Top Tweets for #LongBets
Just made a $100-to-charity bet with @sivavaid that Threads will hit 200M DAU by July 4, 2025.
He thinks Threads will go the way of Google+ and other misbegotten platforms (including Twitter!). I think Threads will stick.
We'll see where things are in two years! #longbets
@sivavaid @MikeIsaac Hmm. Reasonable projections say Threads will hit 200M DAU in two years so one year is a bit of a reach.
But Iโll take the upside on that two year projection. How about the bet is it reaches 250M DAU by July 4, 2025, $100 to charity of the otherโs choice?
https://t.co/zwgKjpPMGV
@Matt_Camenzuli @ralphbuttigieg @SenatorRennick @MichaelEMann @KosSamaras you will either love or hate #longbets.
you chose the stakes and i match it. we both pay the amount into a trust and chose a charity. the combined pledges go to the winner's chosen charity.
@markcojuangco @HPsiEqualsEPsi @BieglerTom @LesleyG78347579 @PhysWiz @e2dot7182818284 @MTuriddu @lynchmob080 @ianpmcleod @nicknet100 @stepien_przemek @dale_wen @JC47053522 @GlenneDrover @jm493_au @usefulDesign @sideen_dan @DavidOsmond8 @xiaowang1984 @FollowTheScien4 @nukememesdreams @cat240359 @unclepete_100 @roobar99 @EnergyJvd @Nuclearjunkie @LesJohnsonHrvat @Daniel03187025 @civilengineer @james_jobrien @FissionGoing @montaguethecat @aaron_oakley @AustNuclear @diggerdeegs @Numbat73 @yestiseye @greg_barton @GretaThunberg @ziontree @OskaArcher @dylanjmcconnell @R_continuum many (possibly most?) #longbets outlive their wagerers.
i have great admiration for what france did from 1971โ1999. it's not possible to do that in australia between now and 2041, so i hope you have admiration for what we're doing now.
@patrickadownes @mattjcan @sbxr my apologies for missing this. i've let #longbets know that i accept your challenge. ๐
Tagging in @jeffnesbit as I would pay good money* to be a fly on the wall listening to @Clive_Bates and Jeff talk about this stuff.
*NB: Clive already has his eyes on some of my money, dangit! #LongBets
How can we tell the world isn't serious about climate change? G-7 leaders: "We highlight the increased urgency to act to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by around 43 per cent by 2030, relative to the 2019 level".
Insane, apocalyptic, impossible.
https://t.co/mD2lRx1Tdl
@adamdavidson Apologies for ranting at you. I am exceedingly willing to be proven wrong. Perhaps we could concoct some #longbets stakes where you could be proven right? In 5 years, a majority of people who go to the Super Bowl will use an NFT as their ticket? Something like that?
@AnthonyBriggs @evcricket @rpmorris8 @DavidOsmond8 @nicknet100 @EarnestBunbury1 @LesleyG78347579 @GlenneDrover @dylanjmcconnell the only mechanism i know are #winebets and #longbets.
https://t.co/kuAmeFQUnt
@kla_mar @leo_kraus @HenriBontenbal iโm looking for a a challenger. are you my man?
https://t.co/1YhBeKBNGP #longbets
Abel, I bet you one $BTC if you make put Bugs Bunny (The real one) in that mood in the next fifty years. I believe, Bugs Bunny never will loose his coolness, charm and good luck. #LongBets #HaHaHarvard
@MLiebreich i still haven't found a challenger for this #longbet!
"battery electric cars will outsell hydrogen fuel-cell cars by at least a factor of 10 globally every year from 2020 to 2040."
maybe i should have said a factor of 50 or 100?
https://t.co/UgByyGkGRa #longbets
@landrights4all @bradplumer the great thing about #longbets is that the proceeds _all_ go to charity.
I'm thinking about entering a prediction on #LongBets
https://t.co/C5pgSBJz6Z
"In 2040 global CO2 emissions from energy will be closer to levels projected by SSP1-2.6 than to SSP4-6.0"
I am curious if I would get any takers?
Figure below from our paper: https://t.co/Q3r8aMeGCJ
I'm thinking about entering a prediction on #LongBets
https://t.co/C5pgSBJz6Z
"In 2040 global CO2 emissions from energy will be closer to levels projected by SSP1-2.6 than to SSP4-6.0"
I am curious if I would get any takers?
Figure below from our paper: https://t.co/Q3r8aMeGCJ
@Synchronicity34 @michaelpev @smyth_gj @mtaylor_nz @LocalReason @_SocialDemocrat @fitzhunter will you take up the challenge?
(#longbets is an arena for accountable predictions. proceeds to charity.)
If we nominate Trump, we will get destroyed.......and we will deserve it.
Looking for a challenger. @elonmusk? #longbets $brk $brka $brkb $tsla #charity #theoraclesclassroom https://t.co/O9wcyEOcxL
As of December 21, 2020, Tesla is set to join the S&P 500 with a market capitalization of over $650 billion. Such a valuation implies ... 1/6
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