Michael Dickens

All the important stuff I write is at

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@IsaacKing314 - it works for a little while
- if half of capabilities come from algo improvements and half come from scaling, then it fixes half the issue

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@frances__lorenz it's good to have goals you can still aspire to!

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@ReptilianLvl94 @KelseyTuoc hedge funds find market inefficiencies, not lunch inefficiencies. they're missing out on this one

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@Tyler_Menzer @Entengummitiger @Aella_Girl presumably the academic version of this study would include disclaimers, trigger warnings, etc. does that not create selection bias in exactly the same way?

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@Tyler_Menzer @Alsadius @Aella_Girl (b) are in a highly biased group who's forced to take surveys

it's selection bias either way, you're just selecting a different group. I don't see why type 1 is worse than type 2

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@Tyler_Menzer @Alsadius @Aella_Girl it seems to me that

1. making surveys appealing creates selection bias by attracting ppl who find that kind of thing interesting
2. the standard academic approach creates selection bias by attracting ppl who (a) like boring surveys or (b) [cont'd]

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@WillRadetsky @ESYudkowsky aligned ASI timeline

2042: cure aging
2067: deconstruct Mars to build a Dyson sphere
still TBD: repeal the Jones Act

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@Perth_Tolle @choffstein @MebFaber @alphaarchitect @michael_venuto and Wes still personally answers all my emails! even though my account is < 0.01% of their AUM!

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@IsaacKing314 @BenShindel I did a little map-gazing and it looks like you do need at least 4 colors. First grouping I could find was Tanzania-Mozambique-Zambia-Malawi, which are all touching each other and therefore require 4 colors

I don't know if more than 4 are required, my guess is no

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@IsaacKing314 if the numbers are racing, it's 11

if we're counting through the numbers, it's 7

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@acesounderglass This seems bad from the perspective of the contract-writing party

"Your Honor, I was unable to read the contract because Docusign wouldn't let me"

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@rjpjr12 @investingidiocy @moritzseibert @TopTradersLive 6 years late to this but I'd still like to hear your reply

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@freed_dfilan MCU movies are known for their quip-based humor, and historically they're extremely popular

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@freed_dfilan I voted in this poll but my vote has disappeared. Curious

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@JasonSTLxYz @choffstein I don't think so. The replication from the post had a much better R^2 than SG Trend Index did

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@choffstein plastic containers are pretty stable at room temperature. microplastics come from heated plastic

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@freed_dfilan *a priori* my answer was "yes", but the fact that you made this poll changed my answer to "unsure"

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@alphaarchitect worst part about getting good at pull-ups is I started getting urges to do pull-ups in inappropriate situations. subway handlebar? rafters at my friend's house? so many temptations

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@acesounderglass but the medical problem thing could explain it

[Michael Dickens @MichaelJDickens]

@acesounderglass ok I was misunderstanding the study but I just read the abstract and yea the results in the placebo group are weird. I would think people who enroll in a GLP-1 study would be trying to lose weight anyway, so weight loss should be associated with lower CVD risk