Kaion

[Kaion @hikaion]

- Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and others have argued that Iran is not actively trying to develop nuclear weapons and that Netanyahu is warmongering.

- The Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Parliament (Ali Motahari) stated on camera: “We tried to develop nuclear weapons, but couldn’t keep it secret.”

[حافظه تاریخی @hafezeh_tarikhi]

علی مطهری، نایب‌رئیس سابق مجلس، ۴ اردیبهشت ۱۴۰۱:
ما اول که وارد فعالیت هسته‌ای شدیم ��دف‌مان ساخت بمب بود
اگر می‌توانستیم محرمانه بودنش را حفظ کنیم و بمب را آزمایش می‌کردیم کار تمام شده بود
ما که شروع کرده بودیم، باید تا آخرش می‌رفتیم

[Payton Alexander @AlexanderPayton]

China murders thousands of political prisoners after sham trials: “not one of their more impressive policies”

America executes a terrorist who killed 23 innocent people after years of criminal trials and appeals: “wow what psychos”

[RadioGenoa @RadioGenoa]

UK - Labour's new MP sworn in with Quran in hand. Sagal Abdi-Wali, 42, Somali-born refugee who arrived in the UK in the 1990s, has been sworn into the House of Commons. She won Keir Starmer's old seat, Holborn and St Pancras, on October 8th with 12,292 votes (45.2%), defeating Green leader Zack Polanski. First Somali-born MP in British parliamentary history.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: UK Prime Minister reveals it is "highly likely" that the suspected plot against RAF Fairford was coordinated in Iran & directed by the IRGC.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Electricity production is the best metric for the true strength of any large-scale economy imo

[Andrej Karpathy @karpathy]

Dusting off this tweet from April because this gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is *widening*. It's now less "two groups of people speaking past each other" and more a sharp funnel.

- Napkin math somewhere around 6B people (~75% of the population) have barely come in contact with LLMs at all.
- Around 1-2B (~20%) are casual and infrequent users of free-tier ChatGPT-like products. This group sees derpy chatbots and treats them a bit like a better Google search, a writing aid, or etc. Maybe an agent tries to book you a flight. I have non-tech friends who (reasonably, imo) say they have not much use for it at all. Even many professionals outside of math&code are in this tier. For example, execs and many other functions spend a lot of their time talking to other people, so while they understand what is happening intellectually, it is still second-hand and a bit abstract.
- Now we get to professional use of frontier-grade LLMs in math&code. Somewhere around 20M people (0.2%) see first-hand that large, complex projects that used to take them weeks/months can now be completed by agents with a prompt. Building apps, copying apps, translating apps, decompiling apps from binaries... This has all happened very quickly and recently - less than 1 year ago, I was writing code manually by hand, typing memorized computer code commands into a code editor character by character, occasionally pressing Tab to autocomplete a little chunk of code.
- And finally we get to the ~5,000 people (~0.00006%) with access to frontier-grade systems internally. The external world has seen the preview. It looks like swarms of thousands of agents collaborating over weeks on software mega projects: minting zero days, running cyber attacks and defenses at machine speeds, discovering new science, advancing the frontier of mathematics. Things that would have taken top professionals in the industry years of work. Meanwhile, human review and comprehension are starting to fall behind. For example, people are still involved in the "archeology" of the OpenAI-HF incident from many months ago. Mathematicians may be poring over the 722 manuscripts on frontier mathematics for a while.

The funnel is driven by a combination of factors:
1. The impact scales with ambition, problem size, and horizon. A question with a paragraph answer barely stresses the system. You need a reservoir of big, difficult problems that you really care about. This aspect drives the consumer / professional dimension of the funnel.
2. The jaggedness of the system (which I have written about a lot separately). Capability peaks in domains that are digital, verifiable and economically valuable. This is because LLM capability emerges from reinforcement learning on verifiable rewards on a curated environment mixture driven by revenue potential. This aspect primarily drives the area (e.g. math&code) dimension of the funnel.
3. Access. Free-tier, paid-tier, internal.

So this is the weirdness of the moment. The general public has mostly not interacted with these systems. When they have, it looks like a derpy chatbot. The majority of professionals still see only a modest uplift. And a small sliver of professionals are experiencing the vertigo of the curve going vertical. And it is all happening at the same time.

