every polymarket bot is based on this formula
the kelly criterion
f = (p - m) / (1 - m)
p = your true probability
m = current market price
simple rule, but it works on distance
you think edge is about picking winners
but the real game is position sizing
here's how it works:
bot identifies edge: calculates true probability vs market price
example flow:
bot sees market at 50c (m), calculates real probability at 60% (p)
math is simple: edge / remaining upside
(0.60 - 0.50) / (1.00 - 0.50)
0.10 / 0.50 = 0.20
kelly says allocate 20% of current capital
bot uses quarter kelly for safety = 5% allocation
position opens automatically at optimal size
as bankroll grows, position sizes scale up proportionally
as bankroll shrinks, positions scale down to preserve capital
bots are actually destroying manual traders
humans can't make calculations instantly
bots can
the formula ensures maximum growth without risking ruin
position sizing adjusts dynamically to current capital
this is the foundation of every serious automated strategy
Real-time PumpFun token tracking — built with raw WebSockets on Solana using pump-fun-sdk
⚡ Token Launch Monitor - every new createV2 the instant it hits the chain
📊 Live Trades Dashboard - buys, sells, whale alerts, volume charts, all streaming
Powered by our own relay server on Railway that subscribes to Solana logs server-side and broadcasts parsed events to the browser. No polling, no REST APIs, pure WebSocket.
🚨BREAKING: Hedge funds pay millions for HFT infrastructure.
You can run the same thing for $0.
Hummingbot is open-source trading software that generated $34B in volume.
- Market making strategies
- Cross-exchange arbitrage
- Backtesting + paper trading
- 140+ exchanges (CEX + DEX)
16.1K stars. 100% Opensource
Polymarket traders Python strategy decoder script
Copy-trading a wallet without understanding its strategy is "gambling"
This Python script can decode any Polymarket wallet’s strategy in 30 seconds.
You can send the results to your Clawdbot and ask it to copy the strategy !
How to run script in 30-sec:
> Download Python3.1 on your Mac/PC
> Install dependencies using: "pip3 install requests"
> Upload { analyze_user.py, analyze_trades.py }
> Run "python3 analyze_user.py {market} {wallet}"
As a result, you’ll get raw data showing whether a trader is just gambling or has a consistent strategy.
Use Jayden’s article to find all the files and an explanation of how to use them.
Boba Agents is live
The first agent-native AI trading terminal on SOL, BASE, BSC, and more. Equip your agents with the same tools and infrastructure top traders use everyday.
Turn Claude into your advanced market maker, trader, or analyst.
https://t.co/VshHqcvD3c
I built a powerful real-time edge terminal specifically for @Polymarket - multi-timeframe dashboard covering all coins! (100% FREE & fully open-source)
In one sentence: This Python bot gives you live alpha on Polymarket’s Up/Down crypto binaries by fusing real-time Binance order flow, current Polymarket probabilities, and multi-TF technical analysis.
Spot mispricings fast - where the market odds haven’t yet caught up to momentum, aggressive delta, or strong signals.
Perfect for lightning-fast 15-minute scalps (markets resolve every 15 min with constant repricing) or cleaner swings on 1h / 4h / daily horizons.
Pure decision-support tool - no auto-trading, just sharp, actionable insight delivered straight to your terminal.
> Coins covered: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP
> Timeframes: 15m, 1h, 4h, daily - All 16 market combinations are live and heavily traded on Polymarket (especially the 15m contracts - ultra-fast flips)
Features at a glance:
> Streams live trades + full order book from Binance > Pulls real-time Up/Down prices & depth via Polymarket WebSocket
> Computes 11+ indicators on the fly
> Rolls everything up into a clear BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL bias score + probability estimate per timeframe
> Displays a clean, colorful, auto-refreshing terminal dashboard
Order-book signals:
> OBI (imbalance)
> visible buy/sell walls
> liquidity depth (0.1% / 0.5% / 1.0%)
> net flow & volume
> CVD (across 1m/3m/5m windows)
> 1m delta
> Volume Profile + POC
Technical indicators:
> RSI (14)
> MACD (12/26/9) + signal line + histogram
> VWAP
> EMA 5 / EMA 20 cross
>Heikin-Ashi candle streak count
Important:
this is NOT an auto-trading bot. It highlights where Polymarket odds are lagging real Binance order-flow and multi-timeframe TA - giving you an edge on 15m scalping, 1–4h momentum trades, and daily directional confirmation.
Built with:
Python (asyncio + Rich/Textual for a slick CLI look) One-line start:
python https://t.co/ATX2BzEFRH Refreshes every few seconds Completely free & open-source → GitHub repo
Want access? Like + RT + drop a reply or quote below - I’ll DM you the GitHub link
Don’t miss the edge - especially on those 15-minute markets that flip every quarter hour. Seeing all timeframes at once is real alpha.
Here’s to green candles and fat PnL!
I built a real-time @Polymarket BTC 15m trading assistant for every trader! (Absolutely FREE!)
1. Overview
Bitcoin Up or Down is a real-time terminal-based trading decision support bot designed for short-term (15-minute) Bitcoin directional markets, with a primary focus on Polymarket prediction markets.
