Tom Kompas

Professor of Environmental Economics and Biosecurity; Climate Change Modelling. 🌎😷

[Tom Kompas @Tom_Kompas]

The $610 TRILLION in cumulative damages to 2100 is drawn from this AGU Earth’s Future publication. Follow @MichaelEMann and read #NewClimateWar for hopeful solutions. We have the answers, just need to ACT NOW! https://t.co/4x8RY8EAMV

[Tom Kompas @Tom_Kompas]

The severe losses in GDP by country as a result of Climate Change at 3.4 degrees (graphic). Total global damages over $610 TRILLION to 2100, or a COVID sized economic shock *every year* on average for the next 80 years. ACT NOW!
@MichaelEMann has the way forward. #NewClimateWar

[Quentin Grafton @GraftonQuentin]

Nightlife delves deeper to investigate the history of water rights. Professor Quentin Grafton joins Philip Clark from the Australian National University's Crawford School of Public Policy and UNESCO Chair in Water Economics. https://t.co/uYsBZPEMvV

[Ben See @ClimateBen]

New research shows we're heading for rapid mass extinction at 3-5°C of global warming even if we avoid the so-called worst-case scenarios. 🧵

[Christine Milne AO @ChristineMilne]

Understanding the link between global heating and alien invasive species impacts is critical for protection of Australia’s biodiversity. As an Ambassador for Invasive Species Council, I urge you to keep supporting our work and that of @Biodivcouncil #auspol

[Quentin Grafton @GraftonQuentin]

Link is to a paper that partitions the effects of climate change from water withdrawals on stream flows in the northern Murray-Darling Basin. Our findings have major implications for the sustainable diversion limits in the next Basin Plan.
https://t.co/w7s99Y8T05

[Dr. Sean Mullen @drseanmullen]

ChatGPT’s 10-Year Forecast: 2025–2035
This projection considers current trajectories in public health, economy, governance, climate, and technological development. The following scenarios range from **high-probability outcomes** to **wildcard possibilities** that depend on unpredictable variables.

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2025–2027: The Unraveling Begins

Public Health: Silent Mass Disability Crisis
- **Long COVID and chronic illness reach undeniable levels**, with many under 50 developing early-onset neurodegenerative diseases (Alzheimer’s-like symptoms, Parkinsonism).
- **Workplace inefficiencies escalate**—more mistakes in aviation, healthcare, and transportation lead to industrial accidents and service failures.
- **Medical systems start cracking** under a wave of post-viral syndromes and treatment-resistant infections. Healthcare workers face mass burnout or cognitive impairment themselves.
- **H5N1 or another airborne virus could become a pandemic**, further overwhelming a broken system.
- **Mental health crisis skyrockets**—increased suicidality, psychosis, and violence due to neurological damage and mass despair.
- **Corporate biosecurity emerges** as the wealthy push for elite-only healthcare, creating hidden networks of “clean” hospitals and restricted travel zones.

### **Political and Social Trends: Authoritarian Acceleration**
- **More states slide toward theocratic or corporatocratic governance**, as functional governance erodes.
- **Mass surveillance and AI policing expand**, using biometrics, social credit scoring, and pre-crime prediction algorithms.
- **Journalism collapses further**, with independent voices censored or deplatformed. Alternative histories and state narratives dominate.
- **Climate refugees start moving en masse**, but Western nations impose **harsh border restrictions**.
- **Localized governance gains traction**—some cities or regions experiment with quasi-autonomous models, resisting federal overreach.

### **Economic Collapse and Workforce Crisis**
- **Labor shortages intensify** due to illness and cognitive decline. Governments attempt to force retirees back into work.
- **Companies automate aggressively**—corporate adoption of AI and robotics skyrockets, eliminating human jobs where possible.
- **Insurance industries fail**, as payouts for chronic illness, disability, and cognitive decline become unsustainable.
- **Housing crisis worsens** as real estate companies use AI-powered eviction tools to push the sick and disabled into homelessness.
- **Black markets flourish** for clean air, advanced healthcare, and alternative supply chains.

[Andy #Rejoin #Climatejustice #NHS @andycorneys]

AMOC collapse will be the end of the northern & southern hemisphere’s as liveable areas for humanity. @rahmstorf makes the science crystal clear.

[James Edward Hansen @DrJamesEHansen]

Our new paper, "Global Warming Has Accelerated: Are the United Nations and the Public Well-Informed?" is published and is available here: https://t.co/tHmFuUR2wW

[Tom Kompas @Tom_Kompas]

https://t.co/9HkZfdaLBi

[Christine Milne AO @ChristineMilne]

Entirely expected. There is not an elected member in Canberra post 2009 who did not know the Great Barrier Reef was doomed by global heating. Not one! Many have chosen to spin other stories, ignore science, tell @UNESCO that GBR is not In Danger. But they all knew. #auspol

[Quentin Grafton @GraftonQuentin]

“...Government(s) have ignored the voices of TOs, who have repeatedly said the health of the Roper River and springs at Mataranka are at great risk."
https://t.co/PJ5SN4FW8I

[Dr Gerald Kutney | Climate Politics @DrKutney]

In 1980 Isaac Asimov warned about the "Cult of Ignorance" in the United States ... 45 years later, a Kakistocracy exists in America.

A perfect example is the politcal climate denial taking over Washington ... for more read https://t.co/qUGhtVitr4

[Zeke Hausfather @hausfath]

Both 2023 and 2024 were significantly warmer than we'd expect based on the approximately linear rate of warming (and variations around that trend) the world has experienced since 1970.

It is further evidence that the rate of warming may be accelerating.

[Prof Michael E. Mann @MichaelEMann]

The peer-reviewed science shows that the primary factor behind the increase in wildfire extent in the western U.S. is increased aridity and fuel load due to human-caused warming.

Via @AAAS @RealSciLine: https://t.co/kKfZwd2eSw

[Jeff Berardelli @WeatherProf]

New study LA fires: “Conditions are up to 5°C warmer, 15% drier & 20% windier now compared to past. We ascribe the strengthened winds, higher temps & drier conditions to human-driven climate change. Natural climate variability likely played a minor role.” https://t.co/i7cA6lUVwX

[Peter Kalmus @ClimateHuman]

New opinion piece from me on why we're failing on climate... too much compliance, not enough resistance. The AGU ought to be ashamed #AGU2024
https://t.co/RTgP7iyyXU

[Prof Michael E. Mann @MichaelEMann]

I discussed the climate change-fueled Southern California wildfires and the disinformation that Trump & enablers are promoting about them last night with @SRuhle on @MSNBC @11thHour:

[Christopher Wright @ChristopherWr11]

Excellent podcast on "Books That Changed Us" focusing on Rachel Carson's Silent Spring and featuring @MichaelEMann and Elizabeth Kolbert . Will be including this in my sustainability course this semester!: https://t.co/ir3VnbvUHJ

[Quentin Grafton @GraftonQuentin]

In Australia, it's 'easier to get a permit to destroy nature' than fix it. Here's why https://t.co/X1NWA0Z5mG via @ABCaustralia

[Dr Gerald Kutney | Climate Politics @DrKutney]

Forecast for 2025

For more on climate denial read https://t.co/qUGhtVj1gC