An important pointer for the make up of the French Parliament and the next Presidential elections…. **within** the left coalition it is a doubling of moderate Parti Socialiste MPs which is driving the rise of the left coalition. Melenchon hasn’t made many gains at all.
Trump keeps signaling he wants to use military tribunals to jail political foes, something the Supreme Court now makes possible. Why aren't we talking about that? https://t.co/rPspWlvDBq
THREAD: Another point missed by the many many Westminster (& other local) media on Bristol Central is Q why ARE Labour throwing the absolute kitchen sink at it (& not as much at 4 seats around Bristol where they could beat Tories)
I thought it was obvious why: the 2028 election
Looks like there were three big transfers of seats on the night
🔵🔴 179 Con -> Lab
🟡🔴 35 SNP -> Lab
🔵🟠 57 Con -> Lib
(kudos to @narottammedhora for this brilliant sankey chart) @thetimes#ge24 https://t.co/omePQYkvAu
Here's how close the Tories came to being the third party (by seats).
There are just 42 seats in England and Wales where their votes was bigger than the combined Lab/Lib Dem one.
They survived because there were just enough seats where the tactical vote choice wasn't obvious.
@F__Timmermans@Keir_Starmer Keir helped to make Labour an attractive party again by sidelining undesirables like Jeremy Corbyn and Chris Williamson. When will you Frans sideline undesirables like Sabine Scharwachter and Paul Smits?
AND I'm all for talking about Reform. It's going to be a massive part of the next parliament. But we also need to talk in the same way about the Greens, who won the same number of seats and who also pose a long term threat to Lab and Tory.
@James_BG Two problems with this, I think:
1) Absent tactical voting, Labour gets a *lower* vote share, not a higher one (see below)
2) People increasingly vote Green not just for the lolz, but because they don’t like Labour. Green vote up this year is a significant part of Lab vote down
Shockat Adam (Independent) defeats shadow frontbencher Jonathan Ashworth in Leicester South, running on a pro-Gaza ticket, in one of the biggest shocks in a constituency result