Toby Skinner

Start up advisor, growth consultant, weather geek, part time art dealer, dad, golfer, Tottenham fan, boxer owner 🐶, Englishman in California.....

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

Fueling the Prediction Oracle Frontier ⚡️

Thrilled to share @nubilanetwork has raised $8M, bringing total funding to $10.5M — led by @blockspaceforce, Quantum Holdings, @iotex_io, and others.

This isn’t just funding, it’s conviction.
We’re building the Prediction Oracle powering AI, DeFi, and on-chain finance through verified real-world data.

The bridge between data and truth is being built. 🌍

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

🌩 Nubila Secures $8M Seed Round to Accelerate the Prediction Market Oracle Frontier

We’re thrilled to announce that Nubila has raised $8M in our Seed Round, bringing total funding to $10.5M. Led by @blockspaceforce and Quantum Holdings, with participation from @iotex_io, @assemblyers, Synharbour AI, and founders of top-tier protocols.

This funding marks a major milestone as Nubila fully expands into the Prediction Oracle frontier, bringing more verified physical data onchain with greater accuracy and transparency.

Our decentralized network of 20,000+ sensors and 16,000 validator nodes across 120+ countries captures and verifies hyperlocal weather and environmental data, the real-world signals powering prediction markets, AI models, and RWA protocols.

Now, Nubila is expanding beyond weather to a broader range of physical-world data, transforming it into verifiable, tradable intelligence for onchain finance. Through integrations with platforms like @Polymarket and @Kalshi, Nubila is building the trusted settlement oracle that bridges Prediction Markets, AI, and Real-World Assets, fueling the next generation of transparent, data-driven financial systems.

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

Honored to speak at the 2025 Global Innovation Show & Innovation Summit in Hong Kong.

Always easier to explain Nubila when I can hold the core of our network in my hand — Marco.
One small device powering a global shift: verifiable real-world data for AI, climate models, insurance, energy systems, and prediction markets.

The Physical Perception Layer isn’t theory anymore.
It’s live. And it’s scaling.

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

Some founders bring slides to a conference.

@Toby_Nubila brought Marco — the smallest weather station with the biggest ambition.

Live at the 2025 Global Innovation Show in Hong Kong, he showed how real-world data becomes the backbone of AI, prediction markets, insurance, and energy systems.

One device. Millions of signals.
The Physical Perception Layer is becoming real.

[Aster 🥷 @Aster_DEX]

🪂 ASTER LOYALTY BONUS

You showed up. You traded. You believed in what we're building.
Today, we're saying thank you (again).

197, 350 $ASTER just care-dropped to 7,710 loyal wallets who participated in our recent trading campaigns ( $HEMI, $AT, $B2, $NB ).

Check your wallet or Aster Spot account.

Reward tiers:
🎯 1 campaign participated: 15 $ASTER
🎯 2 campaigns participated: 30 $ASTER
🎯 3 campaigns participated: 45 $ASTER
🎯 4 campaigns participated: 60 $ASTER

On top of that, we randomly selected 10 addresses with lucky numbers and dropped an extra 1,000 $ASTER each.

If you're one of the lucky 10, show yourself! We want to know who you are 👀

This is just the beginning. We're building the best, and you're part of that journey.

Hold your $ASTER. Use the platform 💛

[polymaster @polymaster]

休假归来，个人气象站运行如常且稳定。

Again, 感谢 @nubilanetwork PWS，在让你时刻掌控家中那一幕三分地儿的小气候的情况下，还能让你接入 weather underground API 获取更多环境气象数据来构建交易机器人，祝你在 polymarket天气市场一把赢回票价😂

这段时间美中不足的是我在临出发前处于某种“休假报复性心态”，在几个小概率事件上重仓了一把想要等回来搞个“大新闻”，结果却全数 miss——概率从来不亏待任何忘记大数定律的人，所以推文也就顺势蛰伏了一阵子。

这让我反而彻底改弦更张：我停止了逐个 case 去盯某个具体市场的走势，而是重新思考如何从整体结构上锁定我们在 Polymarket 上的长期利润。就像 Polymarket 火起来以后大量币圈 KOL 转战一样，我在粉丝两位数不到的时候，也是从几篇“投石问路”式的套利文章入场的。但很快我就意识到：真正的链上套利，需要的不是一两次灵光乍现，而是对合约、链上 infra、算法、成本、延迟与资金曲线的严格自洽理解——那是一道真正的窄门。

