More evidence against El Nino hype.
Looking at the last 22 years, there's no evidence strong/moderate El Nino contributes to wetter weather. Only 2 of the top 10 years were moderate. 6 were Nina's!!!
The opposite seems to be true in a changing climate.
https://t.co/GX04DpEqmR
@LinuxHandbook Sure glad my entire code base isn't on a remote host I have no control of, maintained by someone I don't know and utterly, hopelessly dependent on.
Maybe one day I'll wise up and dump my code on github. Today, is not that day.
@Weather_West The average EN over the top 15 years is .05 or 5% above neutral.
You're completely ignoring the question of disparity.
You're conveniently using bessel incorrectly. You can't disregard that year because it doesn't fit your narrative.
@Weather_West Are we completely ignoring the 2014-16 EN? Was it not the strongest or at least 2nd strongest? It ranked 33rd out of 38 years.
Again, why do 6-8 LN's show up in the top 15 if the EN's are so dominant? It makes no sense. Clearly, you see that.
@Weather_West It doesn't illustrate your point.
.05 is the average El Nino strength for the top 15, effectively neutral. Why?
The driest year on record was the the strongest El Nino. The wettest year on record was the 2nd strongest.
6-8 of the top 15 years are La Nina's. Why?
El Nino: Hazard or hype?
Social media is awash with "weather wandas" seeking clicks, professing doom & gloom about El Nino. Here's a look over the years of its impact in California, in terms of precipitation.
El Nino: Hazard or hype?
Social media is awash with "weather wandas" seeking clicks, professing doom & gloom about El Nino. Here's a look over the years of its impact in California, in terms of precipitation.
@Weather_West "strong ones can profoundly increase the likelihood of wet winters"
Can you quantify that? 60% probability isn't what I would call profound.
2013 had the strongest El Nino on record AND it was the driest winter for California on record.
More drama, Daniel?
@OvertureMaps@Overture data is a small part of my data needs. It's not a replacement for anything. Same for AI. GERS is a unique ID you use for Overture data. I create a 64 bit ID for my data that has much more information content than just uniqueness.
Selling GERS is your job, we get it.
967 distinct eco-regions from the @EPA for CONUS, levels 1-4. That's 5,842 at level 4. Base map turned off for clarity. Zoom in to increase eco-region level. Click for name:
https://t.co/3h1QSmzz9U
@RyanWeather Absolutely not true.
El nino *might* bring an increased chance of heavy precip, something like a 60% probability.
2013, the strongest El Nino ever recorded, resulted in the driest winter on record for California. The state spent a fortune preparing it.
No drama please.
@GovPressOffice I ride my bike to work now more than ever. Not because of the absurd fuel prices, but because it's the biggest FU I can give to the oil industry and its spawn.
@__snamber Remember, the model generates its 'best answer', not necessarily the 'correct answer'.
There is no 'new' information. Just 'more' information modeled from existing information.