@noam_dworman@tylercowen Another reason for AI unlikely increasing GDP that much, which I don’t see much discussion about, is the increased complexity AI will make and cause.
@Noahpinion Interesting. Modularity is one of the key criteria that @BentFlyvbjerg and @dgardner have emphasized to reduce cost overruns in their book, How Big Things Get Done
@Th__Nielsen Du skal få for å evaluere estimatene dine. Det er det ikke mange nok som gjør. Det viktige blir jo konsekvensene av bommene da, om de er lineære eller ikke feks. Mulig du har lest allerede, men kan anbefale Philip Tetlocks arbeid rundt prognostisering, spesielt Superforecasting.
@ZeeContrarian1 Indeed, both TAM and the hockey stick, which usually arrive a couple of slides later, should mostly be disregarded. These are curious VC rituals
The debate I see here about this is unfortunate symptomatic of the current times, only harsh judgement, no curiosity about others choosing differently. Can we please change that? I believe the world soon depends on such a change
The debate I see here about this is unfortunate symptomatic of the current times, only harsh judgement, no curiosity about others choosing differently. Can we please change that? I believe the world soon depends on such a change
The debate I see here about this is unfortunate symptomatic of the current times, only harsh judgement, no curiosity about others choosing differently. Can we please change that? I believe the world soon depends on such a change
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
Both socialsm and capitalism are somewhat ill-defined concepts, different meanings to different people. Sadly not something that can constructively be debated on this platform
It's socialism — not capitalism — that creates prosperity.
Norway has one of the strongest welfare systems in the world.
In Singapore, most people live in housing built by the government.
In Luxembourg, social spending as a share of GDP is among the highest in the EU.
Most countries that score well on this chart do so because they have socialist policies in place that increase social mobility and reduce economic precariousness.