于是我转向另一个视角：把 Polymarket 当成一颗“水晶球”。每天打开网站，成百上千的大事件、小事件、无厘头事件就像晶体里的微型宇宙，让你“一叶知秋”，从一组看似琐碎的概率分布中看到世界的整体温度。那时候我很喜欢用“#勿谓言之不预”和 #IToldYouSo 当 tag（前不久巴菲特的股东信说他们老人家交流从不这么说，咳咳，还是太年轻 ^_^），比如年初我通过追踪马斯克和高通私人飞机/公务机队航迹这个非常规信号破除了当时甚嚣尘上的马斯克/高通收购 $INTC 传言，但确实也发现“something is happening”。当时 $INTC 在 18–20 的区间，现在也不过翻不到一倍；但 Polymarket 上几乎每个月都有三四倍的机会。

问题在于：若你某次/几次交易忘了初心，把概率当成故事，而不是当作频率；忘了凯利公式对赔率与仓位的约束，转而用赌徒思维去以小博大，那么市场会像我在休假前的那些“报复性 miss”中立刻提醒你：概率绝不会原谅草率的人。

不过空下来的这段时间并非毫无收获。我构建了一个 Polymaster-PLA-Harvester（PLA=PolyArbitrage），用于抓取那些远在 2028 才会结算的市场的实时L2 快照，以及对应 WebSockets 的 market/user channel （对应个人探针订单） 的历史事件。虽然 Polymarket 并不直接暴露真实的撮合队列（L3），但我已开始尝试用订单事件序列重建可用于预测 order-life / 订单生存周期 的 L3/订单流特征，为流动性奖励挂单提供更可靠的生存窗口预测——这像是又要重新开启我推文开头那道绕不过去的“窄门”了。

与此同时，我也初步形成了一套天气市场的反向投注的思想——通过检测传统数值预报在局地气候环境中失效的那些具体条件，使得在一定的微气候结构下反向押注某些“高概率 Yes 区间的 No”更具优势。但这些想法都还需要大量的数据检验与实盘验证，但方向已经逐渐清晰。

最后，非常感谢这段时间依然持续关注我的朋友们。接下来我会视验证的顺利程度来更新数据验证结果、订单生命周期模型的测试，以及天气市场的实盘分享。敬请期待。

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

🌍 From weather stations to prediction markets, every data flow shapes an edge in information.
Nubila is building the infrastructure to make that edge accessible to everyone.

🌏 從氣象站到預測市場，數據的每一次流動都在改變資訊優勢。
Nubila 正在構建讓這種優勢普惠化的基礎設施。

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

holding is passive.
staking is purpose.

tiers:
💠 30d → >30% APY
💎 180d → >100% APY

stake $NB → earn yield + power real-world data.
join early → maximize impact.

🔗 https://t.co/xLSjPTgGTa

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

854M volume.
6M $NB.
200K $ASTER.

is this a good start? 👀
We think it is ✨🙌

thanks @Aster_DEX — perception layer confirmed operational. 👁️

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

N is for Nodes.
U is for Uptime.
B is for Bandwidth.
I is for Intelligence.
L is for Latency (the low kind).
A is for Alpha.

Together = NUBILA 💡
— Decentralized, but we still look good together.

[polymaster @polymaster]

We’ll continue working with @nubilanetwork to explore how their infrastructure and data can strengthen our weather modeling capabilities, drive new RWAFi use cases across the industry @Polymarket and build more prediction models @PolymarketBuild.

[Lunar Strategy @LunarStrategy]

Lunar Live: KBW Series | Ep 4

Live from @AethirCloud's deAI Day, @E_Launch_Musk talked to @tskinnt, Co-founder of @nubilanetwork - a DePIN network incentivizing device owners to capture data in exchange for tokens.

Here are the highlights ↓

1/ Why does DePIN make sense here?

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

🚀 The wait is now over!

Nubila TGE goes live tomorrow at 12:00 UTC — and the Airdrop Claim Portal unlocks at the exact same second.

Secure your $NB on the dot. Set alarms, rally the squad, and claim your stake in the Physical Perception Layer.

🗓 TGE Time: Oct 31, 12:00 UTC

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

This is it #Nubies ⏳

Nubila TGE AMA—final hours before $NB goes live. Founders unveil the Physical Prediction Oracle, tokenomics, and the day-one roadmap. Be early.

