Firefox5566

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@Michael_EWpro Still see 10+ price target after hitting 0.5? That’s a 20x gain!

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@bitextr 凡哥抽我

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@HeidingOut Sad but 祝一切順利～

[赛博永生/vct @vctbtc]

孙宇晨最新深度采访完整版：看空BTC，看空纳指，观望ETH，看好AI应用，不玩A股... 严肃分享了很多市场观点和交易仓位，值得一看

看空BTC。认为比特币面对AI和量子计算的威胁很难全身而退，市场低估了这类风险对 BTC 的潜在冲击。抗量子升级只能救"愿意自救的人"，硬分叉冻结老币在比特币的去中心化下几乎不可能达成共识。但是他的BTC是底仓，在过去一年的下跌中并没有减仓。

ETH目前仅2成仓位观望。 在去年 3600–4000 减了八九成的ETH（去年 11–12 月，减持逻辑是 4800 那个"只靠 Tom Lee 续命"的二顶），截至目前仍然没有买回。ETH减仓期间，他增配了美股。

纳指中线"微微看空"，看空但还没做空。认为资金抱团太严重，硬件股被炒成软件股，AI 循环融资一出事全出事。美债是所有资金的"母级"，现在被权益"子级"吸血，利率必须高才接得到钱，高到一定程度钱又会倒流。芯片短期不排除过剩，像 2000 年的光纤。

AI板块最看好应用。尤其 AI 健康管理（数据采集→挖掘→决策，不用等生病才去医院）。最不看好存储、光模块。一个锚：单一企业市值上限≈美债的一半，所以英伟达顶多再翻 4 倍，而应用层能翻 4 倍以上的机会太多了。明年后年主题会分化。

人民币会走强，美债危机被过度担忧。只要美国还握着 AI（芯片、存储、模型）的终极控制权，美债就不缺买家，"孙悟空跳不出如来佛的手掌心"。

基本没有A股仓位，但会做一些研究。对于A股光模块行情，他的解释是，这一方向能够连接美国AI投资需求，同时中国企业已有一定制造与产业布局，因此容易形成资金集中。所有老登类资产（白酒等）都不看好，新登类资产积极拥抱。

Hyperliquid是本轮周期里重要的新发展。认为美股永续合约为整个行业打开了新的产品空间，DEX 能否挤掉 CEX 取决于美国监管给不给 Uniswap 式豁免。

RWA 空间非常大。波场11月也要大力推美股上链，逻辑同 USDT：给第三世界一个配置美元资产的入口。

推荐书单：安·兰德《源泉》、王小波《黄金时代》、孙学 @justinsuntron @sunyuchentron

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@mdm420xx 中壢🤔

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@enrichtrades still valid?
https://t.co/eKWSnKctLf

[Enrich Trades @enrichtrades]

$AAOI

Almost got the 10% day we were looking for

9/50EMAs are closing in on the bullish cross

Doesn’t get much cleaner than this, plenty of room to $150+

[王局志安 @wangzhian8848]

台湾这次阳流的汹涌其实恰恰是劣质民主的体现。一个没什么知识，只知道寻找自己的敌人，迎合诱导民意建构起来的政治人物，本该是票选制度最值得警惕的地方，但在台湾，却是历次选举中的利器，无往而不利。

在这套选举逻辑下，人们不是被候选人的政策打动，而是被自己造的偶像形象裹挟。本质上这和中共对领导人的神话宣传没什么区别，最终选民都放弃了思考，陷入类似饭圈的思维，区分敌我，不择手段想要赢。这种文化在儒家文化圈根深蒂固，嫁接了民主体制后变本加厉，最终呈现出来的就是今天台湾社会的样子。

你说他是民主吗？显然是，一人一票，政党轮替。都做的不错，但宪政规则没人在意，少数者权利得不到保护，现如今行政权力甚至凌驾于立法和司法之上。而这一切，都是这个类似于偶像剧洗脑一般的票选制度。

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@Yaita_Akio 所以陸生被驅逐是什麼理由？

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@NikolaTesla2010 你慘了偽造文書 洋流-1

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@NikolaTesla2010 你慘了偽造文書 造謠青鳥-1

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@CHAOWAN77301195 @HeidingOut 老哥 下一波拉升卖掉吧 两倍etf的磨损很惊人 6/26跟10/6正股131同样的价位 aaox从26->15 ，我在bmnu也巨亏，从此不碰杠杠etf，看错方向没有扛的本钱

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@HeidingOut If we hold 76, we may still see 170-190 in mid November. Is the theory correct?

[HeidingOut @HeidingOut]

*Updated 15 October 2026 $AAOI

Current: 78.02 (low 77.05 this session)
RSI (15-min): 21

Structure update

WXY (is my bias)
- Y has extended. Price is now testing the July low zone (76.01).
- 88% retrace of the X rally (76.01→160.99) was 94; price is now well through that and approaching the 100% reversal at 76.01.
- No new five-wave impulse has formed on the decline. Swing structure remains corrective (good news)
-We have no good news as of yet on RSI (I'm looking for a positive reversal to get long).

Wave 2 alt bias
- Still alive only if 76.01 holds on a closing basis.
- A daily/weekly close below 76.01 invalidats the “Wave 2 of a new impulse” count and strengthens my larger Y / unfinished correction case.

---
Decision levels (updated)

$72 - Next measured (4H AB=CD) | First target if 76 fails
$64–66 | 0.618 of W | Primary measured Y zone |

Time cluster
- My time correction clusters at a recovery occurring anytime between today and Nov 15, Gann says not until Oct 27
- Hurst says the The 3-month cycle is EXTRMELY OVERSOLD and overdue.

For the good news. On longer time frames I see $278-$298 playing out. We have confluence with Fibonnacci and Carney Harmonics on the 1M, 3M and possibly even the weekly. That D leg will need to be recalculated if we breach $76.00.

My trade rules don't allow me to take anything other than a scalp right now in $AAOI I see no signs of a bullish reversal yet. $AAOI $AAOX

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

$aaoi go to 250 from here, then another ATM

[Beardo @BeardoTrader]

Distribution ranges are proportional to the size of the markup phase at a ratio of roughly 10:1

The bigger the rally, the bigger the range.

One of the biggest mistakes traders make is confusing these large price swings with the start of a new trend.

Using the $AAOI chart as an example.

[Beardo @BeardoTrader]

Distribution ranges are proportional to the size of the markup phase at a ratio of roughly 10:1

The bigger the rally, the bigger the range.

One of the biggest mistakes traders make is confusing these large price swings with the start of a new trend.

Using the $AAOI chart as an example.

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@aleabitoreddit @grok 这会怎么影响$aaoi?

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@DeepValueBagger It’s time to buy back $mu $aaoi ?

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@EchoAnalysis @Thaleus_x Invalided?

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@TheLongInvest This one?

https://t.co/8lFFIpzIqW

[Firefox5566 @firefox5566no1]

@TradeCycles Any update for $aaoi? Thx