A 🧵on small-caps.
For the last 2 years Russell 2000 rallies have been violent but brief. Something has changed. The Russell 2000/1000 climbed above its Oct 15 high, establishing a series of higher lows & higher highs. Unlike last fall the Russell MidCap is participating. 1/5 @NDR_Research
@marcrandolph Love this. I don’t want my company to be a family. You make a valid analogy, equating your business to a professional sports team. It is a pet peeve of mine when I see junior teams (high school and below) call themselves a family. They are not and should drop the description.
@steveliesman@CNBC Pls ask Fed'l/gov't officials about their use of and insights from these alt data sources. It is not confidence inspiring when some (eg Boston) complain about lack of data when so much other (better?) sources are available. Some officials seem complacent.
$FIGS This tweet aged well. Stock price is now $12 a year after PE tried to steal it for $6. Public investors are not so fortunate in other cases when buyout prices undervalue the co, perhaps facilitated by passive funds (w/high ownership) not pushing for more.
Amusing [eye roll]: Figs $FIGS goes public in 5/21 at upsized $22, and now Story3 Capital offers in 12/24 a $6 take private so that co can "take the necessary steps to develop confidence around...growth...and op mgn improvement which is constrained by status as a public co...”
TIL my small cap portfolio returns have outperformed SCGE's returns despite fewer resources (I do it myself) and small cap headwind. My returns vs SCGE: '22, -29% vs -29%; '23 +16% vs +13%; '24 + 15% vs +19%; '25 ytd 9/30 +22% vs +14%. They win on AUM by ~$9bil.
Exclusive: Following a streak of disappointing performance, tension over profit-sharing and complaints about a negative culture, Sequoia’s $9 billion hedge fund is trying a new approach to leadership: “No kings.” https://t.co/lfOjgVruIL
Amusing juxtaposition of two headlines in today's WSJ: the consumer is "cranky" with UMich sentiment near historic lows, and investors are optimistic with stocks near historic highs and "anxiety has given way to hope on Wall Street".
@mario_cibelli Interesting comments. Coincidentally, $ELF looks like it might be a buy after the recent sell-off due to shipment miss despite healthy consumption, etc. Thoughts? Curious if you have thoughts on the Ari podcast given your WWE/TKO investments. Kudos on your good call on $XMTR.
@dmoses34 Classic. JDSU posted $524mil in revs that qtr to NVDA’s $57bil, wow didn’t realize gap so huge. CEO surprisingly, abruptly stepped down and off board, some say so he wouldn’t have restrictions on selling stock. If he sold big, could be one of all time great moves.
R2 + 10.4% vs S&P600 + 0.9% ytd 10/13/25, quite a yawning gap. Trailing 3yr annualized, +12.5% vs 8.4%. Setback for those who opted for quality in small cap. Likely not a sustainable gap.
This illustrates the power of storytelling. Effective and captivating way to communicate. Many of these stories and anecdotes are decades old (still great!) and draw laughter from this crowd which is likely a new generation of investors hearing the stories for the first time.
How Peter Lynch Became The Greatest Fund Manager Of All Time | TCAF 211🎙️
@Downtown Josh Brown is joined by Peter Lynch, Vice Chairman of @Fidelity Management and Research to discuss: Peter's legendary career, how individual investors can succeed in the market, the biggest investing mistakes, and more!🔥🐐🆕
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Presented by @Fidelity Investments
@JeffWeniger R2 outperforming higher quality S&P600 ytd and trailing 3yr also, though not sure how historically significant the performance gap is for those periods.
S&P600 is a higher quality small cap index vs. R2, in part due to better profitability. While good for returns over long term, interesting to see R2 outperforming recently: +7.9% ytd vs +2.3%; +10.2% trailing 3yr vs +7.9%. This, while biotech lagging, a low quality drag on R2.
Good valid point. FYI Russell indices push higher than these levels. R2 incl CRDO $24b, BE $16b, RMBS $11b, others. R Mid worse: RBLX $90b, VST $68, GLW $67, HLT $61b….The wtd avg mkt cap for R Mid is ~29b, right at your cutoff. Russell just another reference. Market caps up!
This week we decided to officially change the rules. Market-cap inflation is real. And if you’re still pretending a $10 billion company belongs in the “large-cap” bucket, you’re playing a game that no longer exists. We decided that it’s like this now. https://t.co/rAaSCyRDzT