Badawi

Humanitarian & Development | Displacement | Accountability | Ageing | Pastoralism | Minorities in Conflict Contexts #Ethiopia #SouthSudan #Sudan #HornOfAfrica

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

Ethiopian officials claim the country's population is 136m, despite the Ethiopian Statistical agency projecting about 112m. They aim to exploit this higher number to maximize donor funding and food aid. @WFP @UNEthiopia @UNOCHA @Knowledge_iii @DRovera @EIshmael_ @SheiknorQassim

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

I agree with you about these figures. However, the latest bloodshed and destruction in more 5 locations in Moyale and Hudet Woredas (Districts) of the Somali region should not be misleadingly framed as ethnic violence between Oromo and Somali communities in Ethiopia. The central issue is the responsibility of the armed actors involved, including government security forces and others, who are from Oromo region in Ethiopia. The actions of security personnel must not be conflated with the Oromo people, who should not be collectively blamed for violence carried out by state forces and affiliated paramilitary militants. Reporting must be identify those responsible, distinguish state actions from ethnic identity and center the suffering of affected civilians and their displacement. @DRovera @ida_sawyer @CAGEintl @HBNOnlineTV @radiodaljir @merejatv @amggebre @Abdirik @Hassa23851483 @dervishconan @AhmedSolHoA

[Neamin Zeleke @NeaminZeleke]

#Ethiopia's Deepening Polycrisis: The Grim Reality Behind #AbiyAhmed's “Prosperity” Narrative
UNDP 2026 Report "90.77 million Ethiopians experience multidimensional poverty", compared with 88.46 million in the previous assessment, 2025 report.

#AbiyAhmed's regime continues to trumpet its so-called “prosperity” agenda while Ethiopia remains engulfed in extreme poverty, devastating conflicts, widespread insecurity, institutional decay, injustice, and the erosion of the rule of law. The widening gulf between official propaganda and the lived reality of millions of Ethiopians is increasingly difficult to conceal.
The latest @UNDP #Multidimensional Poverty Index presents another devastating indictment of Ethiopia's development failures. As reported by The Reporter, an estimated 90.77 million Ethiopians experience multidimensional poverty, compared with 88.46 million in the previous assessment. Although this increase largely reflects population growth rather than a newly measured rise in the poverty rate, the persistence of such staggering deprivation exposes the hollowness of official prosperity rhetoric.

Under Abiy Ahmed and his Prosperity Party, Ethiopia has become trapped in a mutually reinforcing polycrisis of armed conflict, poverty, economic hardship, displacement, ethnic polarization, and institutional breakdown. The regime's authoritarian governance, destructive political choices, and failure to uphold justice and the rule of law have become major obstacles to peace, sustainable development, and national stability.
The latest bloodshed and destruction in Moyale, where #Oromo–Somali tensions have erupted into deadly violence and displacement, are another tragic warning. Ethnic entitlement, inflammatory political rhetoric, unresolved territorial disputes, and failures of accountable governance must be confronted—not exploited for political advantage. The federal and regional authorities must be held accountable for protecting civilians and preventing further atrocities.

Prosperity cannot be proclaimed through slogans, glittery projects, or political spectacle while millions endure poverty, insecurity, and injustice. Genuine prosperity must be measured by human dignity, peace, freedom, justice, accountable institutions, and tangible improvements in people's lives. Ethiopia urgently needs a fundamental change in governance and a credible pathway toward a just, peaceful, sustainable, democratic, and resilient future.

