@baseballcrank@yeselson New states have been created for partisan reasons since our founding! Why do you think we have two Dakotas, Wyoming, Montana and Washington? Puerto Rican statehood was on the Republican platform from the 1970s until Trump, for fucks sake
@romeo_voids I’m not sure they’d want that. When the Senate is tight, he’s worth wooing, especially if he’s vote 50 or 51. But would they want him as the R incumbent when the difference between 56 vs 55 is negligible. Why have him in the R primary when you can have a reliable down the line R?
Random thought. I think Fetterman steps down in the next 12 months. He alienated his own party & the caucus is too big for him to be able to be a Manchin/Sinema and throw his weight around. He’s not much use to Republicans either. He may find himself pretty lonely in the Senate
@robbysoave His only business is selling to the government. Karp isn't running a consumer products business. No one knows who Jim Taiclet* is, even though his company is just as reliant on government contracts. He just knows how to STFU and stay out of politics
* Lockheed Martin's CEO
@xenocryptsite The difference between 220-215 and 250-185 is pretty big because a handful of troublemakers can hamstring your agenda. That said every seat after about 230ish is largely gilding the lily
@TheLastNeocon The Dems were able to ride with Pelosi when they had fallow periods. Republicans have never been able to have a stable leader no matter how big their caucus has been. It seems to be a foundational problem with the Republican caucus since Gingrich
@mattyglesias Even if it wasn’t political suicide, implementing an income tax in Texas requires a state constitutional amendment. How the hell would Hinojosa pull that off
@SeanTrende Graham was rated Lean R, when that race was polling closer than Kansas, which was a Toss Up. Florida was rated Likely R when it was polling at Moody +6, NC was rated Likely D and it was polling at Cooper +11
@DanRosenheck You said misses on the high side are more "forgivable" because "it still 'feels' like the polls were 'right', since they did 'tell' us who would win." The polls in 2020 basically told us who would win (Biden president, Dems keep House, Dems win Senate), the margin was just off