🕑 Oct 30, 2:00 PM UTC
https://t.co/Z9krZ3XOed

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

It was an honor to be part of this amazing event @KBW and talk about @nubilanetwork and how we’re building an environmental data oracle that will power autonomous AI and digital economies 🚀

Thanks to @071_labs and all of the sponsors 🙏

[Tae Hee @taeheecrypto]

🎥 On-Chain Summit Recap @ KBW
Hosted by 071 Labs × Amber AC × Theoriq × GOAT Network

Huge thanks to everyone who shared deep insights and made the event unforgettable 🙌
See you again next year — even bigger and bolder 💥

Special thanks to our co-hosts & sponsors:
@amber_ac_ @TheoriqAI @goatnetwork @FractionAI_xyz @pharos_network @commondotxyz

And to our incredible panelists & speakers who made it all happen👇
@chain_security @succinctLabs @lagrangedev @gegelz @jessiexiao_eth @goatnetwork
@lombard_finance @proofofmud @tribecap @commondotxyz @AltiusLabs @MossAI_Official
@longhashvc @PrismaXai @monad @theoriqAI @CambrianNetwork @FractionAI_xyz
@veratheape @miranetwork @JoinSapien @pinai_io @theayawallet @pharos_network
@centrifuge @PlayEstates @_inceptioncap @ark_stream @cryptocom @awakenliquidity
@ArcanumCapital @nubilanetwork @tskinnt @WorldMobileTeam @acurast @Kaleido_io

@071_labs | @taeheecrypto

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

From weather to prediction markets, Nubila is building the bridge between the real world and on-chain intelligence.

Excited to see $NB launching on Binance Alpha, where the next cycle of data-driven finance begins. 🌩⚡

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

$NB will be live on @binance Alpha 🔥

Thank you @BinanceWallet—this is how real-world data turns into on-chain value. More details soon.

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

Everyone’s tracking athletes.
Nubila’s tracking the air they breathe, the ground they play on, and the conditions that change everything. 🌦

Nubila’s bringing weather from the sidelines to the data stack.

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

We’ve launched the Environmental Intelligence Sports Modeling Program — integrating real-time weather & environmental data into:
🏈 Football
⚾ Baseball
⚽ Soccer
to enhance training precision, injury prediction, and performance analytics.

🧩https://t.co/IHakEEuRbX
🧵

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

The bridge between AI and the real world is forming and payments are a key part of it.

Excited for what’s ahead with x402 and Nubila powering the physical perception layer for autonomous agents. 🌍⚡️

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

Nubila x #x402 — AI-Powered Payments for the Real World

We’ve been watching x402 closely,
and yes, Nubila will support x402 payments.

A new internet protocol that lets websites, AIs, and APIs charge and pay by themselves.

And soon, we’ll announce a partner who will help bring this vision to life. 🤝

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

10M+ homes.
100M+ devices.
Now powered by on-chain weather intelligence.

@Wyzecam x @nubilanetwork is how automation learns to see the world — and act on it. 🌎🤖

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

We’re joining forces with Wyze, the U.S. smart home unicorn, to launch the world’s first AI-powered, on-chain, oracle-verified Smart Home Intelligence System ☁️🤖

🧵👇

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

From the Internet’s first weather service to the world’s first decentralized weather oracle —the story comes full circle. ☁️

Weather Underground x @nubilanetwork
Building the future of verified climate intelligence, together. 🌎

[Nubila Network @nubilanetwork]

📡 Weather data just got smarter.

Founded in 1993, Weather Underground is one of the largest and most active weather observation networks worldwide with billions of daily readings, and partners like @Samsung and @Google relying on their forecasts.

Now, they’re partnering with Nubila to go a step further.

Nubila’s hyperlocal, on-chain weather data will act as a real-time validation layer, improving forecast accuracy, reducing model drift, and bridging raw perception with enterprise applications.

→ 110TB+ historical data
→ Thousands of live sensors
→ AI-ready, verifiable signals

Together, we’re turning weather from a dataset into an intelligent network — from the sky to the chain. ☁️

Read More: https://t.co/FEGGKVAszH

[Toby Skinner @tskinnt]

This is what we’re building at @nubilanetwork - an oracle for weather and environmental data collected by our own decentralized sensor network and uniquely positioned to power the weather predictions market 🌦️☔️🌈🌧️🚀

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Just quickly reviewed more than 20 prediction markets startup projects on #BNB Chain.

There might be an opportunity for someone to build a prediction market specific oracle.

Not sure how big the TAM is, but might worth a try.