Kaveh Azarhoosh

Researching Iranian history at King's College London · Long-term watcher of internet infrastructure

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

من در این برنامه پرگار با موضوع "توییتر، سیاست و تصور قدرت" شرکت کردم و سعی کردم نظرم را در مورد توییتر و ایران امروز بیان کنم، و البته کلی هم نکته از آقای خیابانی عزیز یاد گرفتم.

https://t.co/VaJfSaavXW

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

Given the recent targets bombed in Iran by the US, we are getting closer to the point where a ground invasion will be presented as a possible option.

We are heading towards a full-scale humanitarian crisis in Iran in the process of making this option available to Trump.

[Hamidreza Azizi @HamidRezaAz]

Is the United States Preparing for a Ground Invasion of #Iran?

🔹The escalating pattern of U.S. strikes against southern Iran in recent days – particularly over the past several hours – may point to a gradual strategy aimed at preparing the ground for a potential deployment of ground forces. Such an operation, if it were to materialize, could be intended to seize control of Iran’s southern coastal belt in order to remove Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz.

🔹Reports indicate that recent U.S. strikes have targeted several bridges and railway links in southern Iran. At the same time, there have been reports of attacks on airports. These actions may have been intended to disrupt the logistics and mobility of Iranian military forces in the south. Additional reports also suggest strikes against fuel tankers in Bandar Abbas.

🔹Meanwhile, attacks in Sistan and Baluchestan in southeastern Iran targeted the Iranian Army’s 88th Armored Division, alongside similar strikes against positions of the 92nd Armored Division in Khuzestan in the southwest. Some analysts interpret these operations as an effort to degrade Iran’s military capabilities along its principal southern axes, aimed at reducing the risks associated with any future ground deployment.

🔹At the same time, in what appears to be a recurring pattern, U.S. strikes have continued to target Iranian military, missile, drone, and radar installations, as well as IRGC Navy facilities along Iran’s southern coastline on the Persian Gulf.

🔹Taken together, these developments increasingly suggest a gradual but persistent U.S. movement toward a possible ground operation in southern Iran. In other words, the campaign may extend beyond simply degrading Iran’s ability to threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. It could instead indicate that Washington views control of Iran’s southern coastal strip as the only definitive solution to the Strait of Hormuz challenge.

🔹If such an approach exists, it would go well beyond earlier ideas centered on seizing Kharg Island to cut off Iran’s oil exports or occupying islands overlooking the Strait to secure maritime traffic. However, given the length of Iran’s southern coastline – roughly 1,800 kilometers – and the country’s considerable strategic depth, establishing comprehensive control would likely require hundreds of thousands of troops. Moreover, even capturing these areas would not necessarily translate into the ability to sustain long-term control.

🔹In any event, current indicators suggest that we may be approaching the most significant escalation in the U.S.-Iran confrontation since February, driven by Washington’s failure to achieve its strategic objectives. On the other hand, as noted previously, Iran’s actions thus far have also failed to present a meaningful obstacle to this gradual trajectory. One alternative for Tehran could be to shift toward targeting regional economic infrastructure – a move that would significantly broaden the scope of the conflict and lead to a region-wide catastrophe.

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

It seems the US assault on Iran is moving into a new phase. Let's be absolutely clear: Trump is seeking the Islamic Republic's capitulation, and he knows the price is a humanitarian crisis in Iran. One that won't last months, but years.

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

great

[Ronen Bergman @ronenbergman]

A NYTimes Exclusive:
Inside Israel’s Secret Operation to Cultivate Ahmadinejad
The yearslong effort to groom the former Iranian president as an intelligence asset culminated in a dramatic effort to take him to an Israeli safe house in the early days of the war. But the plan fell apart.

W\ @MarkMazzettiNYT @julianbarnes and @farnazfassihi via @nytimes

https://t.co/FhcFS5GJAN

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

This guy is so weird! What is this?

[Mike Tapp MP @MikeTappTweets]

Good luck England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Thanks for the kick around earlier 🫡😉

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

Hmm this could get much worse very quickly

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

A senior US official tells Barak Ravid that no US military strikes have been carried out in recent hours.