[Palmer Luckey @PalmerLuckey]

I am getting lots of incoming questions about the public execution of Nidal Hasan, mostly because I have been outspoken on wanting public executions for over a decade.

My position is simple: Executions should be public and brutal, not private and medicalized. They are the ultimate example of the state's monopoly on violence, and the only way to keep that from running out of control is to confront voters with the trade they have made every single time, that they might have appropiate confidence or revulsion in the institution.

This is not new thinking. George Washington thought the same. The way we have shifted from hanging to firing squads to doctors quietly injecting chemicals that send our worst gently off to sleep is awful and dystopian, a total short-circuiting of important feedback mechanisms. It makes needless executions more likely, not less so. People who demean this as barbaric or yucky miss the whole point. It doesn't somehow become torture or inhumane (as the UN is suddenly claiming) just because we decline to hide the act behind a curtain.

And then there are those who suggest any revel in the death of those who truly deserve it is an indicator of a broken or diseased mind. To the contrary. It is normal, good, and aligned with our natural and national order. That it has not been done here in 60 years is an indictment in and of itself.

And that is without even getting into the fact that men were not hung for stealing horse, but that horses may not be stolen.

"I would to God that one of the most attrocious in each State was hung in Gibbets, up on a gallows five times as high as the one prepared by Haman. No punishment, in my opinion, is too great for the Man, who can build his greatness upon his Country’s ruin."
- George Washington, 1778

[lauren @poteto]

not sure what to use grok bot for? send it a link to this post below (almost a thousand ideas in here!), or tag:

@bot read this full thread and suggest ideas for my work and personal life you can help me with

[Liam @liam_fallen]

Grok Bot bought me an iPhone 18 Pro Max.

It was sold out everywhere.

Even Apple said I'd have to wait until the end of October.

So I gave Grok Bot a virtual card and told it to find me one.

→ It emailed stores
→ Found one in stock
→ Verified and ordered it
→ Had it delivered to my house

I'm writing this post from that iPhone.

A month earlier than Apple could get me one.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Seriously, this actually works!

Think of Grok @Bot like hiring a super smart employee who works 24/7 and is extremely resourceful.

You can use it through your phone effortlessly within minutes:

https://t.co/Efbxq5vqTm

[X Freeze @XFreeze]

Actually, it's just Grok @bot is all you need

Because Grok Bot is now powered by Claude Opus 5.5, comes with SpaceXSI's most capable Grok Voice and speech-to-text, and can even spin up coding agents directly in Cursor... all within one package

Real-time 𝕏 search and web, planning, work assistance, software architecture, and execution....all handled from one place

All the workflows Min Choi mentioned is actually now done with a single Grok Bot...

You don't really need to worry about which one you should use for which task....that was a old game

[@amuse @amuse]

PRESIDENTIAL RACE 2028: Even Doug doesn't want his wife to be president...

[Greg Price @greg_price11]

El-Sayed: "If you're a billionaire, you don't make your money off the money you earn working. You make your money off of your money."

[Laura Loomer @LauraLoomer]

If you don’t vote Republican this November, expect the Democrats to allow these third world Islamic savages to completely take over our country.

We will have a civil war in America if the Islamic takeover of America isn’t brought to an end.

Even @KidRock hinted at this when he spoke at the Trump rally yesterday. He’s right. He’s watched his home town be taken over by Muslims and the only way this will end is removing Muslims from America with military force and bulldozing mosques, or a civil war.

Republicans need to prepare.

[RadioGenoa @RadioGenoa]

Mumbai local train. India dreams of the 2036 Olympics. To qualify, you just have to manage to get on board.

[@amuse @amuse]

CRIME: What possible reason could Democrats use to release convicted rapists and murderers?

[Nick Sortor @nicksortor]

SO freaking glad I chose @united over @Delta this morning

Starlink all the way across the country!

Almost like I’m never leaving the ground 🔥

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: Kremlin aide says neither Trump nor Putin wanted to hang up first after their "very friendly" 90-minute call

[@amuse @amuse]

LAWFARE: Obama judge stopped ICE from deporting a career criminal.

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: Billionaire Ray Dalio says success is determined more by "how adaptive you are than how smart you are"