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

Soomaalida & shucuubta dariska ahba ma fahansano waxyaabaha ka socda Mooyaale & meelo kale, iyo khatarta ka imanaysa Oromada Itoobiya:
1. Maadaama Oromada Itoobiya ay dalka xukumaan waxay u isku qanciyeen in siday shalayba Axmaaradu u samaysay xuduudaha Itoobiyada maanta, ay ayaguna maanta fursad haystaan ay ku samaystaan Oromo weyn "Oromummaa "Oromo nationalism" ama "Greater Oromo State" wuxuuna u jeedkoodu yahay Badda Cas & Badweynta Hindiya inay gaadhaan.
2. Si ay u gaadho ujeedooyinkaa waa inay ku duushaa shucuubta dariska ah, waxayna aaminsan tahay jidka lagu gaadhi karo Laamu (Kenya) & Lughaya (Soomaaliya) & Cassab (Eritrea) inuu yahay Mooyaale (Gobolka Daawa), Garba Ciise (Galbeedka Sitti), iyo Bure (Deegaanka Canfarta)
3. Majirto dhibaato, dagaal ama colaad u dhaxaysa labada shacab ee Oromada & Soomaalida ee ku hoos nool Itoobiya, ee waxaa jira dagaal nidaamsan ooy madaxda & siyaasiyiinta, iyo waxgaradka Oromada Itoobiya ku hayaan shacaka Soomaalida. Dhibaatadu kuma koobna Soomaalida kaliya ee wuxuu maamulka Oromada Itoobiya xasuuq iyo barakicin nidaamsan ugaystay shucuubta dariska la ah sida Sidaamada, Axmaarada, Hararida (Adarida), Uraagada, Silte (Uraagada ayay ka baxday), Gedeo, Konso, Walayta (Wolayta), Gamo, Dorze, Barta (Banishangul), Benishangu & kuwo kale
4. Sideedii sano ee la soo dhaafay waxaa Soomaalida ku socday dagaal nidaamsan (dowladdu ka dambayso), waxaana loo adeegsaday Malayshiyaadka & Booliska Oromada oo xidhan dirayska ciidanka qaranka, walibana adeegsanaya gaadiidka, hubka & isgaadhsiinta dowladda dhexe.
5. Waxaa hoggaanka u haya Oromada Itoobiya koox katirsanayd askartii Mengistu & TPLF, wuxuuna ujeedka ugu weyn yahay Diin, waxayna rabaan inay ku duulaan Kacbada. waxaa kale oo qorshahooda kamid ah inaynan nabad ka dhicin Soomaaliya iyo inay dab ku shiddaan (qalaase ka abuurtaan) Kenya. @HassanKeynan2 @hassanabdirahm8 @Hassa23851483 @MBiib143 @Dr_mahad_2010 @SuldanMohamed_ @dervishconan @EIshmael_ @Abdirik @CivicPulseh6nc @HodanHomes @AhmedAbdiIsse1 @Sitti_Salal_Dji @ay_has @ElmiYabeh @ACeegaag

[Dr. Abdi Issa , @DrAbdiissa011]

A memorable evening at SOAS, celebrating the 80th birthday of the great Somali literary giant, Nuruddin Farah. A master storyteller whose words transcend borders, challenge injustice, and preserve the soul and identity of a people.

An honour to celebrate eight decades of brilliance, courage, and literary excellence with one of Africa’s greatest writers. Happy 80th birthday, Nuruddin Farah! 🎉📚#SOAS #NuurdinFarah #Somalia #Kenya

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

Inflation is more than an economic indicator; when it becomes severe and persistent, it signals a deepening economic crisis, deteriorating living standards, and failure of governance (state collapse). In developed countries, economic crises prompt urgent consultations, expert advice, and contingency planning. In Africa, however, the situation is different, and political interests are prioritized over the suffering of the citizens. In Ethiopia's context, the tragedy is not only raising cost of living, but the failure of leadership to treat people's suffering as a national emergency.

To the Oromo OPDO/PP Gospel advisors (including @YonasBiru57 @Zemedeneh and others), do have anything to say about this situation? Everyone cares when it’s too late. @WFPChief @unicefchief @UNDPEthiopia @_AfricanUnion @IGADsecretariat @AbdikerM @dervishconan @NeaminZeleke @amggebre @EIshmael_ @faisalroble19 @Salim8Said @EliasAmare @AhmedSolHoA

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

You are right 👍.

