Nate Hopps

I like maths and sports. building @magicmarkets

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

Prediction markets, sportsbooks and sports exchanges have never been connected in a single venue. Today they are. @magicmarkets is out of stealth and open to everyone. 25+ venues, one order book, one wallet — the full depth and liquidity of the global sports market.

For months we served institutional clients only, mostly by API. From today the beta pro frontend and the API are open to all. That includes hard-to-access old-world sportsbook venues many traders can't get near.

Here is what it means for you (a thread):

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@haralabob Nobody likes big ticks
Itty bitty ticks at @magicmarkets

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@edkeonl @Polymarket Nice work, Ed! Our team from @magicmarkets will hit you with our best feedback

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

Attn Polymarket users: run a Chrome extension in your browser to show you when a better price is available at another venue, in situ

[TEB @tebrabbit]

1/ i built a chrome extension for @magicmarkets that shows you when polymarket isn't the cheapest place to take a sports position
it's called thumper. Free to use, no account required 🧵

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@BradAllenNFL Winners welcome at @magicmarkets (sadly non-UK though)

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

Who's excited about the NHL? @EyedeaWorld clearly is

[MagicMarkets @magicmarkets]

The puck drops tonight.

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

See if there's a better price elsewhere out there from within Chrome as you browse Polymarket

[MagicMarkets @magicmarkets]

Traders, meet Thumper, the Chrome extension that compares prediction market pricing, right inside the site you’re on. https://t.co/u9IPgj7ou1

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

This week @magicmarkets is #4 by volume on Polymarket

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@AlexandrVilleda @magicmarkets Sign up at https://t.co/Mx7F6xKmOZ and make the most of the worlds liquidity at your fingertips

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@decenterghost nice hit, ghost!

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@probaaron @samschwartz71 Very cool work, Aaron!

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@equinoxfunds111 Hit up @0xMagicMaker, he'll bring your hopes and dreams to life

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

Novig may have Sydney Sweeney but we have a cute rabbit named Scout

(and more liquidity)

[MagicMarkets @magicmarkets]

Follow the rabbit.

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@AestusValueLab @magicmarkets Also reach out to @0xMagicMaker about our API and partnerships! Let's make magic together

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@AestusValueLab @magicmarkets Just checked out your project @AestusValueLab and you are very very smart, ser

[Mizzy (🐧, τ ) @mizzyonchain]

The prediction market stack is slowly splitting into three major settlement models

1 | @Polymarket / UMA - Oracle + Dispute
2 | @magicmarkets and @KalshiSports - Official sports results
3 | @HyperliquidX (HIP-4) - Validator side settlement

Still the same event but different resolution speed and different risk levels

> Tools like @PredMarketWiki already has one of the best mapping tools for filtering settlement models

This will come in very handy for big traders when making proper decisions on where to size

> And btw, Magicmarkets just launched to public from stealth mode and they’re not stopping, nice job @natehopps

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

@StrategyAs35852 @CryptoBetsss My DMs are open, hit me up and we'll look right into it

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

We're looking for great creators to collab with -- reach out to @CryptoBetsss

[CB @CryptoBetsss]

DMs open. If you're interested in creator collabs, marketing support, or growth hacks of any kind, please reach out. But please be patient too. Small team, and all heads down on lots of stuff right now. Back to you asap.

[Nate Hopps @natehopps]

NFL player props with the full depth of the global market

[MagicMarkets @magicmarkets]

Total yardage is now highly liquid.

[ghøst @decenterghost]

I’m building an NFL portfolio, and New England Patriots is my Super Bowl winner pick and my main position

I’m getting them at 3.7c on MagicMarkets versus 3.9c on Polymarket

That 0.2c difference is already a 5.1% cheaper entry

Then theres the Polymarket sports taker fee -a few percent on top

So @magicmarkets gives me a materially better entry

For a trade this cheap, that is not noise

My thesis is that the Patriots are priced too low relative to my assessment of their chances, and I want to own that mispricing before the market reprices it

MagicMarkets charges 0% maker and taker fees

This is my main NFL position for now

More to come