@JohnHuber72 I've always felt that growth is overrated. Especially since many high growth companies have low ROIC and are actually destroying value. If you look at Buffett's major investments, two things are obvious. 1) He doesn't care about growth and 2) He cares very much about ROIC.
@DividendGrowth I came up with similar numbers but nearly every "expert" article I've read on the topic tells you its better to wait. I think most take a simplistic view and dont consider opportunity cost, time value of money etc.
@JRogrow@DataTrekMB There is non stop talk about the impressive S&P earnings growth this year but very little discussion or concern about declining free cash flow.
I remember when FCF was used to value a business.
@Tangible_Bruce Like many things in investing, people act like there is a right way and a wrong way. It depends...4 yrs ago, I had 45% of our portfolio in $brk.b, $meta, and $goog because they were very cheap and I considered them high quality. But I also had a basket of net nets. (1% each)
@ariaradnia Good point. $goog financials need to be adjusted just like $brk.b. Net earnings became meaningless once GAAP came up with the silly idea of running both realized and unrealized investment gains and losses through the P&L.
@DougKass Joe T is the only one I know of where you can track his performance since he has his own ETF.
His 5 year CAGR is 8.7% vs 11.4% for the S&P 500.
There is a lot of talk about earnings growth and P/E ratios but no mention of what really matters: Free cash flow, ROIC, and intrinsic value.
Any company can generate earnings growth by spending massive amounts of cap-ex.
@EmoryExplorer Great question. Maybe they have enjoyed the great returns for so long, they convince themselves they are diversified enough. Great returns are intoxicating. I warned several people about tech stocks in 1999 when the QQQ had a P/E over 100. I can't think of one person who sold.