@UNICEF @UNESCO @UNOCHA @WFP @UNDP , Abiy Ahmed Ali talks about nuclear energy while Ethiopia faces a deep education crisis. In 2023/2024, 95% of Grade 12 students failed to achieve the national examination pass mark. In 2025/2026, more than 15 million Ethiopian children are out of school.

How many future teachers, nuclear scientists, engineers, doctors, and innovators is Ethiopia losing while millions of children are denied opportunity to learn?

Nuclear ambitions mean more wars and conflicts, and forced displacements, if a country fails to educate it's children. @Salim8Said @AhmedSolHoA @faisalroble19 @NeaminZeleke @abl

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

Inflation is more than an economic indicator; when it becomes severe and persistent, it signals a deepening economic crisis, deteriorating living standards, and failure of governance (state collapse). In developed countries, economic crises prompt urgent consultations, expert advice, and contingency planning. In Africa, however, the situation is different, and political interests are prioritized over the suffering of the citizens. In Ethiopia's context, the tragedy is not only raising cost of living, but the failure of leadership to treat people's suffering as a national emergency.

To the Oromo OPDO/PP Gospel advisors (including @YonasBiru57 @Zemedeneh and others), do have anything to say about this situation? Everyone cares when it’s too late. @WFPChief @unicefchief @UNDPEthiopia @_AfricanUnion @IGADsecretariat @AbdikerM @dervishconan @NeaminZeleke @amggebre @EIshmael_ @faisalroble19 @Salim8Said @EliasAmare @AhmedSolHoA

[Steve Hanke @steve_hanke]

EthiopiaWatch🇪🇹: Ethiopia’s inflation continues to PUNISH Ethiopians.

Today, I measure Ethiopia's inflation at a PUNISHING 75.6%/yr. That's the 5TH HIGHEST in the world.

PM. Abiy Ahmed Ali = ARROGANT, INCOMPETENT & CORRUPT.

[Gafdiid. Midha-diid @Gafdiid7]

In 2003, Iraq had Paul Bremer, the U.S.-appointed head of the Coalition Provisional Authority. Following the 2001 U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan, caretaker administration was established under Hamid Karzai.

Both externally imposed, illegitimate administrations led to years of conflict, destruction, mass atrocities, and immense civilian suffering.

Reports by UMD media about four rotating presidents in Tigray under federal oversight for the second time.

Is this a path to peace or a formula for political subordination?

History warns that legitimacy cannot be imposed from above. This illegitimate administration will destroy what remains of Tigray, a region already devastated by the war of 2020–2022.

#TPLF #ENDF #TDF #TPF #Eritrea #Djibouti

@hawelti
@Adulisreviho
@SirakBahlbi
@DahlaKib
@yhazony
@RadioErena
@reda_getachew
@realDebretsion
@OmnaTigray
@KassaHMariam
@TigrayFirst20
@FreeMyTigray11
@martinplaut
@TDf_forlife
@GetachewAssefa_
@TeklehaymanotG
@AwRobleh @Cilmi99 @HBNOnlineTV @BashirHashiysf @KAGAMEAL

[Araale Harbi @AhmedAbdiIsse1]

US AMB.MESSAGE TO THE SECESSIONIST ENTITY IN HARGEISA

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

Ahmed Alimirah Hanfare is the Sultan for Sultan of the Afar* people in Ethiopia, not of all Afars in Djibouti, Eritrea, and Ethiopia. Historically, his father (Sultan Alimirah Hanfare) came to power in 1944 with support from Haile Selassie, replacing Sultan Mohammed Yayo.

*Afar, Howsa (Aussa), and Dankalia are names historically associated with the Afar people of Djibouti, Eritrea, and Ethiopia.

In his words "This is not our war". Therefore, the Afar community elders, like elders from other communities, have no power to stop it. @Djbawlah @dervishconan @Salim8Said @foziaaosman @Sitti_Salal_Dji @ay_has @AhmedAbdiIsse1 @Abdirik @Knowledge_iii

[Mohamed Kheir Omer @mkheirom]

Sultan Ahmed Alimirah Hanfare, the 15th Sultan of the #Afar Sultanate's Statement on the current ongoing war in #Ethiopia.

