Diego Colman

Market strategist

[Earnings Whispers @eWhispers]

#earnings for the week of August 10, 2026

https://t.co/My2Eq16qS8

$NBIS $SMCI $RKLB $CRWV $LITE $AMAT $ASTS $FLY $CSCO $PLUG $QUBT $HIMS $INFQ $COHR $GCTS $CBRS $SE $BRK.B (Saturday) $ARCO $CAVA $BETA $MLCO $CEVA $FIGR $LUNR $GPRO $ENVX $EAT $CAH $FRMI $B $AIT $BGS $TRMB $FNV $ALLO $USAR $AMCR $LQDA $NUS $ONON $CECO $WYFI $ALMR $ASND $XE $VG $BSEM $AAON $JD

[SqueezeMetrics @SqueezeMetrics]

@dampedspring I think this is a generally accepted "good assumption," but I don't think that expectations, or thereby pricing of other structures, are *actually* built on that stitched-together probability density. The only people who stitch together the implied PDF are doing it for fun.

[Christopher Vecchio, CFA @CVecchioFX]

See the full convo here: https://t.co/sud6cO2WhU

[Martha Gimbel @marthagimbel]

New estimates from @The_Budget_Lab including the possibility of 15% section 122 tariffs (which at the moment I believe only exist in tweet form). Everyone tip @riccoja so he doesn’t have to pay taxes on it.

Only a slight movement up in overall ETR which reflects the exemptions.

[Christian Fromhertz 🇺🇸 @cfromhertz]

*US DEC. CORE PCE PRICE INDEX RISES 0.4% M/M; EST. +0.3%

[Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon]

Fed minutes point to more cuts if there is inflation progress, but caution around disinflation being slower than expected

@business

[Christian Fromhertz 🇺🇸 @cfromhertz]

*US JAN. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3%
*US JAN. CORE CPI RISES 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.3%

#inflation

[Noel Smith @NoelSmith]

S&P is flat over the past month, but the average stock moved 10.8% — a dispersion spread at the 99th percentile over 30 years. Crushed correlations (1m rCorr 8.9) driven by massive Growth-to-Value rotation, pod shop de-risking at 100th %ile gross leverage, and 0DTE/leveraged ETF amplification have made dispersion trades (long single-stock vol, short index vol) wildly profitable. The catch: prior 99th %ile dispersion events have historically clustered around major market shocks, with the backtest showing ugly negative median SPX returns in the t+2m to t+3m window. Small sample (n=8), but a clear caution flag. Source is Nomura:

[Michael Batnick @michaelbatnick]

Wild market. We haven't seen anything like this since the dotcom bubble burst.

Over the last 8 sessions, 115 stocks in the S&P 500 have decline 7% or more in a single day.

The average drawdown when that happens is 34%. Right now we're 1.5% below the all-time high.

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

We can have bad days and scary headlines, that happens.

But as we've been saying for years now, this is a broad-based rally that likely has a lot longer left to it.

Nice one from @granthawkridge in his note today that shows various advance/decline lines making new highs.

[Bespoke @bespokeinvest]

The average Russell 1,000 software stock needed to gain more than 50% to get back to its average analyst price target coming into today. Here's a look at the names the farthest below their price targets:

[Mike Singleton, CFA @InvictusMacro]

Phenomenal crash in momentum today

Worst day since the COVID reopening

Very interesting analog given prevailing economic/market conditions

$MTUM $SPY

[Wasteland Capital @ecommerceshares]

Insane Q4 print from $GOOG. Revenue accelerating yet again to +18% (+16 last Q). Cloud+48% (What. The. F*ck?) 😳. Search +17% (it was supposedly dead, hahaha). Margins strong, EPS +31%, scaling well. ‘26 Capex guide $175-185bn = demand driven. Gemini app now 750m users. 👏👏👏

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

JP Morgan trims D.R. Horton price target to $119 from previous $136.

[Christian Fromhertz 🇺🇸 @cfromhertz]

*US NOV. CORE PCE PRICE INDEX RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.2%

*US NOV. PERSONAL SPENDING RISES 0.5% M/M; EST. +0.5%

[Diego Colman @DColmanFX]

@JakeSherman when is the next opinion day?

[Diego Colman @DColmanFX]

@WAR527 I wouldn't invest very long-term in the energy sector but trading it can be great when market dislocations are extreme

[Christian Fromhertz 🇺🇸 @cfromhertz]

*US DEC. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.3%

*US DEC. CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3%

[Christian Fromhertz 🇺🇸 @cfromhertz]

*US DEC. NONFARM PAYROLLS RISE 50K M/M; EST. +70K
*US DEC. PRIVATE PAYROLLS RISE 37K M/M; EST. +75K
*US DEC. TWO-MONTH PAYROLL NET REVISION SUBTRACTS 76,000
*US DEC. AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS RISE 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.3%

#Jobs

[investingLive @investingLive_]

JPMorgan sees limited oil impact from Venezuela shift, upside depends on US role
https://t.co/0jsKR2bYcP