Aleksander

QA (Defense-Tech) | Trading | Calisthenics

[Max Anderson @MaxAnderson]

$BTC remains more or less @ fair value based on USD liquidity

$SPX remains ~100pts above fair value, but within 1 standard deviation, so no meaningful signal either way.

Liquidity is not driving the bus, for now

[frictionalgames @frictionalgames]

Amnesia: The Bunker is OUT NOW on:
• PC (Steam, Epic, GOG, Humble)
• Xbox One and Series X|S
• PS4

Watch the launch trailer below

[frictionalgames @frictionalgames]

Get ready to survive the horrors stalking the dark in Amnesia: The Bunker

Retweet for the chance to win a Steam-key at launch on May 16th!

[JCS-Charting @JoeChartingStar]

Good news, bad news, data, bonds, FED & what so ever. All that doesn’t really matter coz the market will find its own trigger once it’s ready for it. It has been like this forever & it won’t change. Don’t forget, all of this is designed for max frustration!

[GregTheAnalyst @Analyst_G]

@FinanceLancelot Both 1929 and 2023 are end of disinflationary cycle. It's even way more funny to watch those megaphone patterns. 1st was a tech crisis, 2nd - financial crisis, 3rd - printing to infinity

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

S&P 500
2023 vs 1929 🤫

[Dark Pool Don @SpoozDon]

If you’re a bear for macro reasons, why are you buying puts that expire this month

You should only buy short-medium term options based on whatever tape says

If you’re macro bear you need to buy time on your shorts

[Reformed Trader @Reformed_Trader]

I've seen many bulls and even some capitulating bears point to the recent golden cross on the Dow as evidence of a new bull market. I can assure you none of these people ever check their "bullish" indicators during past bear markets.
$DJIA

[Simon Ree @simon_ree]

4 decades of falling yields made investing look easy. More leverage, higher returns. More risk, higher returns. It made everyone look smart.

If you were born after 1960, anything you recall from your financial lifetime is a derivative of this chart

[Tomasz Smolarek - makro i technologie @T_Smolarek]

🇺🇸 TABELA MIAR WYPRZEDZAJĄCYCH RECESJĘ
Listopad

Podsumowanie sytuacji na moich ulubionych wskaźnikach, które powinny wyprzedzać recesję w USA w horyzoncie 6-24 miesięcy. W tabeli zaznaczony jest sygnał TAK/NIE na ostatni miesiąc danej publikacji.

Dominuje TAK. Zapraszam na 🧵

[Nick Timiraos @NickTimiraos]

St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard: “The policy rate is not yet in a zone that may be considered sufficiently restrictive.”

His presentation says a rules based approach would suggest the rate should be somewhere above 5%, perhaps substantially so.

[Tier1 Alpha @t1alpha]

3-sigma moves are always fun. This is only the second time ever $SPX has returned more than +4%, while the $VIX is under 25.

The last and only other time that happened was on March 3rd, 2000 ( $VIX: 20.77, $SPX%: +4.7%).

[Max Anderson @MaxAnderson]

The Fed just gave *big* guidance

They plan to take rates to 5%+

And hold them there for most of next year, until they've "defeated" inflation

Here's why this won't work

(according to basic math) 👇

[HORRORVISUALS @horrorvisuals]

The wait is finally ending.

[Reformed Trader @Reformed_Trader]

$SPX updated hourly: still expecting this pattern to trade out next week

[Aleksander @himruin]

@PGerschmann "Przeciw bogom. Niezwykłe dzieje ryzyka" - Bernstein

[Master WU @MasterPandaWu]

NOW, IT IS ABOUT TIME TO SURVEY THE HAMMER DAMAGE (compare with the original chart--what a beauty!) Making money with some MPW style!

[Master WU @MasterPandaWu]

Radio Silent till [Oct. 14]. See you then. Good Luck. Now SPX=3785.

[Alasdair Macleod @MacleodFinance]

Credit Suisse is not the only major bank whose price-to-book is flashing warning signals. The list below is of all G-SIBs with PtBs of under 40%. A failure of one of them is likely to call the survival of the others into question.

[Master WU @MasterPandaWu]

W-3 & W-4: (1) THE REAL VALUE OF EWT is to identify W-3; PERIOD! (2) see the chart below, the real time & only time to make BIG MONEY is the yellow-shaded zone, the 3rd of 3rd. (3) as of now, the blue shaded W-4, BOTH BULLS AND BEARS WILL LOSE MONEY. (4) why I left for auction???