, or studying actual businesses today either.

They are chasing AI, crypto, and whatever pumped yesterday.

The wisdom on this page is timeless and it's more important than ever.

[Anp🅰️nman @spacanpanman]

$TE: Fuddy Panza is back with supposed "gotchas". I added to my position.

From what I understand:

1) T1 Energy does not buy solar cells made by Trina
2) T1 Energy has utilized Trina USA to help identify suppliers, coordinate logistics, and support commercial negotiations in exchange for a fixed or market-rate commission, which is permissible under current regulations

T1 Energy is not yet fully vertically integrated, so using Trina USA’s relationships and sales/procurement infrastructure during the transition is commercially reasonable. The company has discussed this dynamic as it transitions to building G2_Austin and bringing it online. 🤷‍♂️

Where's the gotcha?

Per the T1 Energy 10-Q: T1 says it has agreements with Trina Group “to supply certain materials and components used in our PV solar module production, provide operational support and sales agency and aftermarket services.”

Additionally in the MD&A Section: Selling, general and administrative expense increased partly due to commissions and royalty fees, and specifically states that commissions, royalty fees, and other selling costs under arrangements with Trina Group were $8.5M in Q1 2026, versus $6.1M in Q1 2025.

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

The folks at @marketsurge just called me and asked if I would talk about my recent $SPY, $QQQ shorts and discuss my take on the current market. You can register for this FREE webinar at the link below. We go LIVE TODAY at 3PM/ET. Register now!!

[Tut C🅰️pital @kingtutcap]

$VELO: Lockheed Martin $LMT and L3Harris have invested a combined of more than $300M in additive manufacturing and automation.

Lockheed is a longstanding Velo3D customer..

https://t.co/dz4EyohtAX

[Julian Komar 🚨 Market Update Premium @BlogJulianKomar]

Most traders know the rules.

Very few repeat them every day.

The difference between consistency and frustration is often a handful of principles followed over and over again.

These are the 20 trading principles I repeat every day. 👇

Which one do you need to work on the most?

[Tut C🅰️pital @kingtutcap]

$VELO: Congressman Chris Deluzio introduces the Defense Industrial Base Advance Manufacturing Enhancement Act.

This bill would create a working group within the Department of Defense (DoD) to identify and implement advanced manufacturing solutions that would increase the production of critical parts.

https://t.co/s6SizUMhtT

[MarketMaestro @MarketMaestro1]

$VELO
One of the companies working with $SPCX. I was waiting for the handle, and it did it.

And it is coming back very strong.

It announced a strategic partnership with Aurelia Technologies. Aurelia develops small scale, fuel flexible gas turbines for industrial, municipal, and data center applications.

This touches the themes of data center power demand and grid modernization.

[CEO Watcher @CEOStockWatcher]

Chief Executive Officer at AMERICAN BATTERY TECHNOLOGY Co $ABAT purchased $2.34M.

This increased their listed holdings by 73%.

Rip Buy: the stock was up 154% in the previous year.

1 other insider also purchased the stock in the last 30 days.

[Brandon Richard @BreakoutBiotech]

$TWST Stanley Druckenmiller bought 206,000 shares of Twist (about $9.7M) in Q1 2026

[Money Mark @MoneyMarkStocks]

Lots of people have been contacting me about yesterday's stock market action.

After 3 years of confidently chanting "AI is not a bubble!!", I recently stated my belief that certain segments of the stock market have entered bubble territory... but I do NOT believe "the bubble" is about to pop.

First of all, capex spending forecasts continue to INCREASE. Industry giants which were hoarding cash and doing buybacks are now pouring trillions into the economy (and raising money to pour even more). This is a big tailwind for economic growth (and corporate earnings, if you didn't notice this past quarter).

Individuals have not yet tapped a meaningful percentage of what AI can do for their lives. Meanwhile, with the emergence of agentic AI, corporations are scrambling to see what it means for them (positively or negatively). So, they're spending on capex too. That's not a 3 month process. It's a massive investment wave, which is economically bullish.

Of course, many valuations have become stretched, but TBH I'm not God to know with surety which ones! It really depends on how much more AI has to offer... and its new capabilities have surprised me each step of the way (and I've been a bull the whole way).

It's true that a growing number of people are pontificating about "the end of the AI bubble" this week, but I've been hearing that for 3 years. Everyone's an expert.

Meanwhile, bigger/smarter entities (like GOOGLE) are putting their money on AI. If they didn't believe in AI, they'd stop spending and watch OpenAI, Anthropic, etc. blow themselves up.

I DO believe this will end in a bear market, but so what? It always does! Until then, you can count on Wall St to bang the drum until it breaks. They're all about the money, so they'll sell the story until the book bursts into flames... and then they'll sell THAT to the public.

Personally, I think the story remains very much intact. There WILL be bumps in the road (check out the crazy corrections that occurred in 1998/1999!), but as long as the big guys keep raising capex forecasts, I don't know how anyone can say this is over.

The money is flowing, just like in 1998 and 1999. The difference is that there's a lot more immediate ROI this time around. In 1999, I was the head of Investment Research at AMR Research (one of the world's top Software/Internet consulting firms on the planet) and personally saw RFIs and RFPs fall off a cliff in November of 1999. That foretold the end. QQQ was at $67. Four months later QQQ topped out...

...at $120.

Here in June 2026, we don't yet see signs of slowing spending. There ARE many people and corporations adjusting their spending, but there are also many ramping it up (mine keeps going higher and is more likely to double than get cut). This is why capex forecasts keep going up. That's the statistic that tells you what you need to know.

I'm not saying to let things blindly ride. Being cognizant of the potential for a bursting bubble is healthy. Just understand that bull markets take two steps forward followed by a scary step back.

Accordingly, IDK if this "correction" is over, but I doubt the bull market is.

_________________________

🔥𝟏𝟓+ 𝐲𝐫𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝟒𝟎% 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬!!🔥
NO priority ideas closed at a loss since MAY... of 2024 !

Highlighted $AEHR @ 3, $NVDA @ 40, $MU @ 100, $ARM @ 100, $MRVL @ 70, $KRKNF at $0.60 (and dozens of other documented multi-baggers). 🚀
https://t.co/DSgv7C1UfM

No subscriptions, sponsorships, advertisements, or gimmicks. Every Friday on Stock Talk Live 💪🏽
https://t.co/lnjDQ817e9

All from the guy who literally...
* Sold picks to Wall St in the '99 bubble
* Was paid by JIM CRAMER'S funds!
* Called the rise/fall of MoviePass (& was in the movie!)
* Lived one town from Roaring Kitty 😹

$AEHR, $AVEX, $CLFD, $CRM, $CURI, $CXDO, $DELL, $DRSHF, $GEODF, $GKPRF, $IDN, $INFU, $IREN, $ITMSF, $IWM, $IZEA, $KRKNF, $KRMD, $MU, $NVDA, $OKTA, $OPTX, $SMCI, $TPCS, $TRAK, $TSSI, $TWLO, $VTSI, $WATT

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

🚨 BREAKING: Marvell $MRVL to join the S&P 500

[Linda Raschke @LindaRaschke]

GS: Wide Range Reversal Sell - climax bar with range exapnsion up, then takek out the low of that bar within the next bar. Trend down can carry for awhile.