WG

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

@aleabitoreddit Look into $INOD

[Dylan Marrello @ragingbullcap]

$MIAX What an incredible gift getting one last shot below $40 was last month

- Massive sequential growth from Q1: Revenue +11% EBITDA + 16.5% to $77m at 57% margin;

- Options segment standalone segment EBITDA +16% sequential with 78% margin. Pretty remarkable without any index products.

- Cash up to $660m from $555 end of Q1

- Paying a low teens EBITDA multiple for a mature scaled exchange business and getting insane optionality (futures monetization, BBG products, Rothera, perps(?) etc.) tossed in for nothing.

[DiligenceDesk @dave_wg]

The Macro Stress-Test Week

Next week represents a rare "macro regime shift" where simultaneous catalysts in policy, inflation, and geopolitics could reprice the entire global risk spectrum. Markets are transitioning from a stable "soft landing" narrative to a high-volatility environment driven by a leadership change at the Federal Reserve and escalating trade tensions.

1. The Warsh Transition: A New Fed Regime
The nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair is the week’s primary narrative driver. Markets are grappling with his "unknown" persona:

The Bull Case: Warsh aligns with the administration to front-load rate cuts, fueling a massive rally in risk assets.

The Bear Case: Warsh adopts a hawkish stance to establish "inflation-fighter" credibility, causing yields to spike and punishing tech valuations.

Key Indicator: Watch the Treasury yield for the market's immediate verdict on the new policy path.

2. The Inflation Gauntlet (CPI & PPI)
Inflation data arrives at a moment of extreme sensitivity.

Tuesday CPI: The most critical print. Markets are looking for disinflation in shelter and services. A "hot" print under a new Fed chair risks a "policy mistake" panic.

Wednesday PPI: Higher-than-expected producer prices would signal margin compression for industrials and semis, suggesting that consumer-level cooling may be temporary.

3. Geopolitical Tensions: The Trump-Xi Summit
The Beijing summit is the ultimate binary event for global trade.
Success: A "trade truce" or tariff pause would trigger a relief rally in semiconductors and EM equities.

Failure: Escalation regarding Taiwan or export controls would send the $VIX surging and favor safe havens (USD, Gold).

4. Real Economy Check: Retail Sales
Thursday’s data will determine if the "consumer resilience" story holds.

The Nightmare Scenario: A "hot CPI" combined with "weak retail sales" creates a Stagflation-lite environment, which is historically toxic for both bonds and equities.

Asset Class Vulnerabilities:

Tech/AI: Highest duration sensitivity; will be the first to dump if the 10-year yield climbs.

Crypto: Acting as a pure liquidity proxy. Expect extreme moves based on the USD and inflation outlook.

Gold: Caught between two fires. It benefits from geopolitical chaos but suffers if real yields move higher.

The Bottom Line ;
Expect intraday swings of 1.5–3% and significant overnight gaps. This is not a week for "set and forget" positions; it is a fundamental stress test of the current bull market's underlying assumptions. Bonds will lead; equities will follow.

$qqq $spy $spx $gld $wti $smh $btc

[StockzOnTap | Liberty & Markets @StockzOnTap]

Despite recent volatility, $BMI has a clear structural path to reaccelerated growth:

1) PRASA Launch: Deployment for the largest project in company history (1.6M connections) begins mid-2026.

2) M&A Tailwinds: Strategic acquisitions are shifting the mix toward higher-margin software and water quality analytics.

3) Pricing Power: Consistent annual price hikes and the shift to "smart" cellular meters provide a long term revenue floor.

I consider this to be an opportunity. I’m not seeing structural concerns. There are legitimate objectives already underway to accelerate revenue growth. Leadership team is backing up the talk with action.

[Jacob Kim @kuretide]

#NEW_Ticker $BMI @Badger_Meter

제가 Badger Meter라는 기업에 관심을 갖게된 이유는 냉각 솔루션 쪽의 티커인 $INV Accelsius를 투자하고 있기 때문에 자연스럽게 냉각 솔루션 인프라에도 관심을 갖게 되었기 때문입니다.

또 한가지 투자에 관심을 갖게 된 이유는 현재 고점에서 무려 20만원 정도 주가가 하락했기 때문입니다. 많은 관련주 가운데 Badger Meter가 특히 지난 금요일에 큰 하락이 있었는데, 이유는 실적 미스 때문이었습니다.

그렇다면 이 하락의 원인이 기업 자체의 펀더멘털에 문제가 생긴 것이라면 당연히 관심이 없었겠지만 실적 미스의 원인이 매출 공백이었기 때문입니다.

2023년부터 2025년까지 회사 매출을 크게 끌어올렸던 미국 여러 도시의 대형 수도 계량기 교체 프로젝트들이 한꺼번에 마무리되면서 매출이 일시적으로 뚝 떨어진 것이죠.

