.@sama says the advice to pick one thing to build and pour all your focus into it no longer applies.
"The canonical advice that was correct two years ago was, 'Pick one, and put all your effort into it, because you can't build all 30 things.'"
"You can now build all 30 things. And you can get people to use them all. And you can work more on the ones that work."
"So I think this mindset of lots of ideas, quick feedback, and being open to a lot of things not working is great for this new era for how people build."
@AlexHormozi Really? I am not satisfied with my level of success but I am still happy when my friends succeed? This is only people operating from zero-sum
@paulg AI is a huge win here - went to Midsummer ND recently and had CGPT giving live context for each scene and helping understand the beauty of it - have never felt more richly engaged with Shakespeare
@avi_eisen Problem with Q is that it doesn’t specify how information was generated….
Did you know there was a boy and happen to learn a fact about him -> 1/3
Or the family was selected bc it contains a boy with that fact -> fact and prevalence of fact matters (1/7 in this case)
@avi_eisen Treat each child as having 14 equally likely possibilities: 7 weekdays × 2 sexes.
* Families with at least one boy born Tuesday: 14^2-13^2=27
* Of those, families with two boys: 7^2-6^2=13
So:
P({both boys}|{at least one Tuesday-boy})
=13/27 = ~48.1%