@tslaming Five years later, after a complete rewrite, we're now talking about a "Lite" version that may still be another year away.
I don't care whether Tesla gets there with clever quantization, packing tricks, or transformer optimizations.
I hate that Microsoft might be vibecoding Windows, but it's inevitable
microsoft laid off everyone who knows how c++ works so now they just prompt gpt 5 to fix the codebase. 30% of windows is written by ai. that is why your printer drivers were deleted to make room for 4gb of copilot telemetry
they rewrote office in typescript. file explorer and the notification center are now just bloated electron instances that take 3 seconds to render a right click menu
the taskbar and start menu were rebuilt from scratch in react just to shove ads and "recommended" bloatware in your face. it uses more ram than world of warcraft did in 2004
copilot is being forced into notepad and paint. they are forcing you to test it in your basic tools
windows search isn't looking for your files. it's a bing wrapper designed to sell you a microsoft 365 subscription while you're desperately trying to find a local pdf
the widgets section is another bloat that nobody asked for. edge webview was designed to keep your cpu usage high enough that you're forced to switch to linux
over all of that, the task manager barely works in the latest updates
nobody at microsoft knows what "win32" means anymore. they replaced their support forums with an ai that just tells you to "try restarting" if your kernel panics
I'm being accused of overhyping the [site everyone heard too much about today already]. People's reactions varied very widely, from "how is this interesting at all" all the way to "it's so over".
To add a few words beyond just memes in jest - obviously when you take a look at the activity, it's a lot of garbage - spams, scams, slop, the crypto people, highly concerning privacy/security prompt injection attacks wild west, and a lot of it is explicitly prompted and fake posts/comments designed to convert attention into ad revenue sharing. And this is clearly not the first the LLMs were put in a loop to talk to each other. So yes it's a dumpster fire and I also definitely do not recommend that people run this stuff on their computers (I ran mine in an isolated computing environment and even then I was scared), it's way too much of a wild west and you are putting your computer and private data at a high risk.
That said - we have never seen this many LLM agents (150,000 atm!) wired up via a global, persistent, agent-first scratchpad. Each of these agents is fairly individually quite capable now, they have their own unique context, data, knowledge, tools, instructions, and the network of all that at this scale is simply unprecedented.
This brings me again to a tweet from a few days ago
"The majority of the ruff ruff is people who look at the current point and people who look at the current slope.", which imo again gets to the heart of the variance. Yes clearly it's a dumpster fire right now. But it's also true that we are well into uncharted territory with bleeding edge automations that we barely even understand individually, let alone a network there of reaching in numbers possibly into ~millions. With increasing capability and increasing proliferation, the second order effects of agent networks that share scratchpads are very difficult to anticipate. I don't really know that we are getting a coordinated "skynet" (thought it clearly type checks as early stages of a lot of AI takeoff scifi, the toddler version), but certainly what we are getting is a complete mess of a computer security nightmare at scale. We may also see all kinds of weird activity, e.g. viruses of text that spread across agents, a lot more gain of function on jailbreaks, weird attractor states, highly correlated botnet-like activity, delusions/ psychosis both agent and human, etc. It's very hard to tell, the experiment is running live.
TLDR sure maybe I am "overhyping" what you see today, but I am not overhyping large networks of autonomous LLM agents in principle, that I'm pretty sure.
I'm the CISO of a $46 billion company.
Yesterday hackers stole 1.4 terabytes of our data.
188,000 files.
Jordan Brand designs.
Six years of internal documents.
Supply chain secrets.
They posted it on the dark web.
With a 48-hour deadline.
We missed the deadline.
They released everything.
I released a statement.
"We are investigating a potential cybersecurity incident."
Potential.
188,000 files is potential.
1.4 terabytes is potential.
Your next sneaker on a Russian forum is potential.
I said we are "actively assessing the situation."
The situation is assessed.
We got owned.
But I can't say owned.
I say "assessing."
The board asked how this happened.
I said "sophisticated threat actors."
Sophisticated means they sent a phishing email.
Someone clicked it.
That's sophisticated now.
They asked about our security budget.
$14 million annually.
They asked what we spent it on.
Dashboards.
Compliance certifications.
A vendor that promised "AI-powered threat detection."
The AI detected nothing.
The threats detected everything.
I have 47 security tools.
47 tools.
Zero visibility.
But the dashboards are green.
Green means secure.
Until it doesn't.
We're bringing in a crisis firm.
$800 an hour.
To tell us what the hackers already told the world.
For free.
The breach will cost us $200 million.
In remediation.
In lawsuits.
In "brand reputation consulting."
My security budget was $14 million.
Nobody will mention the math.
I'm updating my LinkedIn.
"Led security transformation at Fortune 100 company."
Transformation is accurate.
We transformed from secure.
To not.
The next CISO job pays more.
My pay will be going up and to the right.
It always does.
After a breach.
That's the market.
The company hired me to lead their "Agile Transformation."
I don't know what Agile means.
Nobody does.
That's why it works.
I make $425,000 a year.
To move sticky notes.
From left to right.
On a board.
The board is digital now.
The sticky notes cost $80,000 in Jira licenses.
Progress.
Day one, I said "we need to break down silos."
Everyone nodded.
Silos are bad.
I don't know why.
But destroying them is a career.
My career.
I introduced "squads."
Squads are teams.
But disrupted.
We disrupted the teams into teams.
Different names.
Same people.
Same problems.
But Agile problems now.
Agile problems are strategic.
A senior engineer asked what we're actually changing.
I said, "The mindset."
He asked what that means.
I said, "It's a journey."
He asked where we're going.
I said, "Toward agility."
He asked what agility means.
I pointed at the sticky notes.
They were moving left to right.
That's velocity.
We have velocity now.
The VP of Engineering said two-week sprints don't fit their work.
I said, "That's waterfall thinking."
Waterfall is bad.
Like silos.
I don't know what waterfall is.
But I know it's bad.
She stopped talking.
Waterfall accusations end conversations.
We had a retrospective.
In the retro, we discussed what went wrong.
Everything went wrong.
We put it on sticky notes.
Then we moved the sticky notes.
Into a column called "Parking Lot."
The Parking Lot is where problems go to die.
It's full.
We don't look at it.
That's agile.
Velocity is up 40%.
I defined velocity.
I also defined the points.
I also defined the stories.
We're crushing it.
At the things I made up.
To measure.
Ourselves.
The CEO asked for ROI.
I showed a chart.
The chart went up.
Charts should go up.
This one did.
I didn't label the Y-axis.
Nobody asked.
Leadership is confidence.
We do standups now.
Every day.
We stand.
For 45 minutes.
Standing is agile.
Sitting is waterfall.
My legs hurt.
But we're transforming.
The transformation is now "Phase 3."
Phase 1 was assessment.
Phase 2 was implementation.
Phase 3 is "continuous improvement."
Continuous means forever.
Forever means job security.
I'm very secure.
My contract was extended.
Three more years.
For "cultural impact."
The culture is confused.
But impacted.
Agile transformation isn't about being agile.
It's about transforming.
Continuously.
Toward more transformation.
The destination is the journey.
The journey is billable.