i will be taking part in the Hive World Cup, i also saw that some other weather traders have already joined, so maybe one of us can win it (although I doubt it will be me)
anyone can take part by clicking the link in the quoted tweet and following the steps
@mattkalish It's very realistic for a casual to win IF they are disciplined & do hard work.
It is NOT realistic to win if you:
-Severely overrate your intelligence
-Are prone to whiny meltdowns
-Were recently fired/on tilt
-Double/triple down after proven wrong
-Have a humiliation fetish
Saw this @polyfund weather fund in a discord group:
It’s great to see weather related polyfunds popping up now. MWGA ⚡️
Lots of hidden potential in daily weather markets 🔥🌦️
https://t.co/LPsVhi6RT6
@ithinkthisisgod@BagCalls We're all lucky.
The question is what price you pay for that luck versus the actual odds.
Congrats on this win. Well deserved. I really liked your analysis.
Before bed, I was scanning the markets and picked up 3,800 shares of 23°C in Istanbul at 0.5¢.
A long shot, but I gave it a 10% probability. I hedged by picking up 24C and 25C, which were also cheap.
Woke up this morning to find that 22C was the winner. 💀
I could’ve bought 22C at 0.1¢, but I convinced myself it was just throwing money away. The lesson: hedge downwards, and always put in your sell orders.
There are so many opportunities like this in the weather markets. Many of which are discussed and traded by the members of our Discord server.
Congrats to @protrade47 for spotting the 22C.
@PolymarketTrade