Matthew Tyler

Assistant Professor @RicePoliSci.

[Political Analysis @polanalysis]

Currently in FirstView: In “Improving Small-Area Estimates of Public Opinion by Calibrating to Known Population Quantities,” @wpmarble and @joshclinton provide a framework for incorporating known population data to improve estimates of small subgroups in MRP models.

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@dhopkins1776 Currently very few classes attempt to measure growth in a sincere way (e.g., some kind of pre-class test with same difficulty level as final exam).

[American National Election Studies (ANES) @electionstudies]

A new release of the ANES Cumulative Data File is now available for download. Over 200 variables have been updated to include data from the 2024 Time Series. Visit the study page to download data and documentation:

https://t.co/Ax4Y5YvvfL

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@electionstudies Amazing resource for everyone interested in elections or public opinion!

[American National Election Studies (ANES) @electionstudies]

ANES Data Release! https://t.co/pyraGPqqyM...

The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.

[Polarization Research Lab @PRL_Tweets]

Sharing an event that may be of interest to this community!

Rare traits like support for violence, conspiracy beliefs, and unsafe health behaviors are really hard to measure! On Thursday November 13, learn from experts about the problem and solutions.

https://t.co/QnBBTwDEkz

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@arthur_spirling Best choice is option C: clubmen

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@dhopkins1776 Instead of releasing grade scores we should release grade percentiles only. But probably every university has to do this for it to work.

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@jmwooldridge Unfortunately you'll also need to rewrite the slides of many statistics professors! (Please rewrite their discussion of normal errors and binary outcomes while you're at it.)

[American National Election Studies (ANES) @electionstudies]

The full release of the ANES 2024 Time Series #Data is available for download. Read more here: https://t.co/OmbHCApuIM

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@ChenoaYorgason That's a really cool shirt

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@johnmsides Or (3) compositional change.

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@davidshor Attitude change or a compositional difference?

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@JustinWolfers Perhaps actual consumer confidence depends on partisanship.

[David @schaalfan]

It’s his time

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@NateSilver538 A priori adopting the same weighting method as other pollsters isn't herding 🐑, especially if the pollster has been doing it all season. It's a bad idea, but that's another story.

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@dhopkins1776 Looks like they "came home"

[Guilherme Jardim Duarte @guilhermejd1]

No defiers is a required assumption for identification of LATE in IV analysis. If that is false, the best thing you can do is to calculate bounds for the LATE.

But what happens if limit the maximum proportion of defiers. For instance, what if I don't believe is > 10%?

[Matthew Tyler @_mdtyler]

@JeremyCPope @nytimes Would the best scale for that be 0-100%?