Sam Altman: AI compute costs about $70B per gigawatt over 5 years, and "if it doesn't go down, I'll be very sad."
It has gone up so far because AI keeps getting more valuable and supply is short, so buyers pay more. Altman calls that "compute not keeping up."
In his view, "the cost of energy should go down. The cost of chips should go down."
Even at $20B, he wants "10 x better performance out of it with smarter models every year."
Getting there means "energy's gotta get cheaper," and "all of the gross margin stacking that happens between melting sand... and getting the token back, a lot of that's gotta get compressed."
One of the biggest buyers of AI compute wants its price cut by more than two-thirds, and he's pointing at the margins stacked along the chip supply chain to do it.
FT @sama@collision.
Today’s move was a typical bear market rally, largely driven by short covering. Dip buyers are only looking a quick buck so such rallies are rarely sustainable. A real bull trend goes through an accumulation phase. Real buyers build positions quietly. They don’t use amplifiers to tell everyone that they’re bullish like today.
@gnoble79@rabois@ericjackson@mikealfred George, i'm guessing you're holding OPEN. If yes, then you're literally not helping. I actually know a shopify friend who knows Kaz well - you're an idiot not to see the effort man is pulling to make open work
@DratchCap@AtlasShrug1 JG might be Chris Irons from QTR - not 100% though. I have scraped all of JGs posts to pattern match on web so will crack eventually. He's made an incredible call so we deserve to know real person behind it
@Micro2Macr0 😃ur tweet just gave it a bit of breathing space (wgmi didn't move but cifr up).. problem is wgmi, algos taking it below 26 it seems and cifr trdes at a .23 now so if wgmi goes 24-25, then we're in 5s
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