The bot aggregates:
• Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Heikin Ashi, VWAP)
• Real time predict via TA in %
• Order flow / delta metrics
• Price Difference to track impulse between Binance \ Polymarket prices
• Real-time BTC price feeds
• Live Polymarket market prices and liquidity
It outputs a human-readable terminal dashboard showing probabilistic bias, indicator states, and actionable pricing context relative to the prediction market strike price.
The bot does not execute trades automatically.
It is an informational / decision-support system.
One static screen. Updates live. Fast decisions.
2. Key Use Case
• Decide UP vs DOWN positions on Polymarket BTC markets
• Short-term momentum and mean-reversion analysis
• Price-to-strike comparison with market-implied probabilities
• Rapid decision-making under time pressure
3. Runtime Environment
Node.js runtime
Executed via: npm start
4. Interface
• Terminal / CLI UI
• ANSI color-coded output
• Fixed-width monospace formatting
5. Timezone Handling
• Market time: ET (US Eastern Time)
• Session indicator shown at bottom
How to get it:
RT + Like + Comment “Polymarket 15M BTC Assistant”
I’ll send the setup instructions (open-source GitHub) in your DM.
Thanks!
I bet you'll like it :)
cheers to @zscdao
A real gem in Polymarket tooling ecosystem
Right now, a wave of new tools is launching to make Polymarket trading easier
Everyone is competing on features, speed, and UX. And quietly, one dark horse stands out: SynthesisTrade
SynthesisTrade is a professional trading terminal and aggregator for prediction markets, built with Polymarket users in mind.
1) Advanced analytics
Deeper charts and real-time data that go far beyond the default Polymarket UI
Charts now include full TradingView functionality, with a noticeably smoother and more intuitive user experience.
2) Copy trading and whale tracking
This is the killer feature. Built-in copy trading lets you automatically mirror positions from profitable traders
What many people do manually today or through custom scripts is now native, automated, and cleanly integrated.
3) Strong early traction
At the moment, @SynthesisTrade is already in the top 20 apps by weekly volume. And this is just the beginning. They've only recently shifted focus from Kalshi toward Polymarket
Once the Polymarket builders badge lands and visibility increases, a top-10 weekly spot feels very realistic, with a clear path toward a consistent top-5
This isn't a hyped, fake tool like clawdbot. It's a real product, with real volume, solving real trader problems.
Welcome to SynthesisTrade
https://t.co/12m8Hbd0xR
I think I've uncovered the full network of the Polymarket manipulator
Total Profit: ~$1.5M in just 10 days
Almost certainly one entity or a coordinated group
They are printing money in plain sight and aren't even trying to cover their tracks:
> All registered in Jan
> Low bet count (<60 total)
> ~100% win rate
> Only trading 15min crypto markets
I explained exactly how this manipulation works here: https://t.co/FwB4hAoH4G
Who is behind this? Market maker?
Full list of the identified wallets in the reply
On Kalshi mention markets, automated trading bots instantly buy the word after it’s said.
If you want to beat the bots, you have to buy based on context of where the conversation is headed.
Watch us make $275 buying "Oil" YES right as Trump says "Venezuela" and "Barrels"
How to turn Predictions into Opportunity?
Focus on main things:
- Open Interest
- Trending
- Hot Movers
Booked two interesting markets in Chance about Greenland and Will Trump say (mainstream for now)
Trending Markets show me where attention now with traders positions and their inflow
Dive into Top Traders and insight about score of traders (look for Anjun, Elite 90)
Will give some invites to try Chance (only active traders), just reply
A guy joined Polymarket a week ago and made $100k in 10 bets
He's not famous. You've never heard of him
But he just became the most dangerous trader on the platform
Here's how
Trader "hai15617" understood one thing that 99% of traders miss: when the market is wrong about odds, you print money
His profile: https://t.co/dzZNFFADy3
He made 10 bets in a few hours after signing up
Nine of them lost
But one bet gave him 887% ROI
$11,250 -> $99,900 in a day
Not because he's a genius predictor
Not because he has insider knowledge
Not because he grinds 8 hours a day
Because he found a mispricing that the market overlooked
Here's the dark secret about Polymarket:
70% of all traders lose money.
But 0.04% of accounts capture 70% of all profits.
This isn't wisdom. This isn't experience. This isn't luck.
It's a system
Three things separate hai15617 from the other 70%:
1) They don't predict outcomes - they hunt for mispriced corridors. When the market says "5% odds" but it's actually 15%? That's where they go all-in
2) They bet small, but with surgical precision - 10 bets instead of 100. Each one calculated. Each one when there's an edge
3) They have a niche, not chaos - whether it's crypto, politics, or sports, they go deep. No chasing random markets. Just the ones they understand
These guys are making money quietly on Polymarket right now.
Not Beachboy4 levels ($6.1M in a single day).
But consistent - week after week, market after market
Maybe this isn't your path. Maybe you want a different niche
But here's the reality: markets are flooded with retail traders throwing money at obvious outcomes
And micro-geniuses? They're picking up the garbage everyone else missed.
If you still think Polymarket is about "guessing" - it's time to change your approach
The edge isn't in luck
It's in seeing what others can't
Trader turned $80 into $29,000 using his own strategy
he’s made only 256 predictions that’s actually not that many
because his strategy is pretty interesting:
- buys YES below 0.2c
- DON'T buy NO prediction
- risk less than $1 per bet
Looks like pure luck sometimes, sure
But a 43.9% win rate with this setup is high
https://t.co/PbTqlCkfS6