2026년 1분기 매출은 전년 대비 9% 줄었고, 이 소식에 주가는 하루 만에 약 19% 폭락했습니다. 최근 1년 누적 하락률은 37%입니다. 하지만 경영진은 새로 수주한 프로젝트들이 2026년 하반기부터 본격적으로 매출로 이어질 것이라고 공식 확인한 상황이며, 수요 자체가 사라진 것이 아니라, 프로젝트와 프로젝트 사이의 짧은 공백이 실적에 반영되었기 때문입니다. 즉, 펀더멘털에는 전혀 문제가 없는 것이죠.

Badger Meter는 어떤 기업인가?
Badger Meter는 1905년에 설립된 물 측정 전문 기업입니다. 쉽게 말하면, 물이 파이프 안에서 얼마나 빠르게, 얼마나 많이 흐르는지를 정확하게 재는 장치와 소프트웨어를 만드는 회사입니다. 120년이 넘는 역사를 가진 이 기업의 핵심 플랫폼인 BlueEdge는 향후 데이터센터 섹터의 대장주인 Nvidia, Google, Microsoft 같은 거대 IT 기업들의 데이터센터 설계 도면에 이미 공식 부품으로 등록되어 있습니다. 새로운 기술을 시장에 증명해야 하는 신생 기업이 아니라는 뜻입니다.

투자 아이디어의 핵심은 AI 데이터센터의 냉각 방식이 바뀐다는 것입니다. 데이터센터는 수많은 컴퓨터 서버가 모여 있는 거대한 건물인데, 서버가 쉬지 않고 계산을 하다 보면 엄청난 열이 발생합니다. 지금까지는 에어컨처럼 차가운 공기를 불어넣어 식히는 방식(공랭식)이 주류였습니다. 하지만 AI 연산은 일반 계산보다 훨씬 많은 열을 만들어내기 때문에, 공기 대신 물로 식히는 방식(수랭식)으로 빠르게 전환되고 있습니다. 물은 공기보다 열을 흡수하는 능력이 약 3,000배 뛰어나기 때문입니다.

향후 전망
현재 전 세계 데이터센터 중 수랭식을 쓰는 곳은 19%에 불과합니다. 그런데 2030년까지 그 비율이 50%에 도달할 것으로 전망됩니다. 수랭식 시스템에는 반드시 냉각수가 얼마나 흐르는지 측정하는 장치, 물의 오염 여부를 감지하는 장치, 열교환기(뜨거운 물과 차가운 물이 열을 주고받는 장치)를 관리하는 장치가 필요합니다. Badger Meter는 이 모든 것을 하나의 플랫폼으로 공급할 수 있는 검증된 기업입니다.

120년간 기술을 증명한 기업이, 앞으로 수요가 폭발할 시장의 핵심 자리를 이미 차지하고 있는데, 일시적인 실적 부진으로 시장이 주가가 많이 빠진 상황입니다. 물론 밸류에이션은 여전히 높은 상황이기 때문에 2분기 실적에서 향후 매출이 반영되지 않는다면 주가는 더 떨어질 수 있다는 점을 고려해야 합니다.

하지만 수랭식 전환이 본격화되는 시점이 오면, 데이터센터에서 발생하는 냉각수 계측 수요가 기존 수도 사업과는 별개의 새로운 성장 엔진으로 작동할 것이라는 생각입니다.

https://t.co/xheSO1sDSB

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

$VGNT extremely undervalued, can be another spinoff which performs like $GEV and $SOLS

[Brian Stoffel @Brian_Stoffel_]

Lots of ppl asking if I know why $AXON is down big today.

I have no idea.

BUT, if we assume it can do ~25% FCF margins and a slight beat in Q1...

Currently needs to grow rev by 20% over next decade to justify this price (add in for SBC)

If we assume it does 30% over next three years, that's just a 16% CAGR from year 4-10. Seems reasonable to me

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

https://t.co/Vvud7eQbWy

$VIX $QQQ $SPY $SPX

[Scott Milne @ScottMilne_]

Adding in a Grok search too (See Above Analysis) for:
$AVAV

No announced recompete: Correct—there's no public evidence of the contract being opened to new bidders or a formal recompete process. Sources confirm the pause is solely for renegotiation between AVAV and the https://t.co/sDkaLY5EvG +2

Stop-work order, not a cancellation: Accurate. The U.S. government issued a mutual stop-work order on January 16, 2026, specifically for the BADGER antenna portion under the SCAR program. This is described as a mechanism to halt work temporarily for renegotiation, not a https://t.co/q8XEs03NhA +2

Mutually agreed pause for renegotiation: Yes, it was by mutual agreement to address new program requirements, including technical changes and shifting away from a cost-plus https://t.co/8G7g3ZF1rN +2

