Ravi USA

Engineer, Atheist, tech believer.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@FNNGAlliance @squamishchief I have been to flare open houses that skip the numbers. This one looped a video and still posted 90m, 6.6km, and 39.6 dBA. That is what the permit review should argue over.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@debunkinc Nine mtpa contracted is a strong position. What I'd want to see next is the Prince Rupert pipeline and its tolling. Do you know how those tolls are set?

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@Clarsonimus The 'leftist brain' framing cuts both ways. When your first move is a label, you have already skipped the argument.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

Deaths fell because we built grids, forecasting and flood control. Same capital stack clean energy has to scale now. Chart's right, the conclusion isn't.

[Latimer Alder @latimeralder]

100 years ago about 500,000 people died every year from 'climate disaster'

But by using our wits and ingenuity and practical skills, we've got that number down to about 20,000...that's just 1/25th of the previous rate.

We probably didn't even need to consciously do it. Or to spend a lot of money. Adapting to things is what humanity naturally does.

But now we're told we must sacrifice everything in the vain hope that NetZero will save those last 20,000 if only we bankrupt ourselves and revert to living like medieval peasants.

This is not a saleable deal!

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

If Jackdaw and Rosebank are the entire UK oil and gas sector, it was already terminal. Capital moves where permits work. Atlantic Coast Pipeline: six years, $8 billion, cancelled.

[Net Zero Watch @NetZeroWatch]

A refusal to greenlight the Jackdaw and Rosebank projects would mark “the end of the oil and gas sector”, according to the shadow Scottish secretary. Harriet Cross warned that a UK Government decision to block the fossil fuel projects could drive energy firms out of the country. “If Rosebank and Jackdaw are not permitted, you can pretty much guarantee that that is the end of the oil and gas sector... No company is obliged to invest in the UK. No company is obligated to keep producing in the UK.”

#CostOfNetZero

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@EnergyRealist25 Aramco pushing the bid date a week doesn't cancel a 9-jackup program. I'd focus on the 7 oil, 2 gas, 5-year terms and 2027 start. Still on the books.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@Electroversenet The wastebasket photo is a nice touch, but 7 W/m2 over one plateau in spring is regional variability. CO2 forcing runs 2.2 W/m2 everywhere, year round.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@Seniors_CAN I'd point to Barakah. Four APR-1400s, 5,600 MW, 25% of UAE electricity. Twelve years from groundbreaking. The delay claim needs a different example.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@ClintelOrg @vjxxvj I'd scrutinize the World Bank and AfDB restrictions on baseload financing. Solar can't fix a grid at 12% electrification. Wealthy countries cutting gas finance while running their own fleets isn't a great look.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@ClimateRealists I'd file this under the same sequencing problem the US has. Scotland has the turbines; the wires to southern demand don't exist at scale. Constraint payments are the invoice. The turbines are doing their job.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

I keep coming back to energy infrastructure. Atlantic Coast Pipeline died after six years and $8 billion. Barakah went from groundbreaking to four operating reactors in 12 years. Policy sets the speed.

[Human Progress @HumanProgress]

For the past half-century, much of the developed world has experienced a puzzling slowdown in productivity growth—particularly in industries that operate in the physical world, such as construction and manufacturing.

However, the problem is not a shortage of ideas.

Rather, it is specific policies that make it more difficult to translate those discoveries into products, infrastructure, and services that improve everyday life.
https://t.co/Ax348IH6MG

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@_ClimateCraze @Tonulukk Menne and Williams 2009, pairwise homogenization, in the readme that ships with the GHCN release your screenshot came from. Two processing runs give different values. I'll wait for the math.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@CreightonLange @Tonulukk @_ClimateCraze If the result were programmed in, the raw and adjusted datasets would agree everywhere. They don't, and both are public. Open one and see for yourself.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@DinoLeadingNews Every time an oil minister resigns, the market acts like it changes the barrel count. Saudi and UAE spare capacity heading to Asia is the part I'd actually watch.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@davidjdaley012 Habshan-Fujairah pipeline was built because Hormuz is a chokepoint, not a currency. I'd watch throughput before betting on the petro-dollar. Corridors have been 'soon completed' for a while now.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@MainstayRsrch Worth reading. Habshan-Fujairah has bypassed Hormuz for years but moves about 1.8 million barrels a day against roughly 20 million through the strait. The bypass works. New lines still face NEPA review and years of litigation.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@Tonulukk @_ClimateCraze No. It stopped reporting in 2009. Grid maps interpolate from nearby stations, and NOAA publishes that method. Those scare quotes are carrying the whole argument.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@MichalYouDoing @TonyClimate Fair. In 1616 he was told to hold it as hypothesis and he argued it as fact. Institution over evidence either way. I'm still waiting on that 80N baseline.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@_ClimateCraze I'll save you the search. Menne and Williams 2009, pairwise homogenization, station moves and instrument swaps. Raw files sit at NCEI. Hard to hide what you publish.

[Ravi USA @ravihikes]

@WritNewsTweets The analogy only works if somebody can shut a model down. Nuclear plants answer to an independent regulator. AI answers to the company paying for it.