kiedo

Bitcoin through macro & relative strength.
Regimes, not price predictions.

[kiedo @kiedo77]

I don’t predict Bitcoin’s price.

I track regimes using relative strength:
- Bitcoin vs Gold
- Bitcoin vs Stocks
- Stocks vs Gold

When Bitcoin is winning, I’m constructive.
When it’s losing, rallies are counter-trend.

Framework > forecasts.

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@TedPillows I only know that with btc you won't end poor or losing your money

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@GuyTalksFinance @DividendBreeder Wrong, formal higher education is one of the most important things someone can have.

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@easyeight08 If you don't like it, stop whining and leave the space mate

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@0xLuxi Your calculations almost result in breaking even 😆

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@GuyTalksFinance It's a no-brainer, pay off your debts

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@ZssBecker @Gavel_on_X Consistency above all

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@TheBTCTherapist 4 year cycle

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@TheBTCTherapist I don't get it. Why the cycle would switch from 4 to 5 years? Either the narrative will keep going or it will completely disappear....

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@coinbureau Maybe the institutions need to create a proposal and also contribute code

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@TedPillows So, monero?

[Yogi @Houseofyogi]

Unrealized gains tax for Gen-Z:

You buy a Pokémon card for $50.

Someone offers you $500 for it. You say no. You love that card. You're keeping it.

The government says: "Cool, but that card is worth $500 now. You owe us $100 in taxes."
You: "…I didn't sell it."

Government: "Don't care. Pay up."

You don't have $100 lying around. So you're forced to sell the card you love just to pay a tax on money you never received.

Next month? That card drops back to $50.

Your card is gone. Your money is gone. And the government shrugs.

That's a wealth tax on unrealized gains. They don't pay you back the tax...

Now picture this.

Your mom calls you crying. She has to sell the house she raised you in. Not because she can't afford it. She's lived there 30 years. It's paid off.

But some website says it's worth more now and the government says she owes $15,000 she doesn't have.

So she sells your childhood home. The kitchen where she made you breakfast. The doorframe where she marked your height every birthday.

Gone.

To pay a tax on money that was never real.

Now picture the opposite.

Your dad put everything into his small business. For 20 years he built it from nothing. One year the business is "valued" at $2 million on paper. He owes a massive tax bill. He empties his savings. Sells his truck. Borrows money. Pays it.

Next year the market crashes. His business is worth $200,000.

He lost everything to pay a tax on a number that doesn't exist anymore.

Does the government give him his money back?
No.

Does the government give him his truck back?
No.

Does the government care?
No.

They sold this idea as "taxing billionaires." But billionaires have armies of lawyers, offshore accounts, and trusts. They'll be fine.

You know who won't be fine? Your mom. Your dad. Your neighbor with a small business. The farmer down the road who's had the same land for four generations and now has to sell it because dirt got expensive.

You're not taxing wealth. You're taxing people for owning things.

It's like getting a parking ticket for a car you might drive somewhere someday.

They want you to own nothing and be happy. To fund the fraud, waste and abuse of the welfare state they created.

There is enough money. More tax isn't needed. It's all a lie. But you've been gaslit into believing this is a rich vs poor debate.

I hope you understand what's at stake.

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@GuyTalksFinance Maybe, but nobody knows if this will be in the next 2 or 10 years.... so keep DCAing BTC

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@CryptoMichNL Where is the supercycle you were telling us? You kept insisting on buying alts....

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@TheRealPlanC So, what do you think of the 4-year cycle now? Are you still convinced that it is over?

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@sircryptotips I don't know, when I see a big red candle, I want to buy as much as I can 😄

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

Volatility is Satoshi's gift to the faithful.

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@ZssBecker Isn't there a chance that the 4 year cycle still exists?

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@louisraskin Rotate in BTC what it's left, you will have at least some value back. NFTs are dead for 5 years now

[kiedo @kiedo77]

@rand_longevity K2(mk7) with D3

[kiedo @kiedo77]

I don’t ask “where is Bitcoin going?”

I ask:
- Is BTC beating gold?
- Is BTC beating stocks?
- Is the market risk-on or risk-off?
Those answers matter more than any single candle.