The majority of new jobs created since 1940 didn’t even exist in 1940.
There is no fixed "lump of labor". Again and again, new technologies create new jobs.
a16z's David George dismantles the "AI job apocalypse" myth: https://t.co/0gL5mdffKD
Travis Kalanick: “AGI is not here yet, and it's silly for folks to say it is.”
“When it comes to big companies, I think the big thing about, let's call it the autonomous enterprise, is change management.
And change management is about all the people that already work there, the middle managers, the technocrats, the bureaucrats.
The change management is a human thing.
And it's very tricky with very complex processes, many of which are not even documented.
And in theory, it's just all going to happen real fast.
But in practice, that's hard.
So that's part one.
Part two, what I'm seeing with true tech companies, they are fired up about the development, the productivity, the deployment schedule, and the new features they're able to roll out much, much, much faster because they've pivoted their culture, sort of very pro-AI development.
Now, there are folks selling their book that are like, ‘Oh, we're at AGI,’ and all this.
Anybody who has worked with these agents and done the AI dev stuff, there's a lot of good stuff, but they're not that smart yet.
They're just not that smart.”
In honor of 50 years of Apple, we're sharing - for the first time ever - Don Valentine's original 1977 memo for Sequoia's investment into Apple Computer. #Apple50
Almost every SaaS app inside Vercel has now been replaced with a generated app or agent interface, deployed on Vercel.
Support, sales, marketing, PM, HR, dataviz, even design and video workflows. It’s shocking.
The SaaSpocalypse is both understated and overstated. Over because the key systems of record and storage are still there (Salesforce, Snowflake, etc.)
Understated because the software we are generating is more beautiful, personalized, and crucially, fits our business problems better.
We struggled for years to represent the health of a Vercel customer properly inside Salesforce. Too much data (trillions of consumption data points), the ontology of Vercel was a mismatch to the built-in assumptions, and the resulting UI was bizarre. We generated what we needed instead. When you don’t need a UI, you just ask an agent with natural language.
We’ve also been moving off legacy systems with poor, slow, outdated, and inconsistent APIs, as well as just dropping abstraction down to more traditional databases. UI is a function 𝑓 of data (always has been), and that 𝑓 is increasingly becoming the LLM.
The Anthropic vs. Trump falling out is almost exactly similar to the Oppenheimer vs. Truman falling out in 1945.
Oppenheimer went to see Truman, feeling bad about the atomic bombs being used in Nagasaki and Hiroshima and famously said,
"Mr. President, I fear I have blood on my hands."
Legend goes that Truman gave him a handkerchief and said "Wipe it off then." Truman was do disgusted with Oppenheimer's perceived cowardice that he kicked him out of the meeting and told his aides,
"Blood on his hands?! Dammit, he hasn’t half as much blood on his hands as I have. You just don’t go around bellyaching about it. Don't ever let that crybaby scientist back in my office."
Truman then shifted his efforts to working with Ernest Lawrence and Edward Teller, who were way more gung-ho about the Government getting involved in nuclear research.
Can you see the parallels?
@RappiMexico El
Pedido llegó 80 minutos después cuando en la app de Rappi ponían “tiempo estimado de entrega de 20 minutos” para este restaurante. Pésimo servicio, pésima plataforma, pésima App. Por qué no han quebrado? Ya váyanse de México, son un fraude
Es una burla el servicio de @RappiMexico. Cobran una suscripción "Pro Black" prometiendo prioridad, pero entregan un servicio de quinta. Una hora esperando y dos repartidores con "contratiempos" seguidos. ¿Para eso pagamos membresía? Es un engaño total al consumidor. @Profeco ya es hora de auditar este "servicio" de porquería.
Me trying to figure out the connection between the Epstein files release, the insane moves in precious metals, whatever TF is going on in Iran, the Apaches that just flew by my window, and the AI chatbots self-assembling into social networks