Dialectic Simulations

A firm specializing in leveraging systems thinking and computer simulations to solve the hardest problems in public and private sector.

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

Back from a break to complete my Ph.D. in #SystemDynamics, a science using #simulations and #complexsystems theory to explore hard problems. My focus was on the violence and instability of non-state actors, links to papers in the quoted tweet from my blog.

[InfoMullet (Analysis of Complex News) @InfoMullet]

Back from a break to finish my Ph.D. focused on violence and instability of non-state actors at @WPI. Looking forward to share as its relevant to both #RussiaUkraineWar and the recent #Buffalo terror attack. Here is a blueprint of my dissertation. Links to papers in the 🧵. /1

[System Dynamics Society @systemdynamics_]

Here’s what Timothy Clancy of Dialectic Simulations Consulting LLC has to say about what he thinks is so special about #SystemDynamics. 🙌🏻

📅 August 4-8, 2024
📍 The Scandic Bergen City Hotel and online
🔗 Join the Conference: https://t.co/ETq6hCsWhe

#ISDC2024 @DialecticSims

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

10 years researching public mass killings #terror contagions, the question I get asked the most is “What can we do to reduce the violence of #massshootings and #terrorism?"

Here's an open-access peer-reviewed article answering that, so pls share

https://t.co/i4ZN2TCdEQ

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

New MicroMullet up at the InfoMullet, but at ~1hr not sure how "micro" it is. Wide-ranging conversation after the #ISIS attack on the #soleimani memorial in #Iran .

Got more topics you want to see covered in a conversational style? Suggest them below.

[InfoMullet (Analysis of Complex News) @InfoMullet]

MicroMullet on the #ISIS attack on #Iran at the #soleimani memorial. Covers his bckgrnd, fight with ISIS & regional dynamics including #Israel , #Hamas , #Afghanistan , #Houthi , and #SaudiArabia, #Turkey , #Syria and #USA .

Suggest more topics below!

https://t.co/un5NOstqJC

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @ProfSteveKeen @rethinkecon @rch371 @trendingcycles @TyKeynes @planksip @Lprochon @DEhnts @clintballinger @AnnPettifor @JosephEStiglitz @YanLian31677392 @blair_fix @RichardJMurphy @jbhearn @tymoignee @adam_tooze @MazzucatoM @ronniejphillips @RBReich @JimboStanford @MkBlyth @dandolfa @LindaMcQuaig @DTCochrane @Robert_Costanza @StevenHailAus @RomanchukBrian @phildobbie @RKBtoo @SKandFriends @MMTmacrotrader Sharing my research (working draft) on mapping top-down and bottom-up complex causality for purposes of simulating sociotechnical systems with system dynamics.

https://t.co/3O4LoZ6atM

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @rch371 @brianpascus @ProfSteveKeen @trendingcycles @TyKeynes @planksip @DEhnts @clintballinger @AnnPettifor @JosephEStiglitz @YanLian31677392 @Robert_Costanza @blair_fix @DTCochrane @RichardJMurphy @jbhearn @tymoignee @adam_tooze @MazzucatoM @ronniejphillips @RBReich @JimboStanford @MkBlyth @StevenHailAus @MMTmacrotrader @RomanchukBrian @phildobbie @RKBtoo @SKandFriends @pmcondon2 Sharing my research on radicalization leading to public mass killings:
https://t.co/uDeDe84QHd
And a YouTube version:
https://t.co/8MEFXNjMAl

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @Lprochon @MonetaryBlog @ProfSteveKeen @rch371 @trendingcycles @TyKeynes @planksip @DEhnts @clintballinger @AnnPettifor @JosephEStiglitz @YanLian31677392 @blair_fix @RichardJMurphy @jbhearn @tymoignee @adam_tooze @M_C_Klein @MazzucatoM @ronniejphillips @RBReich @JimboStanford @MkBlyth @StevenHailAus @MMTmacrotrader @RomanchukBrian @phildobbie @RKBtoo @SKandFriends Sharing my research on radicalization leading to public mass killings:
https://t.co/uDeDe84QHd
And a YouTube version:
https://t.co/8MEFXNjMAl

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @jbhearn @DEhnts @ProfSteveKeen @rch371 @trendingcycles @TyKeynes @planksip @Lprochon @clintballinger @AnnPettifor @JosephEStiglitz @YanLian31677392 @blair_fix @DTCochrane @RichardJMurphy @tymoignee @adam_tooze @M_C_Klein @MazzucatoM @ronniejphillips @MkBlyth @dandolfa @StevenHailAus @MMTmacrotrader @RomanchukBrian @phildobbie @RKBtoo @SKandFriends Sharing my research on radicalization leading to public mass killings:
https://t.co/uDeDe84QHd
And a YouTube version:
https://t.co/8MEFXNjMAl

