Tamas Marki

Advisor, Anticipatory Humanitarian Action @Welthungerhilfe

#DisastersAreNotNatural

🇸🇪❤️🇭🇺

Previously in: 🇳🇵 🇸🇽 🇲🇼 🇼🇸 🇧🇧

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

I just published a write-up about where my idea for DraftBudget came from, why budgeting friction is often really a UI/software problem, and how AI tools helped me finally build it.

👇

https://t.co/11H34wmMBv

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Budgets should be systems, not spreadsheets.

Too much budget work still depends on fragile Excel logic that works until someone inserts a row, breaks a formula, or copies the wrong thing. To me that has always felt like a software problem.

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

The aim is not more tech for its own sake, but making trigger models clearer, testable and easier to reuse (including with future AI and forecast tools).

I've written up the approach and shared the first trigger catalogue here: 👇
https://t.co/khn6lxEbzZ

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Anticipatory action plans already rely on detailed trigger models, but most of that logic lives in text & tables in PDFs.

I've started encoding triggers as plain-text YAML so the lead times, thresholds and logic are explicit, easy to compare & ready to plug into tools later.

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

A recent trip to Uganda gave me the idea for this post on why anticipatory action cannot assume that everyone can read, and what that means for how we design AAPs

👉 https://t.co/v5cMwODtQ2

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Check out my latest article: A local & offline AI adviser for anticipatory action https://t.co/gk9KDfSPXe

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Absolutely love this track by AU from @CAWeC2007 our @Welthungerhilfe partner in Sierra Leone!

An afrobeat groove with a powerful message on #AnticipatoryAction ❤️

It brought me back to my time in the Caribbean with @RedCrossSXM working with music & messages of preparedness.

[Mohamed AU Sesay @MasterAU8611]

@CAWeC2007 With deep appreciation, we dedicate this special song to the WAHAFA Anticipatory Action Project in Sierra Leone — a remarkable initiative empowering communities to act early, protect lives, and build resilience before disasters strik🇸🇱
#WAHAFA #AnticipatoryAction #Res

[Mohamed AU Sesay @MasterAU8611]

@CAWeC2007 CAWeC WAHAFA Anticipatory Action Officers and MEAL Kick Off Development of Anticipatory Action Plans at Lakka Community, WAR CAWeC through the WAHAFA project, has initiated the development of Anticipatory Action Plans (AAPs) in Lakka Community @acf @Welthungerhilfe

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Important

[UNDRR @UNDRR]

More than 40% of the world's population lives in the tropics, where deforestation and climate change are putting them in perilous situations.

This study comes with an interactive mapping tool that visualizes deforestation-driven temperature changes ➡️https://t.co/NxRgPdkiUv

[David Fogden @david_fogden]

As traditional aid funding declines, it’s more important than ever to focus on actions that deliver the most impact.

With evidence showing the life saving benefits of early warning & anticipatory action, it remains essential to prioritize the replication of these approaches.

[Jason Nicholls 💙 @jnmet]

A developing low in the southern #Mozambique Channel & southeast of #DiegoGracia bear watching for strengthening into cyclones this weekend or early next week. Rounds of heavy rain expected along coastal Mozambique & the west coast of #Madagascar into Monday.

[FEWS NET @FEWSNET]

#LaNiña conditions are present in the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

Flooding 🌧️ is expected in eastern #SouthernAfrica. Heavy snow ❄️ forecast in central and northern #CentralAsia. Flooding risks are high in western northern #SouthAmerica https://t.co/gzuSS1nSlF

📸©UNOCHA

[GFDRR @GFDRR]

Weather conditions affect road safety.

The @WorldBank Enhanced Road Access Project restored damaged roads and bridges across 🇼🇸 Samoa, boosting climate resilience and prioritizing safe, people-centered infrastructure.

Learn more: https://t.co/0XM0teIhro

[Ethan Mollick @emollick]

New randomized, controlled trial of students using GPT-4 as a tutor in Nigeria. 6 weeks of after-school AI tutoring = 2 years of typical learning gains, outperforming 80% of other educational interventions.

And it helped all students, especially girls who were initially behind

[Welthungerhilfe (WHH) @Welthungerhilfe]

„Durch vorausschauende humanitäre Hilfe können wir helfen, bevor Krisen eintreten“, sagt WHH-Expertin @IcaJessa. Meteorologische Modelle + Ortskenntnisse dienen zur Vorhersage, um Lebensmittel oder Hilfsgelder bereitzustellen und Auswirkungen zu minimieren https://t.co/tgKdoMsdpz

[Andrej Karpathy @karpathy]

The most bullish AI capability I'm looking for is not whether it's able to solve PhD grade problems. It's whether you'd hire it as a junior intern.

Not "solve this theorem" but "get your slack set up, read these onboarding docs, do this task and let's check in next week".

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Our meeting is part of the Anticipatory Humanitarian Action initiative #WAHAFA by @Welthungerhilfe, in partnership with @CAREIntMalawi and Eagles Malawi.

Together, we will work with communities in flood-prone areas to develop plans for taking action ahead of riverine floods.

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Chrissy Sitivini (49), the Women’s Representative within the Village Development Committee of GVH Mwanawanjobvu in Chikwawa, shares her community’s experiences with floods and the preparedness measures they have implemented in recent years.

[WHH Zimbabwe Welthungerhilfe @WHH_Zimbabwe]

Through a @GermanyDiplo @AuswaertigesAmt funded Anticipatory Humanitarian Action project, @Welthungerhilfe is being proactive about potential disasters. We've partnered with @fctzim to reduce the impact of drought in Mbire, Zimbabwe 🇿🇼. Find out more👇🏿
https://t.co/jInmdJamCD

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Here we were with my great colleague Prince Malema, planting these coconut trees back in January 2019!

[Tamas Marki @tmarki]

Six years ago, I planted a row of coconut trees in the garden of the @MalawiRedCross office in Blantyre.

Seeing them still standing today made me so happy! 🌴

Although construction is happening on the compound, they've been left in the ground and are doing quite well.