- Pergi ke Singapura, sadar mustahil menjadi negara maju tanpa tata kelola yang baik.
- Pergi ke China, sadar betapa jauhnya Indonesia tertinggal dalam teknologi dan industrialisasi.
- Pergi ke Jepang, sadar bahwa disiplin adalah fondasi kemajuan.
- Pergi ke Korea Selatan, sadar bahwa investasi pendidikan dan teknologi bisa mengubah nasib bangsa.
- Pergi ke Taiwan, sadar bahwa penguasaan teknologi bisa menjadi kekuatan ekonomi dunia.
- Pergi ke Jerman, sadar bahwa industri manufaktur dan pendidikan vokasi sangat menentukan.
- Pergi ke Swiss, sadar bahwa negara kecil pun bisa menjadi sangat makmur.
- Pergi ke Belanda, sadar bahwa keterbatasan sumber daya alam bukan penghalang kemajuan.
- Pergi ke Amerika Serikat, sadar bahwa inovasi dan riset adalah mesin pertumbuhan ekonomi.
- Pergi ke Vietnam, sadar bahwa negara yang dulu tertinggal pun bisa berlari lebih cepat.
STOP berprasangka Prabowo selalu dikibulin bawahannya pake laporan palsu!
2014 & 2019 beliau deklarasi kemenangannya.
Ada dua data saat itu:
1. Data perhitungan resmi
2. Data perhitungan / laporan palsu dari bawahannya.
Dia pilih yg mana?
Yup betul, dia pilih yg bikin dia senang
Singapore PM why his government doesn't cap prices to reduce cost of living pressures.
What western leader today could explain the value of price signals in such a way?
In the obsession with AI, too many founders, leaders, managers seem to have forgotten that an engineer with motivation + drive + focus + AI >> hundreds of AI agents without any of those
The best products and companies are built by people and teams like that, and will continue to be so
Ask yourself, again, why the AI labs hire the best of the best (some of the most driven people in the industry; founders, CTOs etc) if people aren't making the differrence when everyone has access to similar tools already
Thats the key: sembako. Who cares about job creation or friendly investmsnt climate, too abstract of a concept for many who still struggle to make ends meet
A version of the Fermi paradox I keep coming back to: if we really are a few years from AGI, why hasn't anyone shown up to watch, or to stop us? The three answers that come to mind are that we
1. aren't as close as we think
2. that AGI isn't the big deal we think it is
3. that nobody is out there
I don't think the first one does anything. Whoever is out there is not on our calendar. To a civilization a million years ahead of us, 2030 & 2300 look the same, so our timing is irrelevant to them. The real question is: what happens to a civilization after it gets there?
The visit part has a simpler problem. Whatever signal exists that we are near AGI is maybe fifteen years old. Nobody more than a few light years away has had time to see it, let alone do something about it. I'm not sure why a superintelligence would feel any urge to warn us. That feels like us projecting?
The version of the argument I find harder to dismiss runs the other way. If AGI is as transformative as people say, a civilization that went through it should be exactly the kind of thing we can see from here, Dyson swarms & waste heat. But.. we have looked & nothing(?) The G survey went through about 100,000 galaxies in the infrared & found nothing that looks like a civilization eating its starlight. So either nobody has made it through the transition, or the ones that did are not visible.
The grim reading is Michael Garrett's thesis, which argues AI is the Great Filter & that a technical civilization lasts only a couple hundred years after building it. The one I find more interesting is that superintelligence makes a civilization smaller. Computation is cheaper when it runs cold & compact, so a civilization optimizing for intelligence has no reason to build a Dyson swarm at all.. instead it turns inward & goes dark. (That is the opposite of the Kardashev logic, where more advanced means more energy captured)
Then there is Robin Hanson's grabby aliens model, which says the expanders exist & we simply haven't been reached yet because we are early. Most of the universe's habitable time is still ahead of it. If an expansion wave had gotten here first, we wouldn't be around to ask the question.
