There is nothing to do now at all, but ride runner in #ES_F. Longs still working from last Wednesday's 7616 Aug3rd low Failed Breakdown. My target was ~7770 macro bull flag resistance. We broke it out, and we are off now.
7850, 7860, 7864 next. 7812 (watch traps), 7770=supports
The S&P 500's 5.6% average gain from the September 30 low through year-end in midterm years still looks intact unless macro data shifts the setup. What would change the read is if breadth fails to expand into that window.
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It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Tech closing in on highs while $XLE cools and $XLI stays deeply oversold suggests narrow breadth that could limit any sustained upside unless the cyclical lag starts to close.
I will be brutally honest with you.
The market since 2023 has one job - create FOMO.
It will make you cry for months.
Then move 10% in a week.
Stocks you wanted suddenly up 30-50%.
Gone. Without you.
This is why preparation isn't optional.
When it moves, it moves fast. By the time you figure out what you want to buy - you're already chasing. You're already part of the crowd you wanted to avoid.
Everyone has the same dream:
"I'll buy when it starts trending up."
1. That dream only comes true if you already know —
What the market is doing.
Which levels matter.
2. Which stocks you'd want to own at the bottom.
At exactly what price you'd pull the trigger.
I spent 3 months preparing.
I took trades that didnt work
I was still showing up day after day, week after week
Without that homework done in advance, you don't buy the dip.
You buy the rip.
I know this will piss some people off.
Let it.
I'm not here to tell you what you want to hear.