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @jbhearn @YouTube @ProfSteveKeen @rch371 @trendingcycles @TyKeynes @planksip @DEhnts @clintballinger @AnnPettifor @JosephEStiglitz @YanLian31677392 @blair_fix @DTCochrane @RichardJMurphy @tymoignee @adam_tooze @MazzucatoM @ronniejphillips @RBReich @JimboStanford @MkBlyth @dandolfa @StevenHailAus @MMTmacrotrader @RomanchukBrian @phildobbie @RKBtoo @SKandFriends Sharing my research on radicalization leading to public mass killings:
https://t.co/uDeDe84QHd
And a YouTube version:
https://t.co/8MEFXNjMAl

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @jbhearn @phildobbie @YouTube @ProfSteveKeen @rch371 @trendingcycles @TyKeynes @planksip @DEhnts @clintballinger @AnnPettifor @JosephEStiglitz @YanLian31677392 @blair_fix @DTCochrane @RichardJMurphy @Lprochon @tymoignee @adam_tooze @MazzucatoM @ronniejphillips @RBReich @JimboStanford @MkBlyth @dandolfa @StevenHailAus @MMTmacrotrader @RomanchukBrian @RKBtoo @SKandFriends Sharing my research on radicalization leading to public mass killings:
https://t.co/uDeDe84QHd
And a YouTube version:
https://t.co/8MEFXNjMAl

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

Posted to SSRN as a working draft, considering the vocabulary we can use to conceptualize and construct models of problems in complex systems while maintaining an operational perspective on causality.

Any article feedback is appreciated!

Paper URL: https://t.co/9Ug0UncRhU

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@BKistemaker @UNSomalia Ping me when you arrive, lots of interesting things to catch up on. Safe travels!

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@BKistemaker @UNSomalia Great to see you able to do this!

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President it's been fun, and I appreciate you including me in every post you make since that one time I sat down with @ProfSteveKeen and @TyKeynes. But I'm just not into #MMT like you are. Don't worry, it's not you. It's me. I just think we need some space. 😅😂🤣

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@TyKeynes @Dalio4President @RealKeithWeiner @clintballinger @Lprochon @ProfSteveKeen @rch371 @RichardJMurphy @tymoignee @DEhnts @trendingcycles @planksip @Robert_Costanza @phildobbie @MMTmacrotrader @RKBtoo @blair_fix 🤫I get in enough trouble as it is. I don't need new pots to stir! 😅

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

Had a chance to join @ProfSteveKeen , @TyKeynes ,
@trendingcycles and @planksip on a livestream this weekend to discuss radicalization and state/non-state violence including #HamasIsraelWar . May be of interest to @systemdynamics_ and @incose_org .

[InfoMullet (Analysis of Complex News) @InfoMullet]

Just finished great live stream with @ProfSteveKeen sharing research on violent radicalization and discussing the #HamasIsraelWar . Comment/share/DM for an author's copy.

Livestream:
https://t.co/Yf412QImHd

Root Causes of Violent Radicalization: https://t.co/NHD2OJu0z3

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@Dalio4President @TyKeynes @RealKeithWeiner @clintballinger @Lprochon @ProfSteveKeen @rch371 @RichardJMurphy @tymoignee @DEhnts @trendingcycles @planksip @Robert_Costanza @phildobbie @MMTmacrotrader @RKBtoo @blair_fix Curious - why do you tag me in these? I've been on the Steve Keens & Friends podcast twice, so maybe that's the link. But my special focus is on the violence and instability of non-state actors, not MMT or economics. ;)

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

Sharing our plenary presentation on #terror contagions #ISDC2023 at the @systemdynamics_ conference. Whether you've been following our work for years or just started, this is a good all-in-one video/Q&A on the terror contagion hypothesis.

https://t.co/8MEFXNjMAl

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

https://t.co/H8UYjR7Wcm

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

Going to be giving a keynote soon on our latest finding on terror contagions. Join us online or in Chicago on July 23-27, 2023.  https://t.co/YD6MFe2K3t #ISDC2023 #systemdynamics.

Conf paper in first reply.

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@MMTmacrotrader @Dalio4President @TyKeynes @SKandFriends @ProfSteveKeen @trendingcycles @planksip @RomanchukBrian @Lprochon @DEhnts @phildobbie @RichardJMurphy @RKBtoo Legitimate: I fully opt into the theory.
Calculated Legitimacy: This theory is the best choice for now.
Coerced: I don't have a choice of theories.
Unaligned: Not my circus, not my monkeys. :)

[Dialectic Simulations @DialecticSims]

@MMTmacrotrader @Dalio4President @TyKeynes @SKandFriends @ProfSteveKeen @trendingcycles @planksip @RomanchukBrian @Lprochon @DEhnts @phildobbie @RichardJMurphy @RKBtoo Affiliation tracks perceived legitimacy and sentiment is the mechanism for changing that perception. I wonder how a given population divides and flows between the four stocks of legitimacy: