@ensembleator @SteveRickettsSP Honestly, the BCNDP losing just 2.5% of their massive 2020 vote share, and winning a slim majority is pretty incredible given these circumstances. People seem to like when a government looks like they're making big moves on big issues (eg housing)
@SyntheticusAlt Next election there are thousands of new rental and condos and a UBCO campus. Kelowna Centre will be in play for the NDP going forward.
@Prominent_Bryan@kylejhutton It's making logical, but of course unprovable inferences. Looking at why mail-in tilted so heavy left you'd say it's likely carry over from the massive tilt left during Covid. And a better GOTV effort to nab late ballots. Common sense inferences. Chill.
@Prominent_Bryan@kylejhutton Because one party did a better job reminding their voters that they could still send in their mail-in ballots, late, and it's looking like they won that vote by astronomical margins
@steeletalk Surprised they waited until the recount turned out against their preferred candidate. It's just childish stuff. And no adult should act that way
@vancolour@VancouverThorn A 2-term gov in an anti-incumbency world, against a united opposition when your side is still split? The takes are looking pretty sour a week out. First 3-term NDP gov in this electoral climate is a huge feat, and part of it is thay Eby went into the campaign w/net + approval
@kylejhutton@adropboxspace They lost some of their coalition and gained elsewhere. But if they hold on its Canada's 1st 3-term NDP govt, against anti-incumbency headwinds, w/a relatively strong Green (by Canada's standards) and a united centre-right/right. More nuance is needed in conventional wisdom takes
@kylejhutton@adropboxspace It's pretty clear that anti-incumbency is running hot and the BCNDP vastly outperformed every other incumbent government going to election. Not surprising because Eby went into the campaign with a net positive approval rating.