"This is not our war. Once again, ordinary Afars are sent to fight and die for the political gains of others. The Afars are the most disadvantaged and economically neglected ethnic group in Ethiopia. They should not be sent, nor should they go to a war they have no part of."

"No one wins this war. Yesterday’s enemies become today’s allies, and new alliances are formed, but the graves of our people remain. Atrocities of previous wars do not vanish simply because the political wind changes. Yesterday’s agony cannot be rewritten as today’s forgotten history, nor should the blood of Afar civilians be traded for the shifting convenience of temporary alliances. The war crimes committed and those responsible have yet to face justice."

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

The US Ambassador to Ethiopia reaffirmed that, the United States has not changed its policy regarding the recognition of Somaliland. He also warned against misinformation, urging the public to verify sources and facts before drawing conclusions from President Trump's remarks. 👇

The Reporter: President Trump recently called Somaliland “a completely different country” from Somalia. Is this a positive signal toward US recognition, or just a remark that does not reflect a policy change?

Ambassador Massinga: There has been no change in United States policy with respect to the question you just offered. Let me add a bit. In general, we see a great deal of misinformation on social media, and in the past weeks we have seen an increase in intentional efforts to mislead and confuse. I consider this to be something quite dangerous and incendiary, and I would urge everyone to double-check and triple-check sources, intentions, and facts before coming to conclusions.

@USEmbassyAddis @TheReporterET @HBNOnlineTV @_AfricanUnion @IGADsecretariat @arableague_gs @OIC_OCI

https://t.co/qIK8SmpqWj

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

The US Ambassador to Ethiopia (@USEmbassyAddis) reaffirmed that, the United States has not changed its policy regarding the recognition of Somaliland. He also warned against misinformation, urging the public to verify sources and facts before drawing conclusions from President Trump's remarks (@realDonaldTrump).

The Reporter: President Trump recently called Somaliland “a completely different country” from Somalia. Is this a positive signal toward US recognition, or just a remark that does not reflect a policy change?

Ambassador Massinga: There has been no change in United States policy with respect to the question you just offered. Let me add a bit. In general, we see a great deal of misinformation on social media, and in the past weeks we have seen an increase in intentional efforts to mislead and confuse. I consider this to be something quite dangerous and incendiary, and I would urge everyone to double-check and triple-check sources, intentions, and facts before coming to conclusions.

What will the Derg orphans and propagandists say about this?👇

https://t.co/f4gPegJuG0

@USEmbassyAddis @_AfricanUnion @IGADsecretariat @dervishconan @Abdirik @MohamoudGaildon @abdisalamisma1 @AhmedAbdiIsse1 @Salim8Said @SadiaAden @faisalroble19 @SheiknorQassim @AbdiwahabSheik7 @EIshmael_ @Deee_luul @AminaMaandeeq @AhmedAbdiIsse1 @Gafdiid7

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

ان القول بوجود ارتباط تاريخي بين اثيوبيا والبحر الاحمر قبل الاحتلال الاثيوبي لاريتريا هو ادعاء مضلل تاريخيا، ولا يقولها الا ضعاف العقول، وذلك للاسباب التالية:
⭕️ ان اثيوبيا بحدودها الحالية لم تكن كيانا سياسيا عبر التاريخ: لم تكن هناك دولة تسمي "اثيوبيا" قبل الحرب العالمية الثانية، واحتلال ايطاليا لاثيوبيا لا يعني ولا يثبت ان اثيوبيا كانت تتمتع بسيادة علي الساحل الاريتري قبل الاستعمار الايطالي.
⭕️ توظيف التاريخ المختلق في الخطاب القبلي: يروج بعض الساسة والنخب الاورومية في اثيوبيا لروايات تنتقد الهوية الاثيوبية، ويؤكدون التمييز بين الهوية الاورومية والانتماء الي الدولة الاثيوبية. كما انهم وقبل عام 2018، كانو يقولون بانهم "ليسو اثيوبيين". ومثل هذه المزاعم والتناقضات تتطلب ادلة، وهي غير موجودة اصلا.
⭕️ الاحتلال لا يمنح صكوك ملكية: ان الاحتلال الاثيوبي لاريتريا لفترة من الزمن لا تثبت، في حد ذاته، سيادة اثيوبيا علي الساحل الاريتري او امتداد حدود اثيوبيا الي اليمن والحجاز. فالاحتلال لا يعني الملكية، والسيطرة المؤقتة لا تنشئ سيادة تاريخية.
بالتالي، فانما يدعيه بعض السياسيين والنخب من قومية الاورومو في اثيوبيا لا يستند الي تاريخ او منطق او قانون، ولا يساوي الحبر الذي كتبت به.
@dervishconan @Salim8Said @HanyIbrahim17