Shift to firm-fixed price model: Confirmed. The expected amendment moves from a cost-type (where the government covers overruns) to a firm-fixed price framework, transferring more execution risk to https://t.co/MvtET4rlqY +2

Not a revenue wipeout or performance failure: Supported. No sources indicate a full revenue loss, termination for default, cure notice, or performance issues. AVAV has stated it expects to continue delivering capabilities for SCAR, framing this as a contract reset driven by cost-control goals rather than a program https://t.co/65VMkQq1Lo +2

Market impact on stock: The post's take on repricing uncertainty matches analyst commentary, with AVAV shares dropping significantly (around 20% in the week following the January disclosure) due to reduced backlog visibility, despite the core business (e.g., drones and munitions) remaining https://t.co/5XKGj0lccR +2

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

Brink’s forecasts $200 million in run-rate annual cost synergies within three years via:
service network and infrastructure rationalization
SG&A consolidation
procurement optimization.

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

$bco $natl
The Brink’s Company is acquiring NCR Atleos in a $6.6 billion cash-and-stock transaction (including assumed debt).
The deal is designed to create a leading global financial infrastructure platform by combining Brink’s strength in cash logistics.

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

The combined company is expected to generate approximately $10 billion in annual revenue and around $2 billion in adjusted EBITDA.
Recurring revenue and subscription streams (software, ATM outsourcing, maintenance) will play a larger role.

[Drohi - ReSSRection 🌄 @i_Drohi]

@amitisinvesting Just FYI - there is *already* a conversion tool that converts COBOL code to Java/C# - even before Anthropic's sensationalized version

And it is an IBM product 🤦‍♂️
$IBM

[Patrick Moorhead @PatrickMoorhead]

What a dumb sell-off. $IBM is investing in its own code conversion to modernize its customers already. Has been for years. IBM makes more money if COBOL goes away. https://t.co/gZxVBUCLSh

[CEO Watcher @CEOStockWatcher]

$56.5M sale by the CFO at Coinbase $COIN and it's all just to cover taxes...

must be nice

[JEFE TRADES 🔪 @JEFETRADES]

This is STUPID

$COIN CEO telling everyone to BUY BUY BUY and Business is BOOMING

Meanwhile this dude is selling shares almost WEEKLY into 2026

Someone has to explain this👇

[AlphaSense @AlphaSenseInc]

$ELF's CEO says the brand’s long streak of market‑share gains is powered by its value proposition, innovation, and retailer productivity, with new shelf space and international expansion setting up even more growth ahead:

"I guess the first thing I'd tell you is we're using the same strategy that's driven 28 consecutive quarters of not only net sales growth or market share gains. I sometimes feel that people don't fully appreciate just how phenomenal the market share gains have been and as consistent, we've gone back as far as we can look, we've not seen another cosmetics brand grow market share for 28 consecutive quarters. And even in Q3, building 130 basis of market share is pretty phenomenal. So I'd say our core proposition, our value proposition, Powerhouse innovation, a disruptive marketing engine many examples that you heard on this call will continue to fuel the brand.

And in terms of continued growth on e.l.f., one of the real strengths that we have is every one of our major retailers we're their most productive brand on a dollar per linear foot basis. And that naturally leads to more space and more support. You're seeing that right now with the rollout that we have at Ulta Beauty in terms of more space. I'm particularly excited about the rollout coming up pretty soon with DM in Germany. It will bring a building on the phenomenal launch we have last year with Rossman in Germany as well as with Amazon. It really will bring elf to the majority of German consumers.

And I'd say that's probably the last thing I'd say is our ability not only to see the brand in different countries, but then really build out our presence in those countries like we did in Canada, the U.K. Synnove Germany, really, I think there's a ton of potential both in the U.S. as well as internationally."

[WG @WellGroomedInc]

@aleabitoreddit Check $VNP.to
Massive potential

[Stymbol @stymbol789]

$Zeta's CEO @dsteinberg10000, in an interview with @jd_durkin, discussed the launch of Athena, a conversational AI agent designed to reduce friction between humans and artificial intelligence by guiding users to more effective and efficient marketing outcomes without complex prompting. He described Zeta’s partnership with @OpenAI as the largest the company has ever signed, developed over many months through prior API usage and direct demonstrations of Athena. Steinberg stated that OpenAI chose to partner with Zeta rather than build competing enterprise marketing software. Athena is intended to be foundational to ChatGPT and vice versa. Long, NFA. @TakingStockLive

[Vik Grover @vikpgrover]

Initiating $FJET at STRONG SELL. Non revenue recent mini "IPO" alleging it will launch satellites using mach 2 F104 jets. Feels like weak copycat of bankrupt Virgin Orbit and nearly failed $SPCE.

Fair value low single $'s. Take profits and a possible perma short (never cover).