[Mehdy Toupchi @MToupchi75235]

صدای زندانیان سیاسی و زیر حکم #اعدام باشیم.نباید اجازه داد فضای امنیتی در جامعه ادامه داشته باشد.
#نه_به_جنگ
#نه_به_اعدام

[kev joon @never_oppressed]

I genuinely feel sick. This is just beyond anything the mind can fathom. And I keep thinking of what Ta-Nehisi Coates said. If you can’t draw the line at the genocide in Gaza, you can’t draw it anywhere else. Moral failure, on a mass and collective scale, brought us here.

[Mehdy Toupchi @MToupchi75235]

مجتمع پارس جنوبی #عسلویه دوباره زیر بمباران شدید اسرائیل و امریکا قرار گرفت!
#نه_به_جنگ
#StopWarOnIran

[اسماعیل بخشی @salooooch]

مردم ایران، مردمِ مخالفِ جنگِ علیه وطن شان، چگونه، با چه زبانی و با چه ادبیاتی بگویند مخالف جنگ هستند و خواستار پایان این جنگ ایران سوز هستند تا جنگ طلبان آنها را متهم به حمایت از ج.ا نکنند؟

[اسماعیل بخشی @salooooch]

این هم دلیل منفور شدن اینترنشنال بین مردم ایران از زبان خودشان!
با خوشحالی و افتخار خبر از موشک باران صنایع مادر و زیر ساخت هایی را می‌دهد که هزاران کارگر «ایرانی» آنجا مشغول بکار هستند.

[UN Development @UNDP]

Our new report shows that shocks related to the military escalation in the Middle East are increasing pressure on livelihoods, essential services, and human development prospects in Iran.

Read more now: https://t.co/7q3d9L5y7n

[Financial Times @FT]

Chinese government bonds have sidestepped a global debt sell-off since the start of the Iran war, emerging as a haven from soaring energy prices and rising global inflation.

What’s behind Chinese bonds’ resilience? https://t.co/qMO6AO24vM

[محمد حبیبی @mhkh58]

تا قطع نشدم کوتاه بگم:
من همیشه مخالف جنگ بوده و هستم .
جنگ چیزی جز ویرانی و تثبیت استبداد نیست .
اما اینها ۲۸ ام یک روز قبل عید ریختن خونه ما ، همه خونه رو بهم ریختن و هر وسیله ارتباطی داشتیم بردند.
با بدبختی شب عید دوتا گوشی گرفتیم .
با این همه باز هم می گم :
#نه_به_جنگ

[Financial Times @FT]

Pete Hegseth’s broker looked to buy defence fund before Iran attack https://t.co/bfuqIuJwIy

[Farzad Seifikaran @FSeifikaran]

The US Department of Defense review team report says the strike on a school in #Minab was carried out by the U.S. military using a Tomahawk missile. The likely cause was outdated or not properly updated intelligence about the target.
167 people were killed, most of them students.

[Christiaan Triebert @trbrtc]

“Iran also has some Tomahawks,” Trump told our colleague @ShawnMcCreesh — but that's not true. Iran is not known to have Tomahawks, has means to program one, and has no compatible launcher.

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

These people have no shame or dignity, openly justifying the killing of civilians and making the case for targeting urban areas and infrastructure.

[Iran International English @IranIntl_En]

CENTCOM warned Iran is using heavily populated civilian areas for military operations. From stadiums to neighborhoods to tunnel entrances beside schools and clinics, the same pattern keeps emerging: the Islamic Republic embeds military infrastructure inside civilian spaces – and ordinary people pay the price.

[Kaveh Azarhoosh @KAzarhoosh]

Targeting a freshwater desalination plant is an extremely dangerous escalation in this war. Time is running out to stop the worst-case scenario from becoming reality.

[euronews @euronews]

"The US committed a blatant and desperate crime by attacking a freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island," said Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas in a post on X.

https://t.co/A6WmnHuXnQ

[Survation. @Survation]

A clear majority want to see Parliament vote before any military action is taken - 60%.

A fifth (21%) think that the government should be able to to act without approval from Parliament.

5/8

[Pooyan Mokari @pooyanmokari]

Iran TV airs forced confessions of four citizens, including two Baha’is

State TV aired forced confessions of four citizens, incl. two Baha’is, over alleged links to recent #iranprotest. Such confessions in Iran are widely obtained under pressure and torture.
#Iran