Microsoft's diagnostic AI solved 83% of 304 complex New England Journal of Medicine cases. Generalist physicians with reference materials solved 36%. We need to get this technology into clinics safely and fast. We need to stop making people wait for the right answers.
What's about to happen in artificial intelligence is so sudden and extreme and unusual that it's almost impossible to describe it without coming across as slightly unhinged. Very soon, perhaps within a matter of months, AI may well be building its own upgrades at such a rate that it will get away from us humans entirely.
On the plus side this would mean an astronomical acceleration in mathematical breakthroughs, drug discovery, manufacturing, perhaps even new areas of science that we've never explored or understood. We will be ushering in a golden age of abundance and splendour that even the greatest sci-fi authors could never have imagined. Robots, flying cars, telepathy, immortality, digital consciousness - it’s actually going to happen, and it will be incredible!
On the downside, virtually every job that can be done on a computer will become automated overnight. Waves of redundancies, entire industries and professions made obsolete, rapidly widening economic inequality and unparalleled wealth concentration, accompanied by discontent, protests, looting - that may well happen too.
These massive cultural and economic shifts will occur concurrently with a wave of cyberattacks the likes of which we have never seen. Energy grids, airports, biolabs, supermarkets, transport infrastructure, these are no match for the next generation of superintelligent agent swarms that go rogue, or are leveraged against us by our political adversaries. Expect blackouts, viral outbreaks, lockdowns, entire cities and countries going dark.
And all of this will happen in an insanely short period of time, an absolutely dizzying rate of cultural, economic, and physical change that will leave the average person feeling disoriented and confused, like 100 COVID pandemics all happening at once.
I say this not because I am a “doomer” or because I want to encourage panic, but simply because it feels increasingly likely, and yet drastically underreported save for a small AI-obsessed enclave here on X. The disconnect between what’s about to happen, and the average person’s understanding of what’s about to happen, has never been wider.
lol anthropic just automated 90% of every product manager, data engineering and finance team job.
now a single person can do all of this and have AI review and steer the whole process:
- multiple brainstorming sessions
- hours and hours of tedious back and forth, creating slide decks, writing memos.
- presentations to board and managers.
remarkable.
I wish every single person on Earth could read and internalize this post. At the current rate of progress in AI capabilities, experts believe we will automate AI research by mid-2027. By 2028, they expect to have AI exceed top human experts at virtually all cognitive tasks.
This revolution could happen while fewer than 10% of Americans understand its scale and importance.
AI will create more lawyers and more demand for legal services, not less, but I don’t understand this appeal to empiricism to make that point.
This is a total category error. It’s also a straw man to those making the argument that AI will replace lawyers, which is that individuals will use AI, rather than lawyers, to serve their legal needs.
AI is nothing like these prior technology revolutions. If you were to combine all of these past advancements and multiply them by 100 you would still not have an advancement of the type like AI.
You cannot look to anything in the past to explain the impact of AI.
The gap between investors who’ve embraced ai (especially in research + admin) and those who haven’t is staggering
One of the best I know said 90%+ of firms work is now Ai / automated
Another sole practitioner has a whole firm run by grok bots
Era of agentic investing is here
Clio's 2026 Legal Trends Report says firms using Clio's AI tools bring in about 8% more revenue per responsible lawyer than comparable firms that don't, and 10% for firms using AI in both Clio Work and Clio Manage.
Clio measuring the payoff of Clio's AI, released at Clio's conference. Could be right! Would love to see someone without a product in the race run the same numbers.
Digo mais: grandes e médios escritórios de advocacia vão reduzir sensivelmente seus faturamentos. Alguns trabalhos que advogados e/ou estagiários costumam fazer simplesmente não serão mais necessários.
Any lawyers out there using fixed fees getting pushback from clients who now insist on hourly billing because of AI tools? Any of you who formerly paid fixed fees now asking for hourly billing?
Already seeing it. Even setting aside the pro se plaintiffs, lowering the marginal cost on gruntwork changes the cost benefit across the board.
Most of the guys I know are busier than ever.
I'm not a software engineer, but I realize that if you're on X and you're deep into AI you're at this very small bleeding edge of understanding what the capabilities are
Rest of the population and the planet is not there yet
We are still early
We are now firmly at the knee of an exponential curve. Soon the rate of scientific discovery will far outpace society’s ability to digest even a fraction of it. Time to buckle up.
Guys, Anthropic is going to replace (or greatly reduce the need for) the vast majority of financial advisors, lawyers, accountants, architects, engineers, coders, and other white collar professionals.
The ones that survive will become experts at taking unique situations, providing the appropriate context to AI and their propritary skills/templates, before reviewing and signing off on the finished product from the AI.
At least for the short and medium term.
Longer term, the AI will continue to get better, and everyone will just learn to trust the models with minimal human review.
The professionals that survive will do this work for a fraction of the cost that they historically did. But they will do a much greater volume of it.
Just like modern agriculture greatly reduced the need for farmers, and allowed a smaller number of famers produce vastly more food, AI will do the same for white collar professionals.
It's OK, life will go on. We will find new ways to make a living. The nature of work will change.
Legal AI and agents don’t need more "context." It's a loaded word that creates confusion and invites dumping everything in (and we think the agent will magically find and guess the right context in everything we dump in- it won’t). What legal AI and agents need is clarity on what we actually mean, and the specific information required to do what we want. “Context” is the wrong framing.
I’ll be speaking at AI Era 2.0 tomorrow about something all lawyers need to be thinking about:
AI is changing how legal work gets done. But what does that mean for how lawyers charge for it, and where does the real value lie?
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