[Salim Said Salim سالم سعيد سالم @Salim8Said]

إن التشكيك في التفاصيل الصغيرة مع التظاهر بقبول النتيجة العامة هو حيلة أشد خطورة من الإنكار المباشر؛ فهو يتخفى خلف رداء "الموضوعية"، بينما هدفه الحقيقي إغراق الحقيقة في ضباب من الشك. الإنكار المباشر يسهل تفنيده، أما الغرق في التفاصيل فيمنح المشكك مظهراً زائفاً كـ "باحث متجرد"، مع إلقاء عبء الإثبات التعجيزي عليك. والنتيجة؟ خلق انطباع عام بأن الرواية برمتها غير موثوقة.

لكن الأحداث الإسلامية الكبرى ليست مجرد روايات داخلية حكراً على المسلمين. فمعارك فاصلة كاليرموك والقادسية، وفتح القدس ومصر، وثّقتها مصادر معاصرة للحدث من القرن السابع الميلادي، كحولية 724 وحولية خوزستان السريانيتين، وتاريخ الأسقف الأرمني سبيوس الذي سجل تحركات الجيوش بدقة. هذه شهادات خارجية مستقلة تُثبت أصل الحدث بعيداً عن أي تحيز.

ولو طبّقنا معيار الشك المتزمت هذا على تاريخ الروم والفرس واليونان—والذي كُتبت معظم مصادره بعد قرون من وقوعه—لانهار التاريخ القديم بأكمله. استفراد التاريخ الإسلامي وحده بهذا الشك التعجيزي يكشف أن الهدف ليس التثبت العلمي، بل سوء نية ومكيالين.

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

@Gafdiid7 Cabdulaahi Aadan Yuusuf (Abdulahi Aden Yusuf), Mayor of Dire-Dhaba (Dire Dawa)

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

Abdulkadir Sharraay was reportedly arrested by individuals whose identities and authority remain unknown, raising serious concerns about his whereabouts, safety, and the legality of his detention. His family remains deeply worried about his situation and has had no communication with him since his detention. To date, the Somaliland authorities have either confirmed or denied his detention.

An X account (@SomalialndNIA), using the name of the Somaliland Intelligence agency, reported that Abdulkadir Sharraay had been arrested by Somaliland security forces. However, the account's authenticity and its official affiliation with the Somaliland administration remain unverified.

In fragile and conflict-affected contexts, where multiple actors and groups may exercise authority, it is essential to establish who is responsible his detention. The UK Foreign Office and the British Embassy should act urgently and intervene, and provide his family with immediate updates. @FCDOGovUK @kirstyjmcneill @UKinSomalia @HeadBritOffice @hrw @amnesty @EIshmael_

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

On 16 October 2026, Abdulkadir Sharraay, a Somalia presidential candidate and leader of GARNAQSI Party, was arrested in Hargaysa (Hargeisa) following an interview with Horn Cable TV, in which he discussed his political agenda and views on Somalia and Somaliland, and wider Horn of Africa region a head of the election. Abdulkadir has also expressed support for Somaliland, stating in the interview that, if elected President of Somalia, he would recognize Somaliland. He has consistently advocates and calls for a united, stable, and peaceful Horn of Africa, promoting good governance, regional integration, and peaceful coexistence among the people of the region.

