ctrl+c

Sidecar investor / Long #Commodities, $ETH / Return Stacked ETFs

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

$RSBA seems like such a great diversifier. I am shocked this hasn’t been adopted more

Completely sidestepped the volatility from the last couple days. Less than 5% drop in April ‘25

As I’m scaling out of risky big winners, I’m parking funds here

[Rory Johnston @Rory_Johnston]

On the critical issue of empty tanker Hormuz reentries:

[₿ΞΞnThereDoneThat Capital 賢い @BeenThereCap]

Here’s why I will continue to keep my oil long:

1. It’s still insurance against continued Iran conflict. The current “deal” is so terrible for the U.S., has even key Republican politicians so angry, and is so obviously going to get violated multiple ways by the Iranians, that Trump might be forced to go back to war, or to at least let Israel go back to war. As I type, the IRGC claims the Strait of Hormuz is closed, while Iran’s diplomats claim it is open.

2. The downside of holding is less than consensus appears to think. The #1 reason oil prices didn’t rise even more during March-June is that China sharply reduced its imports. China will almost certainly ramp imports back up to levels higher than Jan-Feb, to refill its reserves. The rest of the world also needs to refill reserves.

3. If oil supply has any sort of hiccup going forward, inventories are now too low to buffer the shock in the way they did during March-June.

4. I am still earning a small ongoing profit on the monthly futures roll to cheaper prices.

If oil continues to drift lower, so that I finally start losing money on my oil long: meh, I’m good, the rest of the portfolio will likely keep making multiples of those losses. If “something goes wrong” in the Gulf, the hedge will finally do its core job.
2/2

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

@toiletkingcap Thank you for saying what we’ve all been thinking

[Rory Johnston @Rory_Johnston]

literally yesterday

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

@UrbanKaoboy AI PsyKAOSis

[🏴‍☠️ @calvinfroedge]

People will remember the turning point for the oil market

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

@MarhelmData Gonna have to change your profile picture if you keep barnacleposting

[JH @CRUDEOIL231]

Oh, I get it—so handing Iran control of the Strait of Hormuz and a clear path to nuke to make them the undisputed regional heavyweight wasn't quite cutting it?

Now we're basically underwriting Hezbollah’s takeover of Lebanon by proving they can leverage Tehran to force a total capitulation from both Washington and Jerusalem.

Absolute masterclass in geopolitics. I’m sure the Middle East is just moments away from singing Kumbaya.

Art of the deal!!!

#oott #iran

[StockCats @RealStockCats]

I've taken the liberty of updating that old outdated "market cycles" graph

[Le Shrub🌳 @agnostoxxx]

"THE WAR OF WORRY" - Free post, enjoy 🌳🙏

https://t.co/qTVXOfvQkg

[Eric Nuttall @ericnuttall]

You've been warned.

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

@SuperMugatu Total jesters

[Alec Stapp @AlecStapp]

Thinking about this Bono quote again

[Daniel Foubert 🇵🇱🇫🇷 @d_foubert]

BREAKING: Iran says the strait is closed.
BREAKING: Trump says the strait is open.
BREAKING: Hegseth says the strait is open.
BREAKING: Bloomberg says 3 ships crossed.
BREAKING: Iran says those 3 ships are Iranian.
BREAKING: Maersk says it needs clarity.
BREAKING: The strait is a philosophical concept at this point.

BREAKING: A fourth ship attempts to cross.
BREAKING: The fourth ship turns around.
BREAKING: The fourth ship's captain says he "needed to think."
BREAKING: Insurance for the fourth ship is now $47M.
BREAKING: The fourth ship is still thinking.

BREAKING: Trump posts on Truth Social that Hormuz is "TOTALLY OPEN, BEAUTIFUL, LIKE YOU'VE NEVER SEEN."
BREAKING: 800 ships remain trapped in the Gulf.
BREAKING: Trump posts again that this is Biden's fault.

BREAKING: Iran announces tolls of $2M per ship.
BREAKING: Iran announces tolls must be paid in crypto.
BREAKING: Iran has not specified which crypto.
BREAKING: Someone on CT says it's XRP.
BREAKING: XRP is up 34%.
BREAKING: It is not XRP.

BREAKING: Russia and China veto the UN resolution on Hormuz.
BREAKING: Russia proposes an alternative resolution.
BREAKING: The alternative resolution does not mention Hormuz.
BREAKING: Nobody is surprised.

BREAKING: Israel bombs Lebanon.
BREAKING: Iran says this violates the ceasefire.
BREAKING: Trump says the ceasefire does not cover Lebanon.
BREAKING: Netanyahu says the ceasefire does not cover anything Netanyahu is currently doing.
BREAKING: Ceasefire is now 11 hours old.
BREAKING: Iran closes Hormuz again.
BREAKING: Hegseth says the strait is open.

BREAKING: Trump floats joint US-Iran toll venture to manage the strait.
BREAKING: The White House clarifies Trump was "just thinking out loud."
BREAKING: Iran says it will consider the proposal.
BREAKING: Trump says Iran's 10-point peace plan is "not good enough."
BREAKING: Trump says it is "a workable basis."
BREAKING: Both statements were made within the same hour.

BREAKING: 20,000 seafarers are still trapped on ships inside the Gulf.
BREAKING: The IMO says the priority is evacuation.
BREAKING: Iran says passage requires "coordination with armed forces."
BREAKING: Nobody has coordinated with the armed forces.
BREAKING: Hegseth says the strait is open.

BREAKING: The strait remains closed.
BREAKING: This is day 41.
BREAKING: We will keep you updated.

[Mr. Beat @beatmastermatt]

OMG HOLY CRAP ARE YOU TELLING ME TARIFFS MADE THINGS MORE EXPENSIVE IT'S ALMOST AS IF WE SHOULD HAVE LISTENED TO ECONOMISTS OH WELL

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

@hkuppy Market green, oil red. “Ceasefire” did its job

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

(WCTW) All Roads Lead To Structurally Higher Oil Prices

https://t.co/jSQiX6E0MD

[ctrl+c @ns_939]

@pineconemacro Coal demand