🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯

Fighting for homes @NBerkeleyNow @eb4everyone, safe streets @walkbikeberk, and democracy @berkdemsclub. Deutschlerner. 한국도 배웁니다.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

been lurking back on this hell site for a while for election coverage, and before I nope out of here again, I just have to say: nothing matters and the American left, whatever that means to you, is nationally dead

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@IDoTheThinking This would only be a surprise to anyone who knows nothing about the economist. They loathe Trump, and not just for his economic policies.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@tim_nicolai @MorosKostas @Nate_Cohn No, that’s arguably one of the biggest problems among many with new-538. They were like the only forecaster showing Biden in the lead.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@JoesKnocking @PCYintheCLE @george_berry Nate Silver has an actual forecast (it’s paywalled). So does The Economist. You’re right it’s not deep, it’s as simple as 538 now being utterly wrecked under layoffs and poor new management.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@JoesKnocking @PCYintheCLE @george_berry they didn't wait for biden to be official... something else is going on

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@greggrossetti @gelliottmorris https://t.co/YbG4UQ2mys is where the model is.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@P0NY @george_berry that's a polls-only forecast, which intentionally cherrypicks the more aggressive clinton odds. nate silver gave trump a 1/3 chance and was the only pollster vigorously arguing that trump had a serious chance to win - he took heat from pollsters who showed clinton at 99% chance.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@RJSWtrilogyWhen @Evanryt only reason why i'm back on this hellsite is looking for some kind of update or explainer on their lack of forecast. best unintentional advertising for paying for nate silver's substack

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@jessesingal economist is back

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@deltaIV9250 @pi198721 you're thinking of the polling average. 538 doesn't have a forecast right now because they are apparently rudderless.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@atk825 @choice_fielder you can in fact backtest and verify models' odds to assess their veracity & there's plenty to model right now. It's actually very telling that the former 538 guy has a forecast (https://t.co/YbG4UQ2mys, paywalled) but the new 538 still has yet to put out a new forecast

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

popping back up on this hellsite briefly to say: i'm in this video! i'm thelee

[Josh Sawyer @jesawyer]

Epic Deadfire class tier ranking discussion on YouTube:

https://t.co/wNJqkvkX9m

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

don't know who to tag other than @RebeccaForBART, the BART rider survey is busted if you say your mode was bike. wrong followup Qs, doesn't let you proceed. works for other modes (got one for both nberk & embarc) & i'm worried about survey response accuracy with this glitch.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@RonPaul03424337 i just regularly check the city's online permit website (https://t.co/l6bKxVGMly). if you find a better way than manually reading through permit filing summaries on a regular basis, let me know.

iirc the SB9 projects were described as such (they had "SB9" in their description)

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

Two SB9 projects have cropped up in Berkeley (2707 Rose, 910 Indian Rock). SB9 is still weaksauce, but we are seeing it crop up in some of the wealthiest parts of Berkeley (and by definition most exclusive, R1). Rent gap theory in shambles

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@techsavvytravvy if this is true, the corollary is that vanishingly few few jobs actually require you to "know" a programming language. (regardless of the former, the latter is certainly true)

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@LinkofSunshine and for ppl who aren't on top of things i feel like 401ks would have fewer detractos if we just had some good regulated defaults (e.g. a target retirement fund, a significant level of default employer contribution, and automatically converted into an annuity at retirement)

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@LinkofSunshine "less risky" isn't quite right. it's different risk, but for ppl who are on top of things it's a good change in risk.

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@sullyj3 @yourfriendmell Power corrupts but I’m built different

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@Authw8 @benlandautaylor you must be a super taster bc i cannot tell any difference between iodized salt or non-idodized salt in my foods (i have both)

[🅒🅗🅡🅘🅢 🍫 🍫 🍫 🤯 @itsthelee]

@jesawyer fully thanks to some youtube creators have I gotten really galvanized into historical topics that were once boring footnotes on a high school test cram session (if even that).

same thing with math, honestly. numberphile did a lot to help me "get it"