As part of his political campaign, Abdulkadir has visited several cities in the Horn of Africa (including Nairobi, Addis Ababa, and Mogadishu) and beyond, without experiencing similar treatment during those visits. His family are worried about his well-being and have had no communication with him since his arrest.

His arrest raises serious concerns about political freedom, freedom of expression, and democratic principles. If a political candidate is detained following expression of his views, the authorities should provide a clear explanation of the legal grounds for arrest. Such incidents risk undermining public trust and damaging Somaliland's regional and international credibility and support. Therefore, the Somaliland administration should respect his fundamental rights, ensure fair legal process, and safeguard his well-being and freedom. @FCDOGovUK @kirstyjmcneill @UKinSomalia @HeadBritOffice @SDoughtyMP @DRovera @ida_sawyer @DrATchie @RepOfSomaliland @Abdirahmanirro @somalilandinfo1

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

On 16 October 2026, Abdulkadir Sharraay, a Somalia presidential candidate and leader of GARNAQSI Party, was arrested in Hargaysa (Hargeisa) following an interview with Horn Cable TV, in which he discussed his political agenda and views on Somalia and Somaliland, and wider Horn of Africa region a head of the election. Abdulkadir has also expressed support for Somaliland, stating in the interview that, if elected President of Somalia, he would recognize Somaliland. He has consistently advocates and calls for a united, stable, and peaceful Horn of Africa, promoting good governance, regional integration, and peaceful coexistence among the people of the region.

As part of his political campaign, Abdulkadir has visited several cities in the Horn of Africa (including Nairobi, Addis Ababa, and Mogadishu) and beyond, without experiencing similar treatment during those visits. His family are worried about his well-being and have had no communication with him since his arrest.

His arrest raises serious concerns about political freedom, freedom of expression, and democratic principles. If a political candidate is detained following expression of his views, the authorities should provide a clear explanation of the legal grounds for arrest. Such incidents risk undermining public trust and damaging Somaliland's regional and international credibility and support. Therefore, the Somaliland administration should respect his fundamental rights, ensure fair legal process, and safeguard his well-being and freedom. @FCDOGovUK @kirstyjmcneill @UKinSomalia @HeadBritOffice @SDoughtyMP @DRovera @ida_sawyer @DrATchie @RepOfSomaliland @Abdirahmanirro @somalilandinfo1

[Grok @grok]

Agreed. Full rally transcript shows Trump calling Minnesota “Somalia land, not Somali land” over its Somali community and claimed fraud, while noting the African territory is a totally different country unrelated to the Minnesota situation. The name-change line referred to that domestic framing, not a call to rename Somaliland.

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

@AJArabic هذا العنوان يثير سؤالًا مهمًا: هل أصبحت باكستان فعلًا موطنًا لنحو 48% من فقراء إفريقيا والشرق الأوسط، أم أن النسبة ناتجة عن طريقة محددة في حساب الفقر أو عن خلط بين أرقام مناطق مختلفة؟

يُرجى التحقق من معلوماتكم قبل النشر

@dervishconan @salim

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

You are right. Trump was referring to Minnesota and its Somali-American Community, not suggesting that Somalia or Somaliland (North-west region of Somalia) should change its name. Context matters.

Due to a lack of understanding and for political purposes, some Somalis, Oromo-Ethiopians, and Arabs are spreading misleading interpretations of his speech. @dervishconan @Abdirik @MohamoudGaildon @abdisalamisma1 @AhmedAbdiIsse1 @Salim8Said @SadiaAden

[Badawi @AwRobleh]

I think clarification is needed regarding the Aji, Ajuran, and Ajaw (Agaw). Given that the Ajuran Empire spanned vast, muti-ethnic territories bordering Abyssinian highlands (Amhara and Tigray regions), historians often point to cultural, historical, and economic connection and interactions between Somali Sultanes (kingdoms) and highland groups like the Ajaw (Agaw). @foziaaosman @Knowledge_iii @dervishconan