And "we're alone" is actually more likely than it sounds. Sandberg, Drexler & Ord redid the Drake equation in 2018 & got a 39% - 85% chance that we are alone in the observable universe. Most of the paradox comes from multiplying medians.
What all of these share is the timescale. Going from the first radio broadcast to superintelligence takes about 150 years, which is nothing against 13.8 billion years.
So whatever is out there is either pre-industrial & invisible, or already on the other side of the thing we are about to build.
Every career movement I had in my life came from doing the hard thing.
Learning to code. Studying for FAANG interviews. Switching to mobile so I could work on Reels. These were all extremely hard for me.
These days AI makes it easy to skip hard things. You can ship something without ever really understanding it.
I think the hard thing now is to slow down. Look at what the AI created. Learn how it actually works. Ask questions until you understand what you’re shipping.
As we move toward fewer reviews, that understanding matters more, not less.
You can now set Claude Code's output style to Concise.
Claude leads with the result, keeps responses short, and still gives full detail when you ask.
Turn it on in /config → Output style, or set "outputStyle": "Concise" in settings.json.
How could you said xx increase if you don't show any concrete numbers in the measurement itself 😅
This is a pure psychological play. Behind, they can adjust anything as they want.
We’re extending the 50% increase to weekly Claude Code limits through August 31.
We hope to make this a permanent change to our plans, but strong demand for our models means that capacity may be tight over the coming weeks. We’ll keep you posted as things develop.
Prediksi gw: Mobnas bakal gagal ala Esemka & Timor.
Alasannya, tidak ada kompetisi.
Ketika China punya kebijakan industri mobil, apa yang China lakukan? Inkubasi ratusan perusahaan mobil. Suruh bersaing bunuh-bunuhan. Pemerintah dukung habis-habisan.
Lalu China berhasil.
Mau tahu apa yang bakal terjadi kalau Mobnas tidak punya kompetisi?
- Malas gila-gilaan.
- Puluhan komisaris titipan partai hanya gabut, kerjanya makan-makan dan mabuk dan mencuri aset perusahaan.
- Rugi dikit langsung nangis minta uang cash ke Danantara atau minta proteksionisme pemerintah.
- Nggak mau kompetisi dengan pesaing luar negeri di luar negeri. Toyota, Mitsubishi, dll berinovasi gila-gilaan karena ekspornya harus bersaing dengan Ford, GM, dll di pasar Amerika.
- Nggak mau mikir.
- Nggak mau kerja.
- Nggak mau analisis pasar.
- Nggak mau inovasi.
- Nggak mau cari supplier murah.
- Politik kantor yang ekstrem dengan tujuan mencuri aset dan uang cash perusahaan. Kalau salah politik, maka akan ditangkap kayak Ibam. Kemudian perusahannya roboh karena isinya cuma bunuh-bunuhan secara literal.
China punya banyak perusahaan mobil.
Korea punya banyak perusahaan mobil.
Jepang punya banyak perusahaan mobil.
Jerman punya banyak perusahaan mobil.
Amerika punya banyak perusahaan mobil.
Semuanya saling bersaing, saling gigit, saling bunuh memperebutkan konsumen. Akhlak mereka adalah, "konsumen adalah raja" sehingga harus disembah. Perusahaan yang gabut gajelas, ga bisa ngatur uang, ga bisa inovasi, ga bisa nyari orang, ga bisa jualan ke konsumen dipastikan bangkrut.
Model ekonomi Indonesia selalu 1 unit usaga terus. Pertamina, PLN, Timor. Akhlak mereka adalah, konsumen adalah hama tikus menjijikkan. Udah bagus dikasih mobil.
Yaudah sini saya jelasin.
Kata "al-Kawa'ib" sejak awal tak pernah bermakna sensual, melainkan bermakna deskripsi fisikal. Itu sebabnya "al-Kawa'ib" yang memiliki akar kata "Ka'b" digunakan untuk menggambarkan struktur fisik, baik manusia, tanaman, bangun ruang juga bangun datar.